National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service
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20-Day Snowmelt Guidance (Raw Model Output)

ZCZC RNOHFSESP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
1105 AM PLT FRI JUN 23 2017

CHPS/ESP MODEL GUIDANCE (SRC=D)
SEE WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/WATER_RESOURCES_UPDATE.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

5-DAY STREAMFLOW VOLUMES IN 1000AF

                        <------ 5 DAY PERIODS ENDING AT 12Z ON ------>   
                         06/28        07/03        07/08        07/13  
                         -----        -----        -----        -----   
WMSO3              MAX:    7.9          7.8          7.5          7.4
WILLIAMSON RIVER  PROB:    7.8          7.4          7.2          7.1
CHILOQUIN          MIN:    7.8          7.4          7.1          7.0

FTJC1              MAX:    6.0          4.2          3.4          2.8
SCOTT RIVER       PROB:    5.9          4.0          3.1          2.6
FORT JONES         MIN:    5.9          4.0          3.1          2.5

CEGC1              MAX:   19.1         16.0         16.3         12.7
TRINITY           PROB:   17.6         12.9         11.8          9.8
TRINITY LK         MIN:   17.0         11.4          9.5          8.1

SHDC1              MAX:   52.7         50.9         51.7         49.3
SACRAMENTO        PROB:   51.6         48.7         48.2         47.1
SHASTA             MIN:   51.4         48.3         46.8         46.1

ORDC1              MAX:   40.2         31.8         26.1         24.3
FEATHER           PROB:   39.0         29.9         24.0         22.2
OROVILLE           MIN:   38.1         28.6         23.1         21.4

HLEC1              MAX:   36.3         36.3         35.8         35.2
YUBA              PROB:   36.3         36.3         35.7         35.2
ENGLEBRIGHT FNF    MIN:   36.3         36.3         35.7         35.2

FOLC1              MAX:   70.8         54.4         48.0         43.8
AMERICAN          PROB:   69.6         53.2         46.8         42.7
FOLSOM FNF         MIN:   68.4         52.4         46.4         42.5

CMPC1              MAX:   41.0         26.4         17.9         12.5
MOKELUMNE         PROB:   39.0         23.9         14.3          9.5
PARDEE             MIN:   37.7         21.6         12.1          7.3

NMSC1              MAX:   58.0         33.6         21.9         15.7
STANISLAUS        PROB:   55.8         31.8         19.5         14.0
NEW MELONES        MIN:   53.7         29.3         18.1         12.2

NDPC1              MAX:  140.3         79.5         64.3         51.9
TUOLUMNE          PROB:  130.6         72.9         55.1         44.9
NEW DON PEDRO      MIN:  122.2         62.9         46.9         38.1

POHC1              MAX:   49.9         33.9         27.3         21.8
MERCED RIVER      PROB:   46.9         30.4         22.9         18.7
POHONO BRIDGE      MIN:   43.8         25.9         18.8         15.5

EXQC1              MAX:   67.0         46.3         38.3         31.8
MERCED            PROB:   63.1         41.8         32.2         26.9
EXCHEQUER          MIN:   59.3         35.5         26.9         22.6

FRAC1              MAX:  182.8        128.0        113.0         96.2
SAN JOAQUIN       PROB:  168.6        116.2         97.2         83.1
MILLERTON          MIN:  156.8         98.0         83.3         67.3

PFTC1              MAX:  191.8        127.5        104.3         83.1
KINGS             PROB:  170.8        116.7         89.3         72.8
PINE FLAT          MIN:  160.9        100.7         75.0         60.9

TMDC1              MAX:   27.2         16.3         12.9         10.3
KAWEAH            PROB:   25.3         15.2         11.0          9.0
LK KAWEAH          MIN:   24.1         13.5          9.7          7.6

SCSC1              MAX:    2.1          1.8          1.8          1.7
TULE              PROB:    2.0          1.8          1.6          1.5
LK SUCCESS         MIN:    2.0          1.7          1.5          1.4

ISAC1              MAX:   63.0         46.2         37.2         31.0
KERN              PROB:   59.3         42.9         33.5         27.9
LK ISABELLA        MIN:   56.6         39.5         30.7         25.0

BCAC1              MAX:    9.1          9.1          9.1          9.1
LITTLE TRUCKEE    PROB:    9.1          9.1          9.1          9.0
BOCA               MIN:    9.1          9.1          9.1          9.0

FARC1              MAX:   28.1         24.9         23.2         22.1
TRUCKEE RIVER     PROB:   27.8         24.5         23.0         22.0
FARAD              MIN:   27.5         24.4         22.9         21.9

WOOC1              MAX:    6.8          5.1          4.3          3.8
WF CARSON RIVER   PROB:    6.4          4.7          3.6          3.1
WOODFORDS          MIN:    6.1          4.2          3.1          2.6

STWN2              MAX:   32.0         23.0         16.6         12.4
CARSON RIVER      PROB:   30.6         20.8         13.5         10.3
CARSON CITY        MIN:   29.5         18.4         11.5          8.5

WWBC1              MAX:   33.8         24.8         21.2         17.8
W WALKER RIVER    PROB:   32.0         22.5         17.9         15.3
BLO LITTLE WALKER  MIN:   30.3         19.0         14.4         12.0

BPRC1              MAX:   17.9         13.4         12.0         10.7
EAST WALKER       PROB:   16.8         12.5         10.9         10.0
BRIDGEPORT         MIN:   15.9         11.4          9.6          8.6

PALN2              MAX:   17.5         15.4         13.6         11.8
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:   17.2         13.8         11.1          9.1
PALISADE           MIN:   17.1         13.1          9.7          7.8

MHSN2              MAX:    1.0          0.9          0.8          0.8
MARYS RIVER       PROB:    1.0          0.7          0.5          0.4
ABV HOT SPRGS CK   MIN:    1.0          0.6          0.4          0.3

HREN2              MAX:   10.7         11.0          9.9          8.2
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:   10.2          8.7          7.1          6.3
ELKO               MIN:    9.9          7.6          5.7          5.0

MAX:  REASONABLE MAXIMUM (10% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
PROB: MOST PROBABLE      (50% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
MIN:  REASONABLE MINIMUM (90% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)

FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN SHEF:
.ER WMSO3 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    7.8/   7.4/   7.1/   7.0
.ER WMSO3 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    7.8/   7.4/   7.2/   7.1
.ER WMSO3 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    7.9/   7.8/   7.5/   7.4
.ER FTJC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    5.9/   4.0/   3.1/   2.5
.ER FTJC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    5.9/   4.0/   3.1/   2.6
.ER FTJC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    6.0/   4.2/   3.4/   2.8
.ER CEGC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   17.0/  11.4/   9.5/   8.1
.ER CEGC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   17.6/  12.9/  11.8/   9.8
.ER CEGC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   19.1/  16.0/  16.3/  12.7
.ER SHDC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   51.4/  48.3/  46.8/  46.1
.ER SHDC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   51.6/  48.7/  48.2/  47.1
.ER SHDC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   52.7/  50.9/  51.7/  49.3
.ER ORDC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   38.1/  28.6/  23.1/  21.4
.ER ORDC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   39.0/  29.9/  24.0/  22.2
.ER ORDC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   40.2/  31.8/  26.1/  24.3
.ER HLEC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   36.3/  36.3/  35.7/  35.2
.ER HLEC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   36.3/  36.3/  35.7/  35.2
.ER HLEC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   36.3/  36.3/  35.8/  35.2
.ER FOLC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   68.4/  52.4/  46.4/  42.5
.ER FOLC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   69.6/  53.2/  46.8/  42.7
.ER FOLC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   70.8/  54.4/  48.0/  43.8
.ER CMPC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   37.7/  21.6/  12.1/   7.3
.ER CMPC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   39.0/  23.9/  14.3/   9.5
.ER CMPC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   41.0/  26.4/  17.9/  12.5
.ER NMSC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   53.7/  29.3/  18.1/  12.2
.ER NMSC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   55.8/  31.8/  19.5/  14.0
.ER NMSC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   58.0/  33.6/  21.9/  15.7
.ER NDPC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1  122.2/  62.9/  46.9/  38.1
.ER NDPC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1  130.6/  72.9/  55.1/  44.9
.ER NDPC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  140.3/  79.5/  64.3/  51.9
.ER POHC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   43.8/  25.9/  18.8/  15.5
.ER POHC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   46.9/  30.4/  22.9/  18.7
.ER POHC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   49.9/  33.9/  27.3/  21.8
.ER EXQC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   59.3/  35.5/  26.9/  22.6
.ER EXQC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   63.1/  41.8/  32.2/  26.9
.ER EXQC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   67.0/  46.3/  38.3/  31.8
.ER FRAC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1  156.8/  98.0/  83.3/  67.3
.ER FRAC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1  168.6/ 116.2/  97.2/  83.1
.ER FRAC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  182.8/ 128.0/ 113.0/  96.2
.ER PFTC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1  160.9/ 100.7/  75.0/  60.9
.ER PFTC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1  170.8/ 116.7/  89.3/  72.8
.ER PFTC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  191.8/ 127.5/ 104.3/  83.1
.ER TMDC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   24.1/  13.5/   9.7/   7.6
.ER TMDC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   25.3/  15.2/  11.0/   9.0
.ER TMDC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   27.2/  16.3/  12.9/  10.3
.ER SCSC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.0/   1.7/   1.5/   1.4
.ER SCSC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    2.0/   1.8/   1.6/   1.5
.ER SCSC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    2.1/   1.8/   1.8/   1.7
.ER ISAC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   56.6/  39.5/  30.7/  25.0
.ER ISAC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   59.3/  42.9/  33.5/  27.9
.ER ISAC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   63.0/  46.2/  37.2/  31.0
.ER BCAC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    9.1/   9.1/   9.1/   9.0
.ER BCAC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    9.1/   9.1/   9.1/   9.0
.ER BCAC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    9.1/   9.1/   9.1/   9.1
.ER FARC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   27.5/  24.4/  22.9/  21.9
.ER FARC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   27.8/  24.5/  23.0/  22.0
.ER FARC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   28.1/  24.9/  23.2/  22.1
.ER WOOC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    6.1/   4.2/   3.1/   2.6
.ER WOOC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    6.4/   4.7/   3.6/   3.1
.ER WOOC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    6.8/   5.1/   4.3/   3.8
.ER STWN2 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   29.5/  18.4/  11.5/   8.5
.ER STWN2 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   30.6/  20.8/  13.5/  10.3
.ER STWN2 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   32.0/  23.0/  16.6/  12.4
.ER WWBC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   30.3/  19.0/  14.4/  12.0
.ER WWBC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   32.0/  22.5/  17.9/  15.3
.ER WWBC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   33.8/  24.8/  21.2/  17.8
.ER BPRC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   15.9/  11.4/   9.6/   8.6
.ER BPRC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   16.8/  12.5/  10.9/  10.0
.ER BPRC1 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   17.9/  13.4/  12.0/  10.7
.ER PALN2 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   17.1/  13.1/   9.7/   7.8
.ER PALN2 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   17.2/  13.8/  11.1/   9.1
.ER PALN2 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   17.5/  15.4/  13.6/  11.8
.ER MHSN2 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.0/   0.6/   0.4/   0.3
.ER MHSN2 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.0/   0.7/   0.5/   0.4
.ER MHSN2 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.0/   0.9/   0.8/   0.8
.ER HREN2 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    9.9/   7.6/   5.7/   5.0
.ER HREN2 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   10.2/   8.7/   7.1/   6.3
.ER HREN2 20170628 Z DH12/DC2017062312/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   10.7/  11.0/   9.9/   8.2

$$