National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service
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20-Day Snowmelt Guidance (Raw Model Output)

ZCZC RNOHFSESP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
823 AM PLT TUE JUL 11 2017

CHPS/ESP MODEL GUIDANCE (SRC=D)
SEE WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/WATER_RESOURCES_UPDATE.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

5-DAY STREAMFLOW VOLUMES IN 1000AF

                        <------ 5 DAY PERIODS ENDING AT 12Z ON ------>   
                         07/16        07/21        07/26        07/31  
                         -----        -----        -----        -----   
WMSO3              MAX:    5.9          5.8          5.8          5.7
WILLIAMSON RIVER  PROB:    5.9          5.7          5.6          5.6
CHILOQUIN          MIN:    5.9          5.7          5.6          5.5

FTJC1              MAX:    1.4          1.1          0.9          0.6
SCOTT RIVER       PROB:    1.4          1.0          0.7          0.5
FORT JONES         MIN:    1.4          1.0          0.7          0.5

CEGC1              MAX:    6.0          5.5          5.6          6.1
TRINITY           PROB:    5.6          4.7          4.1          4.0
TRINITY LK         MIN:    5.5          4.1          3.5          3.2

SHDC1              MAX:   42.6         42.1         42.4         42.1
SACRAMENTO        PROB:   42.4         41.8         41.4         40.8
SHASTA             MIN:   42.4         41.8         41.4         40.8

ORDC1              MAX:   32.8         30.5         28.7         26.1
FEATHER           PROB:   32.6         29.9         27.7         25.3
OROVILLE           MIN:   32.5         29.7         27.6         25.2

HLEC1              MAX:   27.4         27.4         27.4         27.3
YUBA              PROB:   27.4         27.4         27.3         27.2
ENGLEBRIGHT FNF    MIN:   27.4         27.4         27.3         27.2

FOLC1              MAX:   29.0         27.3         26.3         25.0
AMERICAN          PROB:   29.0         27.2         26.2         24.9
FOLSOM FNF         MIN:   29.0         27.2         26.2         24.9

CMPC1              MAX:    8.4          5.5          4.1          2.5
MOKELUMNE         PROB:    7.7          4.3          2.6          1.8
PARDEE             MIN:    7.3          3.7          2.3          1.7

NMSC1              MAX:   18.6         13.2         10.0          7.9
STANISLAUS        PROB:   18.3         12.7          9.2          7.0
NEW MELONES        MIN:   17.9         12.0          8.3          6.4

NDPC1              MAX:   51.2         35.6         26.5         20.9
TUOLUMNE          PROB:   49.4         32.5         24.5         19.0
NEW DON PEDRO      MIN:   47.6         30.8         21.8         17.4

POHC1              MAX:   15.2         13.9         12.4         10.5
MERCED RIVER      PROB:   14.3         12.4         10.6          9.2
POHONO BRIDGE      MIN:   13.6         11.3          8.3          7.5

EXQC1              MAX:   20.9         18.9         16.9         14.5
MERCED            PROB:   19.9         16.9         14.4         12.6
EXCHEQUER          MIN:   19.0         15.4         11.4         10.3

FRAC1              MAX:   70.0         58.4         52.0         45.0
SAN JOAQUIN       PROB:   65.7         52.8         42.4         36.0
MILLERTON          MIN:   62.8         48.2         35.8         29.5

PFTC1              MAX:   74.5         58.2         48.2         38.5
KINGS             PROB:   66.0         53.0         41.1         33.4
PINE FLAT          MIN:   62.1         46.9         34.0         27.6

TMDC1              MAX:   10.6          9.3          7.0          5.5
KAWEAH            PROB:    9.8          7.9          6.1          4.7
LK KAWEAH          MIN:    9.4          7.2          4.9          3.8

SCSC1              MAX:    1.0          1.0          1.0          0.9
TULE              PROB:    0.9          0.9          0.9          0.8
LK SUCCESS         MIN:    0.9          0.9          0.8          0.8

ISAC1              MAX:   30.5         26.8         23.0         19.3
KERN              PROB:   28.7         24.7         20.5         17.1
LK ISABELLA        MIN:   27.5         23.2         18.5         15.8

BCAC1              MAX:    2.0          2.0          2.0          2.0
LITTLE TRUCKEE    PROB:    2.0          2.0          1.9          1.9
BOCA               MIN:    2.0          2.0          1.9          1.9

FARC1              MAX:   10.4          9.2          8.5          8.0
TRUCKEE RIVER     PROB:   10.3          9.2          8.4          7.9
FARAD              MIN:   10.3          9.2          8.4          7.9

WOOC1              MAX:    2.6          2.3          2.3          1.9
WF CARSON RIVER   PROB:    2.4          1.9          1.7          1.3
WOODFORDS          MIN:    2.3          1.8          1.3          1.1

STWN2              MAX:   13.1         10.5          7.5          5.7
CARSON RIVER      PROB:   12.6          9.4          6.2          4.2
CARSON CITY        MIN:   11.9          8.4          5.1          3.5

WWBC1              MAX:   17.8         14.5         10.1          7.9
W WALKER RIVER    PROB:   16.9         13.0          8.8          6.4
BLO LITTLE WALKER  MIN:   15.8         11.7          6.9          5.0

BPRC1              MAX:   10.7         10.1          9.0          7.6
EAST WALKER       PROB:   10.5          9.5          8.1          7.0
BRIDGEPORT         MIN:   10.2          8.8          7.3          6.2

PALN2              MAX:    4.9          4.3          3.7          2.5
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    4.9          3.5          2.5          1.5
PALISADE           MIN:    4.9          3.3          2.0          1.1

MHSN2              MAX:    0.2          0.2          0.2          0.2
MARYS RIVER       PROB:    0.2          0.1          0.1          0.1
ABV HOT SPRGS CK   MIN:    0.2          0.1          0.1          0.1

HREN2              MAX:    5.9          5.5          4.2          2.6
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    5.8          4.1          2.8          1.8
ELKO               MIN:    5.8          3.8          2.5          1.6

MAX:  REASONABLE MAXIMUM (10% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
PROB: MOST PROBABLE      (50% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
MIN:  REASONABLE MINIMUM (90% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)

FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN SHEF:
.ER WMSO3 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    5.9/   5.7/   5.6/   5.5
.ER WMSO3 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    5.9/   5.7/   5.6/   5.6
.ER WMSO3 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    5.9/   5.8/   5.8/   5.7
.ER FTJC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.4/   1.0/   0.7/   0.5
.ER FTJC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.4/   1.0/   0.7/   0.5
.ER FTJC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.4/   1.1/   0.9/   0.6
.ER CEGC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    5.5/   4.1/   3.5/   3.2
.ER CEGC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    5.6/   4.7/   4.1/   4.0
.ER CEGC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    6.0/   5.5/   5.6/   6.1
.ER SHDC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   42.4/  41.8/  41.4/  40.8
.ER SHDC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   42.4/  41.8/  41.4/  40.8
.ER SHDC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   42.6/  42.1/  42.4/  42.1
.ER ORDC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   32.5/  29.7/  27.6/  25.2
.ER ORDC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   32.6/  29.9/  27.7/  25.3
.ER ORDC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   32.8/  30.5/  28.7/  26.1
.ER HLEC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   27.4/  27.4/  27.3/  27.2
.ER HLEC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   27.4/  27.4/  27.3/  27.2
.ER HLEC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   27.4/  27.4/  27.4/  27.3
.ER FOLC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   29.0/  27.2/  26.2/  24.9
.ER FOLC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   29.0/  27.2/  26.2/  24.9
.ER FOLC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   29.0/  27.3/  26.3/  25.0
.ER CMPC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    7.3/   3.7/   2.3/   1.7
.ER CMPC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    7.7/   4.3/   2.6/   1.8
.ER CMPC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    8.4/   5.5/   4.1/   2.5
.ER NMSC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   17.9/  12.0/   8.3/   6.4
.ER NMSC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   18.3/  12.7/   9.2/   7.0
.ER NMSC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   18.6/  13.2/  10.0/   7.9
.ER NDPC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   47.6/  30.8/  21.8/  17.4
.ER NDPC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   49.4/  32.5/  24.5/  19.0
.ER NDPC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   51.2/  35.6/  26.5/  20.9
.ER POHC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   13.6/  11.3/   8.3/   7.5
.ER POHC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   14.3/  12.4/  10.6/   9.2
.ER POHC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   15.2/  13.9/  12.4/  10.5
.ER EXQC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   19.0/  15.4/  11.4/  10.3
.ER EXQC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   19.9/  16.9/  14.4/  12.6
.ER EXQC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   20.9/  18.9/  16.9/  14.5
.ER FRAC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   62.8/  48.2/  35.8/  29.5
.ER FRAC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   65.7/  52.8/  42.4/  36.0
.ER FRAC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   70.0/  58.4/  52.0/  45.0
.ER PFTC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   62.1/  46.9/  34.0/  27.6
.ER PFTC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   66.0/  53.0/  41.1/  33.4
.ER PFTC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   74.5/  58.2/  48.2/  38.5
.ER TMDC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    9.4/   7.2/   4.9/   3.8
.ER TMDC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    9.8/   7.9/   6.1/   4.7
.ER TMDC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   10.6/   9.3/   7.0/   5.5
.ER SCSC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   0.9/   0.8/   0.8
.ER SCSC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   0.9/   0.9/   0.8
.ER SCSC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.0/   1.0/   1.0/   0.9
.ER ISAC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   27.5/  23.2/  18.5/  15.8
.ER ISAC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   28.7/  24.7/  20.5/  17.1
.ER ISAC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   30.5/  26.8/  23.0/  19.3
.ER BCAC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.0/   2.0/   1.9/   1.9
.ER BCAC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    2.0/   2.0/   1.9/   1.9
.ER BCAC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    2.0/   2.0/   2.0/   2.0
.ER FARC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   10.3/   9.2/   8.4/   7.9
.ER FARC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   10.3/   9.2/   8.4/   7.9
.ER FARC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   10.4/   9.2/   8.5/   8.0
.ER WOOC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.3/   1.8/   1.3/   1.1
.ER WOOC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    2.4/   1.9/   1.7/   1.3
.ER WOOC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    2.6/   2.3/   2.3/   1.9
.ER STWN2 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   11.9/   8.4/   5.1/   3.5
.ER STWN2 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   12.6/   9.4/   6.2/   4.2
.ER STWN2 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   13.1/  10.5/   7.5/   5.7
.ER WWBC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   15.8/  11.7/   6.9/   5.0
.ER WWBC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   16.9/  13.0/   8.8/   6.4
.ER WWBC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   17.8/  14.5/  10.1/   7.9
.ER BPRC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   10.2/   8.8/   7.3/   6.2
.ER BPRC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   10.5/   9.5/   8.1/   7.0
.ER BPRC1 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   10.7/  10.1/   9.0/   7.6
.ER PALN2 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    4.9/   3.3/   2.0/   1.1
.ER PALN2 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.9/   3.5/   2.5/   1.5
.ER PALN2 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    4.9/   4.3/   3.7/   2.5
.ER MHSN2 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER MHSN2 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER MHSN2 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER HREN2 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    5.8/   3.8/   2.5/   1.6
.ER HREN2 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    5.8/   4.1/   2.8/   1.8
.ER HREN2 20170716 Z DH12/DC2017071112/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    5.9/   5.5/   4.2/   2.6

$$