National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service
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20-Day Snowmelt Guidance (Raw Model Output)

ZCZC RNOHFSESP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
834 AM PLT SUN DEC 10 2017

CHPS/ESP MODEL GUIDANCE (SRC=D)
SEE WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/WATER_RESOURCES_UPDATE.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

5-DAY STREAMFLOW VOLUMES IN 1000AF

                        <------ 5 DAY PERIODS ENDING AT 12Z ON ------>   
                         12/15        12/20        12/25        12/30  
                         -----        -----        -----        -----   
WMSO3              MAX:    6.2          6.2          6.4          7.2
WILLIAMSON RIVER  PROB:    6.1          6.0          5.9          5.9
CHILOQUIN          MIN:    6.1          6.0          5.9          5.8

FTJC1              MAX:    2.3          2.1          4.5          7.2
SCOTT RIVER       PROB:    2.0          1.7          1.4          1.3
FORT JONES         MIN:    1.9          1.5          1.2          1.0

CEGC1              MAX:    6.8          7.6         10.4         23.4
TRINITY           PROB:    5.4          5.1          4.6          4.8
TRINITY LK         MIN:    4.5          3.6          2.7          2.6

SHDC1              MAX:   42.1         43.7         66.7        139.4
SACRAMENTO        PROB:   41.2         40.8         39.2         42.5
SHASTA             MIN:   40.8         39.6         37.8         36.8

ORDC1              MAX:   27.9         29.1         51.7        132.6
FEATHER           PROB:   27.6         24.0         22.7         22.4
OROVILLE           MIN:   27.3         23.8         21.7         19.9

HLEC1              MAX:   11.3         11.8         17.9         27.5
YUBA              PROB:   11.3         11.3         11.3         11.9
ENGLEBRIGHT FNF    MIN:   11.3         11.3         11.2         11.1

FOLC1              MAX:   26.7         29.9         52.6         81.7
AMERICAN          PROB:   26.1         24.5         24.3         25.2
FOLSOM             MIN:   25.9         24.3         23.6         23.0

CMPC1              MAX:    5.1          7.4         13.2         19.1
MOKELUMNE         PROB:    4.4          4.2          3.1          3.0
PARDEE             MIN:    3.7          3.5          2.6          1.9

NMSC1              MAX:    4.3          6.0         13.1         18.4
STANISLAUS        PROB:    3.7          3.4          3.2          3.6
NEW MELONES        MIN:    3.7          3.2          2.9          2.7

NDPC1              MAX:    7.7         10.5         22.6         26.8
TUOLUMNE          PROB:    6.8          5.9          5.4          5.7
NEW DON PEDRO      MIN:    6.6          5.8          5.2          4.7

POHC1              MAX:    1.2          1.4          2.2          2.1
MERCED RIVER      PROB:    0.9          0.9          0.8          0.9
POHONO BRIDGE      MIN:    0.9          0.8          0.8          0.8

EXQC1              MAX:    2.6          2.7          4.4          6.6
MERCED            PROB:    2.2          2.0          2.0          2.4
EXCHEQUER          MIN:    2.2          2.0          1.9          1.9

FRAC1              MAX:    3.8          3.8          7.1         11.1
SAN JOAQUIN       PROB:    3.6          3.3          3.1          3.2
MILLERTON          MIN:    3.6          3.3          3.1          2.9

PFTC1              MAX:    3.8          3.9          6.4         10.2
KINGS             PROB:    3.8          3.5          3.5          3.9
PINE FLAT          MIN:    3.8          3.5          3.5          3.2

TMDC1              MAX:    1.1          1.0          1.5          5.8
KAWEAH            PROB:    1.0          0.9          0.8          0.9
LK KAWEAH          MIN:    1.0          0.9          0.8          0.8

SCSC1              MAX:    0.5          0.6          0.8          1.2
TULE              PROB:    0.5          0.5          0.5          0.5
LK SUCCESS         MIN:    0.5          0.5          0.4          0.4

ISAC1              MAX:    3.9          4.1          4.6          5.8
KERN              PROB:    3.8          3.7          3.6          3.6
LK ISABELLA        MIN:    3.8          3.7          3.6          3.5

BCAC1              MAX:    0.9          0.9          1.0          1.0
LITTLE TRUCKEE    PROB:    0.8          0.8          0.8          0.8
BOCA               MIN:    0.8          0.8          0.8          0.8

FARC1              MAX:    9.1         10.0         10.9         10.4
TRUCKEE RIVER     PROB:    9.0          8.8          8.7          8.6
FARAD              MIN:    8.9          8.7          8.5          8.4

WOOC1              MAX:    0.8          1.2          1.5          1.2
WF CARSON RIVER   PROB:    0.6          0.6          0.6          0.6
WOODFORDS          MIN:    0.5          0.5          0.5          0.4

STWN2              MAX:    3.6          4.0          5.5          8.6
CARSON RIVER      PROB:    3.4          3.2          2.9          2.7
CARSON CITY        MIN:    3.2          3.0          2.8          2.6

WWBC1              MAX:    1.0          1.0          1.1          1.3
W WALKER RIVER    PROB:    0.9          0.8          0.6          0.5
BLO LITTLE WALKER  MIN:    0.9          0.7          0.6          0.5

BPRC1              MAX:    1.5          1.6          1.8          2.4
EAST WALKER       PROB:    1.4          1.4          1.4          1.3
BRIDGEPORT         MIN:    1.4          1.4          1.4          1.3

PALN2              MAX:    1.7          1.8          1.8          2.0
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    1.6          1.6          1.5          1.5
PALISADE           MIN:    1.5          1.4          1.4          1.4

MHSN2              MAX:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.1
MARYS RIVER       PROB:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.1
ABV HOT SPRGS CK   MIN:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.1

HREN2              MAX:    0.9          1.0          1.1          1.2
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    0.9          0.9          0.9          0.9
ELKO               MIN:    0.9          0.9          0.9          0.9

MAX:  REASONABLE MAXIMUM (10% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
PROB: MOST PROBABLE      (50% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
MIN:  REASONABLE MINIMUM (90% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)

FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN SHEF:
.ER WMSO3 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    6.1/   6.0/   5.9/   5.8
.ER WMSO3 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    6.1/   6.0/   5.9/   5.9
.ER WMSO3 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    6.2/   6.2/   6.4/   7.2
.ER FTJC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.9/   1.5/   1.2/   1.0
.ER FTJC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    2.0/   1.7/   1.4/   1.3
.ER FTJC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    2.3/   2.1/   4.5/   7.2
.ER CEGC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    4.5/   3.6/   2.7/   2.6
.ER CEGC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    5.4/   5.1/   4.6/   4.8
.ER CEGC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    6.8/   7.6/  10.4/  23.4
.ER SHDC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   40.8/  39.6/  37.8/  36.8
.ER SHDC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   41.2/  40.8/  39.2/  42.5
.ER SHDC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   42.1/  43.7/  66.7/ 139.4
.ER ORDC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   27.3/  23.8/  21.7/  19.9
.ER ORDC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   27.6/  24.0/  22.7/  22.4
.ER ORDC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   27.9/  29.1/  51.7/ 132.6
.ER HLEC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   11.3/  11.3/  11.2/  11.1
.ER HLEC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   11.3/  11.3/  11.3/  11.9
.ER HLEC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   11.3/  11.8/  17.9/  27.5
.ER FOLC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   25.9/  24.3/  23.6/  23.0
.ER FOLC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   26.1/  24.5/  24.3/  25.2
.ER FOLC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   26.7/  29.9/  52.6/  81.7
.ER CMPC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    3.7/   3.5/   2.6/   1.9
.ER CMPC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.4/   4.2/   3.1/   3.0
.ER CMPC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    5.1/   7.4/  13.2/  19.1
.ER NMSC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    3.7/   3.2/   2.9/   2.7
.ER NMSC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    3.7/   3.4/   3.2/   3.6
.ER NMSC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    4.3/   6.0/  13.1/  18.4
.ER NDPC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    6.6/   5.8/   5.2/   4.7
.ER NDPC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    6.8/   5.9/   5.4/   5.7
.ER NDPC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    7.7/  10.5/  22.6/  26.8
.ER POHC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   0.8/   0.8/   0.8
.ER POHC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   0.9/   0.8/   0.9
.ER POHC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.2/   1.4/   2.2/   2.1
.ER EXQC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.2/   2.0/   1.9/   1.9
.ER EXQC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    2.2/   2.0/   2.0/   2.4
.ER EXQC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    2.6/   2.7/   4.4/   6.6
.ER FRAC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    3.6/   3.3/   3.1/   2.9
.ER FRAC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    3.6/   3.3/   3.1/   3.2
.ER FRAC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    3.8/   3.8/   7.1/  11.1
.ER PFTC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    3.8/   3.5/   3.5/   3.2
.ER PFTC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    3.8/   3.5/   3.5/   3.9
.ER PFTC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    3.8/   3.9/   6.4/  10.2
.ER TMDC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.0/   0.9/   0.8/   0.8
.ER TMDC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.0/   0.9/   0.8/   0.9
.ER TMDC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.1/   1.0/   1.5/   5.8
.ER SCSC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.5/   0.4/   0.4
.ER SCSC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.5/   0.5/   0.5
.ER SCSC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.6/   0.8/   1.2
.ER ISAC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    3.8/   3.7/   3.6/   3.5
.ER ISAC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    3.8/   3.7/   3.6/   3.6
.ER ISAC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    3.9/   4.1/   4.6/   5.8
.ER BCAC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   0.8/   0.8/   0.8
.ER BCAC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   0.8/   0.8/   0.8
.ER BCAC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   0.9/   1.0/   1.0
.ER FARC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    8.9/   8.7/   8.5/   8.4
.ER FARC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    9.0/   8.8/   8.7/   8.6
.ER FARC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    9.1/  10.0/  10.9/  10.4
.ER WOOC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.5/   0.5/   0.4
.ER WOOC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   0.6/   0.6/   0.6
.ER WOOC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   1.2/   1.5/   1.2
.ER STWN2 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    3.2/   3.0/   2.8/   2.6
.ER STWN2 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    3.4/   3.2/   2.9/   2.7
.ER STWN2 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    3.6/   4.0/   5.5/   8.6
.ER WWBC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   0.7/   0.6/   0.5
.ER WWBC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   0.8/   0.6/   0.5
.ER WWBC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.0/   1.0/   1.1/   1.3
.ER BPRC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.4/   1.4/   1.4/   1.3
.ER BPRC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.4/   1.4/   1.4/   1.3
.ER BPRC1 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   1.6/   1.8/   2.4
.ER PALN2 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   1.4/   1.4/   1.4
.ER PALN2 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.6/   1.6/   1.5/   1.5
.ER PALN2 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.7/   1.8/   1.8/   2.0
.ER MHSN2 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER MHSN2 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER MHSN2 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER HREN2 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   0.9/   0.9/   0.9
.ER HREN2 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   0.9/   0.9/   0.9
.ER HREN2 20171215 Z DH12/DC201712101200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   1.0/   1.1/   1.2

$$