National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service
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20-Day Snowmelt Guidance (Raw Model Output)

ZCZC RNOHFSESP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
920 AM PLT MON MAY 22 2017

CHPS/ESP MODEL GUIDANCE (SRC=D)
SEE WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/WATER_RESOURCES_UPDATE.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

5-DAY STREAMFLOW VOLUMES IN 1000AF

                        <------ 5 DAY PERIODS ENDING AT 12Z ON ------>   
                         05/27        06/01        06/06        06/11  
                         -----        -----        -----        -----   
WMSO3              MAX:   15.7         14.0         16.0         15.2
WILLIAMSON RIVER  PROB:   15.6         13.4         12.4         11.9
CHILOQUIN          MIN:   15.6         13.1         11.6         10.6

FTJC1              MAX:   19.4         19.1         15.5         14.5
SCOTT RIVER       PROB:   18.5         16.6         13.2         10.3
FORT JONES         MIN:   17.5         14.7         11.5          8.8

CEGC1              MAX:   88.1         84.6         68.5         54.4
TRINITY           PROB:   80.8         71.0         55.9         42.5
TRINITY LK         MIN:   75.3         60.3         42.7         31.9

SHDC1              MAX:   91.8         99.2        103.8         97.1
SACRAMENTO        PROB:   89.2         88.5         84.4         76.6
SHASTA             MIN:   87.3         84.3         79.0         71.1

ORDC1              MAX:  153.6        158.2        140.7        119.6
FEATHER           PROB:  146.4        145.8        124.1        105.7
OROVILLE           MIN:  140.2        126.6        109.4         92.2

HLEC1              MAX:   74.2         70.7         67.6         64.3
YUBA              PROB:   74.1         70.3         66.8         63.6
ENGLEBRIGHT FNF    MIN:   74.1         70.2         66.8         63.5

FOLC1              MAX:  137.0        110.5        100.2         87.3
AMERICAN          PROB:  127.5        100.0         87.8         76.4
FOLSOM FNF         MIN:  119.9         89.8         77.8         65.2

CMPC1              MAX:   76.5         63.9         56.9         48.8
MOKELUMNE         PROB:   69.2         52.7         46.5         37.5
PARDEE             MIN:   60.4         43.7         35.9         28.2

NMSC1              MAX:  120.3         93.0         87.0         79.0
STANISLAUS        PROB:  111.2         79.1         71.9         58.5
NEW MELONES        MIN:   97.3         60.4         47.8         41.4

NDPC1              MAX:  172.2        162.6        184.9        179.0
TUOLUMNE          PROB:  153.5        129.3        136.7        122.2
NEW DON PEDRO      MIN:  132.7         91.0         79.5         76.6

POHC1              MAX:   65.0         58.1         60.2         56.1
MERCED RIVER      PROB:   57.7         45.7         44.6         39.5
POHONO BRIDGE      MIN:   50.6         33.2         24.7         24.3

EXQC1              MAX:   98.5         98.4         96.6         88.1
MERCED            PROB:   89.0         76.3         73.4         63.3
EXCHEQUER          MIN:   78.9         56.9         43.5         41.9

FRAC1              MAX:  200.0        207.6        239.4        216.6
SAN JOAQUIN       PROB:  173.7        160.4        160.1        150.8
MILLERTON          MIN:  147.0        114.3        101.0         89.9

PFTC1              MAX:  206.7        222.2        238.1        212.8
KINGS             PROB:  178.9        166.2        168.6        148.5
PINE FLAT          MIN:  149.7        117.0         98.4         90.7

TMDC1              MAX:   34.5         29.7         29.7         28.1
KAWEAH            PROB:   31.5         24.7         22.0         19.2
LK KAWEAH          MIN:   28.0         18.6         14.5         12.5

SCSC1              MAX:    6.5          6.8         10.0          9.6
TULE              PROB:    6.1          5.5          7.4          6.9
LK SUCCESS         MIN:    5.7          4.7          5.0          4.6

ISAC1              MAX:   64.8         63.3         63.0         60.0
KERN              PROB:   60.6         54.3         50.8         45.3
LK ISABELLA        MIN:   56.7         45.5         40.0         34.5

BCAC1              MAX:    5.7          5.7          5.7          5.7
LITTLE TRUCKEE    PROB:    5.7          5.7          5.7          5.7
BOCA               MIN:    5.7          5.7          5.7          5.7

FARC1              MAX:   49.6         49.0         48.0         47.0
TRUCKEE RIVER     PROB:   48.3         47.0         45.3         44.5
FARAD              MIN:   46.9         45.2         43.2         41.0

WOOC1              MAX:   11.7         13.4         11.2          9.6
WF CARSON RIVER   PROB:    9.8         10.6          9.5          8.0
WOODFORDS          MIN:    8.4          8.5          6.9          6.0

STWN2              MAX:   43.9         54.3         44.6         40.5
CARSON RIVER      PROB:   39.2         42.6         35.5         31.9
CARSON CITY        MIN:   34.8         32.9         25.4         19.8

WWBC1              MAX:   28.0         32.2         33.4         33.6
W WALKER RIVER    PROB:   23.5         23.1         24.7         25.9
BLO LITTLE WALKER  MIN:   19.3         17.2         15.5         14.2

BPRC1              MAX:    9.9         13.3         14.9         15.6
EAST WALKER       PROB:    8.7         10.2         11.5         12.2
BRIDGEPORT         MIN:    7.3          7.8          8.1          8.4

PALN2              MAX:   23.8         29.0         32.5         32.8
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:   23.3         26.1         27.0         25.1
PALISADE           MIN:   22.9         23.0         21.7         18.1

MHSN2              MAX:    3.1          3.4          3.1          3.2
MARYS RIVER       PROB:    2.9          2.8          2.4          2.0
ABV HOT SPRGS CK   MIN:    2.7          2.4          2.0          1.5

HREN2              MAX:   15.4         16.4         17.5         19.5
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:   14.6         14.1         13.3         13.4
ELKO               MIN:   14.0         12.0          9.5          8.4

MAX:  REASONABLE MAXIMUM (10% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
PROB: MOST PROBABLE      (50% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
MIN:  REASONABLE MINIMUM (90% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)

FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN SHEF:
.ER WMSO3 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   15.6/  13.1/  11.6/  10.6
.ER WMSO3 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   15.6/  13.4/  12.4/  11.9
.ER WMSO3 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   15.7/  14.0/  16.0/  15.2
.ER FTJC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   17.5/  14.7/  11.5/   8.8
.ER FTJC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   18.5/  16.6/  13.2/  10.3
.ER FTJC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   19.4/  19.1/  15.5/  14.5
.ER CEGC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   75.3/  60.3/  42.7/  31.9
.ER CEGC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   80.8/  71.0/  55.9/  42.5
.ER CEGC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   88.1/  84.6/  68.5/  54.4
.ER SHDC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   87.3/  84.3/  79.0/  71.1
.ER SHDC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   89.2/  88.5/  84.4/  76.6
.ER SHDC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   91.8/  99.2/ 103.8/  97.1
.ER ORDC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1  140.2/ 126.6/ 109.4/  92.2
.ER ORDC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1  146.4/ 145.8/ 124.1/ 105.7
.ER ORDC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  153.6/ 158.2/ 140.7/ 119.6
.ER HLEC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   74.1/  70.2/  66.8/  63.5
.ER HLEC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   74.1/  70.3/  66.8/  63.6
.ER HLEC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   74.2/  70.7/  67.6/  64.3
.ER FOLC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1  119.9/  89.8/  77.8/  65.2
.ER FOLC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1  127.5/ 100.0/  87.8/  76.4
.ER FOLC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  137.0/ 110.5/ 100.2/  87.3
.ER CMPC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   60.4/  43.7/  35.9/  28.2
.ER CMPC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   69.2/  52.7/  46.5/  37.5
.ER CMPC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   76.5/  63.9/  56.9/  48.8
.ER NMSC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   97.3/  60.4/  47.8/  41.4
.ER NMSC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1  111.2/  79.1/  71.9/  58.5
.ER NMSC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  120.3/  93.0/  87.0/  79.0
.ER NDPC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1  132.7/  91.0/  79.5/  76.6
.ER NDPC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1  153.5/ 129.3/ 136.7/ 122.2
.ER NDPC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  172.2/ 162.6/ 184.9/ 179.0
.ER POHC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   50.6/  33.2/  24.7/  24.3
.ER POHC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   57.7/  45.7/  44.6/  39.5
.ER POHC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   65.0/  58.1/  60.2/  56.1
.ER EXQC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   78.9/  56.9/  43.5/  41.9
.ER EXQC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   89.0/  76.3/  73.4/  63.3
.ER EXQC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   98.5/  98.4/  96.6/  88.1
.ER FRAC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1  147.0/ 114.3/ 101.0/  89.9
.ER FRAC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1  173.7/ 160.4/ 160.1/ 150.8
.ER FRAC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  200.0/ 207.6/ 239.4/ 216.6
.ER PFTC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1  149.7/ 117.0/  98.4/  90.7
.ER PFTC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1  178.9/ 166.2/ 168.6/ 148.5
.ER PFTC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  206.7/ 222.2/ 238.1/ 212.8
.ER TMDC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   28.0/  18.6/  14.5/  12.5
.ER TMDC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   31.5/  24.7/  22.0/  19.2
.ER TMDC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   34.5/  29.7/  29.7/  28.1
.ER SCSC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    5.7/   4.7/   5.0/   4.6
.ER SCSC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    6.1/   5.5/   7.4/   6.9
.ER SCSC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    6.5/   6.8/  10.0/   9.6
.ER ISAC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   56.7/  45.5/  40.0/  34.5
.ER ISAC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   60.6/  54.3/  50.8/  45.3
.ER ISAC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   64.8/  63.3/  63.0/  60.0
.ER BCAC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    5.7/   5.7/   5.7/   5.7
.ER BCAC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    5.7/   5.7/   5.7/   5.7
.ER BCAC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    5.7/   5.7/   5.7/   5.7
.ER FARC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   46.9/  45.2/  43.2/  41.0
.ER FARC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   48.3/  47.0/  45.3/  44.5
.ER FARC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   49.6/  49.0/  48.0/  47.0
.ER WOOC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    8.4/   8.5/   6.9/   6.0
.ER WOOC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    9.8/  10.6/   9.5/   8.0
.ER WOOC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   11.7/  13.4/  11.2/   9.6
.ER STWN2 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   34.8/  32.9/  25.4/  19.8
.ER STWN2 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   39.2/  42.6/  35.5/  31.9
.ER STWN2 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   43.9/  54.3/  44.6/  40.5
.ER WWBC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   19.3/  17.2/  15.5/  14.2
.ER WWBC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   23.5/  23.1/  24.7/  25.9
.ER WWBC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   28.0/  32.2/  33.4/  33.6
.ER BPRC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    7.3/   7.8/   8.1/   8.4
.ER BPRC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    8.7/  10.2/  11.5/  12.2
.ER BPRC1 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    9.9/  13.3/  14.9/  15.6
.ER PALN2 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   22.9/  23.0/  21.7/  18.1
.ER PALN2 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   23.3/  26.1/  27.0/  25.1
.ER PALN2 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   23.8/  29.0/  32.5/  32.8
.ER MHSN2 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.7/   2.4/   2.0/   1.5
.ER MHSN2 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    2.9/   2.8/   2.4/   2.0
.ER MHSN2 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    3.1/   3.4/   3.1/   3.2
.ER HREN2 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   14.0/  12.0/   9.5/   8.4
.ER HREN2 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   14.6/  14.1/  13.3/  13.4
.ER HREN2 20170527 Z DH12/DC2017052212/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   15.4/  16.4/  17.5/  19.5

$$