National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service
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20-Day Snowmelt Guidance (Raw Model Output)

ZCZC RNOHFSESP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
901 AM PLT SUN FEB 26 2017

CHPS/ESP MODEL GUIDANCE (SRC=D)
SEE WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/WATER_RESOURCES_UPDATE.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

5-DAY STREAMFLOW VOLUMES IN 1000AF

                        <------ 5 DAY PERIODS ENDING AT 12Z ON ------>   
                         03/03        03/08        03/13        03/18  
                         -----        -----        -----        -----   
WMSO3              MAX:   19.7         15.5         18.7         30.3
WILLIAMSON RIVER  PROB:   19.7         14.7         14.9         21.7
CHILOQUIN          MIN:   19.7         14.7         13.1         14.0

FTJC1              MAX:   16.7         19.2         20.9         18.9
SCOTT RIVER       PROB:   16.2         13.1         12.3         10.9
FORT JONES         MIN:   16.2         11.5         10.0          8.5

CEGC1              MAX:   29.6         35.4         45.9         54.6
TRINITY           PROB:   28.9         20.8         23.0         26.9
TRINITY LK         MIN:   28.7         16.7         17.3         17.5

SHDC1              MAX:  231.9        237.2        241.3        291.4
SACRAMENTO        PROB:  217.4        154.6        133.8        135.1
SHASTA             MIN:  214.5        137.6        113.7        100.9

ORDC1              MAX:  187.6        189.1        225.2        270.1
FEATHER           PROB:  184.9        136.2        136.3        147.0
OROVILLE           MIN:  183.9        125.7        116.3        107.8

HLEC1              MAX:  137.9        148.8        145.0        148.5
YUBA              PROB:  134.9        126.1        122.2        121.7
ENGLEBRIGHT FNF    MIN:  134.2        122.9        119.3        118.1

FOLC1              MAX:  148.2        169.7        142.2        146.5
AMERICAN          PROB:  137.2        112.3         99.0         91.4
FOLSOM FNF         MIN:  135.3        100.4         83.7         69.9

CMPC1              MAX:   30.6         18.8         16.0         30.0
MOKELUMNE         PROB:   28.4         13.4         10.8         14.8
PARDEE             MIN:   26.9         11.9          8.7          8.3

NMSC1              MAX:   42.2         42.2         43.3         60.3
STANISLAUS        PROB:   38.3         29.2         28.9         32.1
NEW MELONES        MIN:   36.7         25.3         19.9         22.4

NDPC1              MAX:   48.2         65.7         65.8         82.0
TUOLUMNE          PROB:   43.9         40.0         43.3         47.4
NEW DON PEDRO      MIN:   42.9         34.1         29.3         31.5

POHC1              MAX:    7.4          9.9         10.8         12.2
MERCED RIVER      PROB:    7.2          6.8          6.8          6.9
POHONO BRIDGE      MIN:    7.0          5.5          4.7          3.9

EXQC1              MAX:   37.5         37.1         32.4         40.3
MERCED            PROB:   33.2         25.7         22.6         25.2
EXCHEQUER          MIN:   32.6         22.4         17.3         16.9

FRAC1              MAX:   40.8         42.2         63.2         82.8
SAN JOAQUIN       PROB:   37.4         29.7         39.8         40.5
MILLERTON          MIN:   37.3         25.9         25.0         26.0

PFTC1              MAX:   37.7         35.5         51.0         61.7
KINGS             PROB:   35.0         25.5         29.6         31.7
PINE FLAT          MIN:   34.8         21.6         17.5         19.1

TMDC1              MAX:   16.5         15.2         15.0         23.9
KAWEAH            PROB:   15.3         12.8         11.6         11.2
LK KAWEAH          MIN:   15.2         11.4          8.7          7.8

SCSC1              MAX:    9.4         10.0         11.3         12.8
TULE              PROB:    9.0          8.6          9.3          9.0
LK SUCCESS         MIN:    9.0          7.5          7.5          6.3

ISAC1              MAX:   22.0         26.9         35.9         38.3
KERN              PROB:   21.5         23.1         25.2         27.0
LK ISABELLA        MIN:   21.4         20.4         20.3         18.8

BCAC1              MAX:    3.8          3.7          4.1          4.8
LITTLE TRUCKEE    PROB:    3.8          3.6          3.5          3.8
BOCA               MIN:    3.8          3.6          3.4          3.3

FARC1              MAX:   18.1         17.9         18.0         20.4
TRUCKEE RIVER     PROB:   18.1         17.5         17.3         17.4
FARAD              MIN:   18.1         17.5         17.1         16.6

WOOC1              MAX:    1.1          0.9          1.0          2.0
WF CARSON RIVER   PROB:    1.1          0.9          0.7          0.8
WOODFORDS          MIN:    1.1          0.9          0.7          0.6

STWN2              MAX:   12.7         11.0         10.4         15.4
CARSON RIVER      PROB:   12.6         10.5          8.7          8.5
CARSON CITY        MIN:   12.6         10.4          8.6          7.1

WWBC1              MAX:    1.5          1.5          2.2          3.1
W WALKER RIVER    PROB:    1.5          1.3          1.3          1.3
BLO LITTLE WALKER  MIN:    1.5          1.2          1.0          0.8

BPRC1              MAX:    1.7          2.8          3.8          4.6
EAST WALKER       PROB:    1.7          1.8          2.4          2.5
BRIDGEPORT         MIN:    1.7          1.5          1.4          1.3

PALN2              MAX:   15.4         14.5         18.5         27.2
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:   15.4         12.7         14.5         17.7
PALISADE           MIN:   15.4         12.6         12.6         12.4

MHSN2              MAX:    1.1          1.1          1.6          3.3
MARYS RIVER       PROB:    1.1          1.1          1.2          1.6
ABV HOT SPRGS CK   MIN:    1.1          1.1          1.1          1.1

HREN2              MAX:    9.9          8.9         10.7         14.9
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    9.9          7.7          8.1          9.2
ELKO               MIN:    9.9          7.7          7.2          6.4

MAX:  REASONABLE MAXIMUM (10% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
PROB: MOST PROBABLE      (50% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
MIN:  REASONABLE MINIMUM (90% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)

FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN SHEF:
.ER WMSO3 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   19.7/  14.7/  13.1/  14.0
.ER WMSO3 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   19.7/  14.7/  14.9/  21.7
.ER WMSO3 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   19.7/  15.5/  18.7/  30.3
.ER FTJC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   16.2/  11.5/  10.0/   8.5
.ER FTJC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   16.2/  13.1/  12.3/  10.9
.ER FTJC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   16.7/  19.2/  20.9/  18.9
.ER CEGC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   28.7/  16.7/  17.3/  17.5
.ER CEGC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   28.9/  20.8/  23.0/  26.9
.ER CEGC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   29.6/  35.4/  45.9/  54.6
.ER SHDC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1  214.5/ 137.6/ 113.7/ 100.9
.ER SHDC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1  217.4/ 154.6/ 133.8/ 135.1
.ER SHDC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  231.9/ 237.2/ 241.3/ 291.4
.ER ORDC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1  183.9/ 125.7/ 116.3/ 107.8
.ER ORDC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1  184.9/ 136.2/ 136.3/ 147.0
.ER ORDC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  187.6/ 189.1/ 225.2/ 270.1
.ER HLEC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1  134.2/ 122.9/ 119.3/ 118.1
.ER HLEC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1  134.9/ 126.1/ 122.2/ 121.7
.ER HLEC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  137.9/ 148.8/ 145.0/ 148.5
.ER FOLC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1  135.3/ 100.4/  83.7/  69.9
.ER FOLC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1  137.2/ 112.3/  99.0/  91.4
.ER FOLC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  148.2/ 169.7/ 142.2/ 146.5
.ER CMPC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   26.9/  11.9/   8.7/   8.3
.ER CMPC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   28.4/  13.4/  10.8/  14.8
.ER CMPC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   30.6/  18.8/  16.0/  30.0
.ER NMSC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   36.7/  25.3/  19.9/  22.4
.ER NMSC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   38.3/  29.2/  28.9/  32.1
.ER NMSC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   42.2/  42.2/  43.3/  60.3
.ER NDPC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   42.9/  34.1/  29.3/  31.5
.ER NDPC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   43.9/  40.0/  43.3/  47.4
.ER NDPC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   48.2/  65.7/  65.8/  82.0
.ER POHC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    7.0/   5.5/   4.7/   3.9
.ER POHC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    7.2/   6.8/   6.8/   6.9
.ER POHC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    7.4/   9.9/  10.8/  12.2
.ER EXQC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   32.6/  22.4/  17.3/  16.9
.ER EXQC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   33.2/  25.7/  22.6/  25.2
.ER EXQC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   37.5/  37.1/  32.4/  40.3
.ER FRAC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   37.3/  25.9/  25.0/  26.0
.ER FRAC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   37.4/  29.7/  39.8/  40.5
.ER FRAC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   40.8/  42.2/  63.2/  82.8
.ER PFTC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   34.8/  21.6/  17.5/  19.1
.ER PFTC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   35.0/  25.5/  29.6/  31.7
.ER PFTC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   37.7/  35.5/  51.0/  61.7
.ER TMDC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   15.2/  11.4/   8.7/   7.8
.ER TMDC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   15.3/  12.8/  11.6/  11.2
.ER TMDC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   16.5/  15.2/  15.0/  23.9
.ER SCSC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    9.0/   7.5/   7.5/   6.3
.ER SCSC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    9.0/   8.6/   9.3/   9.0
.ER SCSC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    9.4/  10.0/  11.3/  12.8
.ER ISAC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   21.4/  20.4/  20.3/  18.8
.ER ISAC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   21.5/  23.1/  25.2/  27.0
.ER ISAC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   22.0/  26.9/  35.9/  38.3
.ER BCAC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    3.8/   3.6/   3.4/   3.3
.ER BCAC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    3.8/   3.6/   3.5/   3.8
.ER BCAC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    3.8/   3.7/   4.1/   4.8
.ER FARC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   18.1/  17.5/  17.1/  16.6
.ER FARC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   18.1/  17.5/  17.3/  17.4
.ER FARC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   18.1/  17.9/  18.0/  20.4
.ER WOOC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.1/   0.9/   0.7/   0.6
.ER WOOC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.1/   0.9/   0.7/   0.8
.ER WOOC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.1/   0.9/   1.0/   2.0
.ER STWN2 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   12.6/  10.4/   8.6/   7.1
.ER STWN2 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   12.6/  10.5/   8.7/   8.5
.ER STWN2 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   12.7/  11.0/  10.4/  15.4
.ER WWBC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   1.2/   1.0/   0.8
.ER WWBC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   1.3/   1.3/   1.3
.ER WWBC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   1.5/   2.2/   3.1
.ER BPRC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.7/   1.5/   1.4/   1.3
.ER BPRC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.7/   1.8/   2.4/   2.5
.ER BPRC1 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.7/   2.8/   3.8/   4.6
.ER PALN2 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   15.4/  12.6/  12.6/  12.4
.ER PALN2 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   15.4/  12.7/  14.5/  17.7
.ER PALN2 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   15.4/  14.5/  18.5/  27.2
.ER MHSN2 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.1/   1.1/   1.1/   1.1
.ER MHSN2 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.1/   1.1/   1.2/   1.6
.ER MHSN2 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.1/   1.1/   1.6/   3.3
.ER HREN2 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    9.9/   7.7/   7.2/   6.4
.ER HREN2 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    9.9/   7.7/   8.1/   9.2
.ER HREN2 20170303 Z DH12/DC2017022612/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    9.9/   8.9/  10.7/  14.9

$$