20-Day Snowmelt Guidance (Raw Model Output)
ZCZC RNOHFSESP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
258 PM PLT FRI OCT 20 2017
CHPS/ESP MODEL GUIDANCE (SRC=D)
SEE WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/WATER_RESOURCES_UPDATE.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
5-DAY STREAMFLOW VOLUMES IN 1000AF
<------ 5 DAY PERIODS ENDING AT 12Z ON ------>
10/25 10/30 11/04 11/09
----- ----- ----- -----
WMSO3 MAX: 6.7 6.8 6.2 6.4
WILLIAMSON RIVER PROB: 6.6 6.5 5.9 5.8
CHILOQUIN MIN: 6.6 6.5 5.8 5.7
FTJC1 MAX: 0.6 0.5 0.9 1.7
SCOTT RIVER PROB: 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
FORT JONES MIN: 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3
CEGC1 MAX: 1.9 1.7 3.2 7.2
TRINITY PROB: 1.4 0.9 0.9 1.1
TRINITY LK MIN: 1.3 0.9 0.7 0.7
SHDC1 MAX: 37.9 35.1 40.1 50.9
SACRAMENTO PROB: 36.0 33.9 33.8 35.2
SHASTA MIN: 35.8 33.9 33.6 33.4
ORDC1 MAX: 20.7 17.5 17.7 25.5
FEATHER PROB: 20.3 16.9 15.7 15.2
OROVILLE MIN: 20.2 16.9 15.6 14.4
HLEC1 MAX: 11.1 11.4 11.8 13.2
YUBA PROB: 11.1 11.2 11.3 11.4
ENGLEBRIGHT FNF MIN: 11.1 11.2 11.3 11.3
FOLC1 MAX: 11.9 11.6 12.4 15.2
AMERICAN PROB: 11.7 11.2 11.1 11.2
FOLSOM FNF MIN: 11.7 11.2 11.0 10.7
CMPC1 MAX: 0.8 0.7 1.8 3.5
MOKELUMNE PROB: 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.6
PARDEE MIN: 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.5
NMSC1 MAX: 3.3 2.6 2.9 3.5
STANISLAUS PROB: 3.1 2.4 2.0 1.6
NEW MELONES MIN: 3.1 2.4 1.9 1.4
NDPC1 MAX: 4.5 4.4 6.3 7.3
TUOLUMNE PROB: 3.8 3.2 3.2 3.6
NEW DON PEDRO MIN: 3.7 3.1 3.0 3.0
POHC1 MAX: 0.6 0.5 0.8 0.9
MERCED RIVER PROB: 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4
POHONO BRIDGE MIN: 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3
EXQC1 MAX: 1.5 1.0 1.7 2.1
MERCED PROB: 0.9 0.7 0.8 0.9
EXCHEQUER MIN: 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.7
FRAC1 MAX: 5.0 4.6 5.5 5.7
SAN JOAQUIN PROB: 4.6 4.3 4.1 4.0
MILLERTON MIN: 4.5 4.2 4.0 3.9
PFTC1 MAX: 5.2 5.1 5.3 5.9
KINGS PROB: 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.8
PINE FLAT MIN: 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.6
TMDC1 MAX: 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.2
KAWEAH PROB: 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9
LK KAWEAH MIN: 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8
SCSC1 MAX: 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6
TULE PROB: 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3
LK SUCCESS MIN: 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3
ISAC1 MAX: 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.7
KERN PROB: 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1
LK ISABELLA MIN: 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.0
BCAC1 MAX: 1.9 1.8 1.9 1.9
LITTLE TRUCKEE PROB: 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.9
BOCA MIN: 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.9
FARC1 MAX: 4.9 4.7 4.7 5.1
TRUCKEE RIVER PROB: 4.9 4.6 4.5 4.5
FARAD MIN: 4.9 4.6 4.5 4.4
WOOC1 MAX: 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
WF CARSON RIVER PROB: 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3
WOODFORDS MIN: 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3
STWN2 MAX: 2.2 2.1 2.2 2.5
CARSON RIVER PROB: 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.9
CARSON CITY MIN: 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.9
WWBC1 MAX: 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6
W WALKER RIVER PROB: 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5
BLO LITTLE WALKER MIN: 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5
BPRC1 MAX: 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6
EAST WALKER PROB: 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.5
BRIDGEPORT MIN: 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.5
PALN2 MAX: 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.3
HUMBOLDT RIVER PROB: 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.1
PALISADE MIN: 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0
MHSN2 MAX: 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2
MARYS RIVER PROB: 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
ABV HOT SPRGS CK MIN: 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
HREN2 MAX: 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.8
HUMBOLDT RIVER PROB: 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6
ELKO MIN: 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5
MAX: REASONABLE MAXIMUM (10% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
PROB: MOST PROBABLE (50% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
MIN: REASONABLE MINIMUM (90% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN SHEF:
.ER WMSO3 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1 6.6/ 6.5/ 5.8/ 5.7
.ER WMSO3 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1 6.6/ 6.5/ 5.9/ 5.8
.ER WMSO3 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1 6.7/ 6.8/ 6.2/ 6.4
.ER FTJC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1 0.4/ 0.3/ 0.3/ 0.3
.ER FTJC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1 0.4/ 0.4/ 0.4/ 0.4
.ER FTJC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1 0.6/ 0.5/ 0.9/ 1.7
.ER CEGC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1 1.3/ 0.9/ 0.7/ 0.7
.ER CEGC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1 1.4/ 0.9/ 0.9/ 1.1
.ER CEGC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1 1.9/ 1.7/ 3.2/ 7.2
.ER SHDC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1 35.8/ 33.9/ 33.6/ 33.4
.ER SHDC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1 36.0/ 33.9/ 33.8/ 35.2
.ER SHDC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1 37.9/ 35.1/ 40.1/ 50.9
.ER ORDC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1 20.2/ 16.9/ 15.6/ 14.4
.ER ORDC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1 20.3/ 16.9/ 15.7/ 15.2
.ER ORDC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1 20.7/ 17.5/ 17.7/ 25.5
.ER HLEC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1 11.1/ 11.2/ 11.3/ 11.3
.ER HLEC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1 11.1/ 11.2/ 11.3/ 11.4
.ER HLEC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1 11.1/ 11.4/ 11.8/ 13.2
.ER FOLC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1 11.7/ 11.2/ 11.0/ 10.7
.ER FOLC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1 11.7/ 11.2/ 11.1/ 11.2
.ER FOLC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1 11.9/ 11.6/ 12.4/ 15.2
.ER CMPC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1 0.6/ 0.4/ 0.4/ 0.5
.ER CMPC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1 0.7/ 0.5/ 0.5/ 0.6
.ER CMPC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1 0.8/ 0.7/ 1.8/ 3.5
.ER NMSC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1 3.1/ 2.4/ 1.9/ 1.4
.ER NMSC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1 3.1/ 2.4/ 2.0/ 1.6
.ER NMSC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1 3.3/ 2.6/ 2.9/ 3.5
.ER NDPC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1 3.7/ 3.1/ 3.0/ 3.0
.ER NDPC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1 3.8/ 3.2/ 3.2/ 3.6
.ER NDPC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1 4.5/ 4.4/ 6.3/ 7.3
.ER POHC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1 0.4/ 0.4/ 0.3/ 0.3
.ER POHC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1 0.5/ 0.4/ 0.4/ 0.4
.ER POHC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1 0.6/ 0.5/ 0.8/ 0.9
.ER EXQC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1 0.8/ 0.6/ 0.7/ 0.7
.ER EXQC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1 0.9/ 0.7/ 0.8/ 0.9
.ER EXQC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1 1.5/ 1.0/ 1.7/ 2.1
.ER FRAC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1 4.5/ 4.2/ 4.0/ 3.9
.ER FRAC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1 4.6/ 4.3/ 4.1/ 4.0
.ER FRAC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1 5.0/ 4.6/ 5.5/ 5.7
.ER PFTC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1 4.8/ 4.7/ 4.7/ 4.6
.ER PFTC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1 4.9/ 4.8/ 4.8/ 4.8
.ER PFTC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1 5.2/ 5.1/ 5.3/ 5.9
.ER TMDC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1 0.9/ 0.8/ 0.8/ 0.8
.ER TMDC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1 0.9/ 0.9/ 0.9/ 0.9
.ER TMDC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1 1.0/ 1.0/ 1.1/ 1.2
.ER SCSC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1 0.2/ 0.3/ 0.3/ 0.3
.ER SCSC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1 0.2/ 0.3/ 0.3/ 0.3
.ER SCSC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1 0.3/ 0.3/ 0.5/ 0.6
.ER ISAC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1 4.1/ 4.1/ 4.0/ 4.0
.ER ISAC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1 4.1/ 4.1/ 4.1/ 4.1
.ER ISAC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1 4.3/ 4.4/ 4.5/ 4.7
.ER BCAC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1 1.8/ 1.8/ 1.8/ 1.9
.ER BCAC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1 1.8/ 1.8/ 1.8/ 1.9
.ER BCAC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1 1.9/ 1.8/ 1.9/ 1.9
.ER FARC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1 4.9/ 4.6/ 4.5/ 4.4
.ER FARC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1 4.9/ 4.6/ 4.5/ 4.5
.ER FARC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1 4.9/ 4.7/ 4.7/ 5.1
.ER WOOC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1 0.4/ 0.3/ 0.3/ 0.3
.ER WOOC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1 0.4/ 0.3/ 0.3/ 0.3
.ER WOOC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1 0.4/ 0.4/ 0.4/ 0.4
.ER STWN2 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1 2.1/ 2.0/ 1.9/ 1.9
.ER STWN2 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1 2.1/ 2.0/ 1.9/ 1.9
.ER STWN2 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1 2.2/ 2.1/ 2.2/ 2.5
.ER WWBC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1 0.6/ 0.5/ 0.5/ 0.5
.ER WWBC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1 0.6/ 0.6/ 0.5/ 0.5
.ER WWBC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1 0.7/ 0.6/ 0.6/ 0.6
.ER BPRC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1 1.5/ 1.6/ 1.5/ 1.5
.ER BPRC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1 1.5/ 1.6/ 1.5/ 1.5
.ER BPRC1 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1 1.5/ 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.6
.ER PALN2 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1 0.9/ 0.9/ 0.9/ 1.0
.ER PALN2 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1 0.9/ 0.9/ 1.0/ 1.1
.ER PALN2 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1 0.9/ 1.1/ 1.2/ 1.3
.ER MHSN2 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1 0.1/ 0.1/ 0.1/ 0.1
.ER MHSN2 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1 0.1/ 0.1/ 0.1/ 0.1
.ER MHSN2 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1 0.1/ 0.1/ 0.1/ 0.2
.ER HREN2 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1 0.4/ 0.4/ 0.5/ 0.5
.ER HREN2 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1 0.4/ 0.5/ 0.5/ 0.6
.ER HREN2 20171025 Z DH12/DC201710201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1 0.5/ 0.6/ 0.6/ 0.8
$$
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