National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service
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20-Day Snowmelt Guidance (Raw Model Output)

ZCZC RNOHFSESP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
258 PM PLT FRI OCT 20 2017

CHPS/ESP MODEL GUIDANCE (SRC=D)
SEE WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/WATER_RESOURCES_UPDATE.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

5-DAY STREAMFLOW VOLUMES IN 1000AF

                        <------ 5 DAY PERIODS ENDING AT 12Z ON ------>   
                         10/25        10/30        11/04        11/09  
                         -----        -----        -----        -----   
WMSO3              MAX:    6.7          6.8          6.2          6.4
WILLIAMSON RIVER  PROB:    6.6          6.5          5.9          5.8
CHILOQUIN          MIN:    6.6          6.5          5.8          5.7

FTJC1              MAX:    0.6          0.5          0.9          1.7
SCOTT RIVER       PROB:    0.4          0.4          0.4          0.4
FORT JONES         MIN:    0.4          0.3          0.3          0.3

CEGC1              MAX:    1.9          1.7          3.2          7.2
TRINITY           PROB:    1.4          0.9          0.9          1.1
TRINITY LK         MIN:    1.3          0.9          0.7          0.7

SHDC1              MAX:   37.9         35.1         40.1         50.9
SACRAMENTO        PROB:   36.0         33.9         33.8         35.2
SHASTA             MIN:   35.8         33.9         33.6         33.4

ORDC1              MAX:   20.7         17.5         17.7         25.5
FEATHER           PROB:   20.3         16.9         15.7         15.2
OROVILLE           MIN:   20.2         16.9         15.6         14.4

HLEC1              MAX:   11.1         11.4         11.8         13.2
YUBA              PROB:   11.1         11.2         11.3         11.4
ENGLEBRIGHT FNF    MIN:   11.1         11.2         11.3         11.3

FOLC1              MAX:   11.9         11.6         12.4         15.2
AMERICAN          PROB:   11.7         11.2         11.1         11.2
FOLSOM FNF         MIN:   11.7         11.2         11.0         10.7

CMPC1              MAX:    0.8          0.7          1.8          3.5
MOKELUMNE         PROB:    0.7          0.5          0.5          0.6
PARDEE             MIN:    0.6          0.4          0.4          0.5

NMSC1              MAX:    3.3          2.6          2.9          3.5
STANISLAUS        PROB:    3.1          2.4          2.0          1.6
NEW MELONES        MIN:    3.1          2.4          1.9          1.4

NDPC1              MAX:    4.5          4.4          6.3          7.3
TUOLUMNE          PROB:    3.8          3.2          3.2          3.6
NEW DON PEDRO      MIN:    3.7          3.1          3.0          3.0

POHC1              MAX:    0.6          0.5          0.8          0.9
MERCED RIVER      PROB:    0.5          0.4          0.4          0.4
POHONO BRIDGE      MIN:    0.4          0.4          0.3          0.3

EXQC1              MAX:    1.5          1.0          1.7          2.1
MERCED            PROB:    0.9          0.7          0.8          0.9
EXCHEQUER          MIN:    0.8          0.6          0.7          0.7

FRAC1              MAX:    5.0          4.6          5.5          5.7
SAN JOAQUIN       PROB:    4.6          4.3          4.1          4.0
MILLERTON          MIN:    4.5          4.2          4.0          3.9

PFTC1              MAX:    5.2          5.1          5.3          5.9
KINGS             PROB:    4.9          4.8          4.8          4.8
PINE FLAT          MIN:    4.8          4.7          4.7          4.6

TMDC1              MAX:    1.0          1.0          1.1          1.2
KAWEAH            PROB:    0.9          0.9          0.9          0.9
LK KAWEAH          MIN:    0.9          0.8          0.8          0.8

SCSC1              MAX:    0.3          0.3          0.5          0.6
TULE              PROB:    0.2          0.3          0.3          0.3
LK SUCCESS         MIN:    0.2          0.3          0.3          0.3

ISAC1              MAX:    4.3          4.4          4.5          4.7
KERN              PROB:    4.1          4.1          4.1          4.1
LK ISABELLA        MIN:    4.1          4.1          4.0          4.0

BCAC1              MAX:    1.9          1.8          1.9          1.9
LITTLE TRUCKEE    PROB:    1.8          1.8          1.8          1.9
BOCA               MIN:    1.8          1.8          1.8          1.9

FARC1              MAX:    4.9          4.7          4.7          5.1
TRUCKEE RIVER     PROB:    4.9          4.6          4.5          4.5
FARAD              MIN:    4.9          4.6          4.5          4.4

WOOC1              MAX:    0.4          0.4          0.4          0.4
WF CARSON RIVER   PROB:    0.4          0.3          0.3          0.3
WOODFORDS          MIN:    0.4          0.3          0.3          0.3

STWN2              MAX:    2.2          2.1          2.2          2.5
CARSON RIVER      PROB:    2.1          2.0          1.9          1.9
CARSON CITY        MIN:    2.1          2.0          1.9          1.9

WWBC1              MAX:    0.7          0.6          0.6          0.6
W WALKER RIVER    PROB:    0.6          0.6          0.5          0.5
BLO LITTLE WALKER  MIN:    0.6          0.5          0.5          0.5

BPRC1              MAX:    1.5          1.6          1.6          1.6
EAST WALKER       PROB:    1.5          1.6          1.5          1.5
BRIDGEPORT         MIN:    1.5          1.6          1.5          1.5

PALN2              MAX:    0.9          1.1          1.2          1.3
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    0.9          0.9          1.0          1.1
PALISADE           MIN:    0.9          0.9          0.9          1.0

MHSN2              MAX:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.2
MARYS RIVER       PROB:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.1
ABV HOT SPRGS CK   MIN:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.1

HREN2              MAX:    0.5          0.6          0.6          0.8
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    0.4          0.5          0.5          0.6
ELKO               MIN:    0.4          0.4          0.5          0.5

MAX:  REASONABLE MAXIMUM (10% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
PROB: MOST PROBABLE      (50% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
MIN:  REASONABLE MINIMUM (90% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)

FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN SHEF:
.ER WMSO3 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    6.6/   6.5/   5.8/   5.7
.ER WMSO3 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    6.6/   6.5/   5.9/   5.8
.ER WMSO3 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    6.7/   6.8/   6.2/   6.4
.ER FTJC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.3/   0.3/   0.3
.ER FTJC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.4/   0.4
.ER FTJC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   0.5/   0.9/   1.7
.ER CEGC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.3/   0.9/   0.7/   0.7
.ER CEGC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.4/   0.9/   0.9/   1.1
.ER CEGC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.9/   1.7/   3.2/   7.2
.ER SHDC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   35.8/  33.9/  33.6/  33.4
.ER SHDC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   36.0/  33.9/  33.8/  35.2
.ER SHDC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   37.9/  35.1/  40.1/  50.9
.ER ORDC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   20.2/  16.9/  15.6/  14.4
.ER ORDC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   20.3/  16.9/  15.7/  15.2
.ER ORDC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   20.7/  17.5/  17.7/  25.5
.ER HLEC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   11.1/  11.2/  11.3/  11.3
.ER HLEC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   11.1/  11.2/  11.3/  11.4
.ER HLEC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   11.1/  11.4/  11.8/  13.2
.ER FOLC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   11.7/  11.2/  11.0/  10.7
.ER FOLC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   11.7/  11.2/  11.1/  11.2
.ER FOLC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   11.9/  11.6/  12.4/  15.2
.ER CMPC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   0.4/   0.4/   0.5
.ER CMPC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.7/   0.5/   0.5/   0.6
.ER CMPC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   0.7/   1.8/   3.5
.ER NMSC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    3.1/   2.4/   1.9/   1.4
.ER NMSC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    3.1/   2.4/   2.0/   1.6
.ER NMSC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    3.3/   2.6/   2.9/   3.5
.ER NDPC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    3.7/   3.1/   3.0/   3.0
.ER NDPC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    3.8/   3.2/   3.2/   3.6
.ER NDPC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    4.5/   4.4/   6.3/   7.3
.ER POHC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.3/   0.3
.ER POHC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.4/   0.4/   0.4
.ER POHC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   0.5/   0.8/   0.9
.ER EXQC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   0.6/   0.7/   0.7
.ER EXQC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   0.7/   0.8/   0.9
.ER EXQC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   1.0/   1.7/   2.1
.ER FRAC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    4.5/   4.2/   4.0/   3.9
.ER FRAC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.6/   4.3/   4.1/   4.0
.ER FRAC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    5.0/   4.6/   5.5/   5.7
.ER PFTC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    4.8/   4.7/   4.7/   4.6
.ER PFTC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.9/   4.8/   4.8/   4.8
.ER PFTC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    5.2/   5.1/   5.3/   5.9
.ER TMDC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   0.8/   0.8/   0.8
.ER TMDC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   0.9/   0.9/   0.9
.ER TMDC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.0/   1.0/   1.1/   1.2
.ER SCSC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.3/   0.3/   0.3
.ER SCSC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.3/   0.3/   0.3
.ER SCSC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.3/   0.5/   0.6
.ER ISAC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    4.1/   4.1/   4.0/   4.0
.ER ISAC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.1/   4.1/   4.1/   4.1
.ER ISAC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    4.3/   4.4/   4.5/   4.7
.ER BCAC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.8/   1.8/   1.8/   1.9
.ER BCAC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.8/   1.8/   1.8/   1.9
.ER BCAC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.9/   1.8/   1.9/   1.9
.ER FARC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    4.9/   4.6/   4.5/   4.4
.ER FARC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.9/   4.6/   4.5/   4.5
.ER FARC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    4.9/   4.7/   4.7/   5.1
.ER WOOC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.3/   0.3/   0.3
.ER WOOC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.3/   0.3/   0.3
.ER WOOC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.4/   0.4
.ER STWN2 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.1/   2.0/   1.9/   1.9
.ER STWN2 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    2.1/   2.0/   1.9/   1.9
.ER STWN2 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    2.2/   2.1/   2.2/   2.5
.ER WWBC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   0.5/   0.5/   0.5
.ER WWBC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   0.6/   0.5/   0.5
.ER WWBC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.7/   0.6/   0.6/   0.6
.ER BPRC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   1.6/   1.5/   1.5
.ER BPRC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   1.6/   1.5/   1.5
.ER BPRC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   1.6/   1.6/   1.6
.ER PALN2 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   0.9/   0.9/   1.0
.ER PALN2 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   0.9/   1.0/   1.1
.ER PALN2 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   1.1/   1.2/   1.3
.ER MHSN2 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER MHSN2 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER MHSN2 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.2
.ER HREN2 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.5/   0.5
.ER HREN2 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.5/   0.5/   0.6
.ER HREN2 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.6/   0.6/   0.8

$$