National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service
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20-Day Snowmelt Guidance (Raw Model Output)

ZCZC RNOHFSESP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
837 AM PLT MON AUG 21 2017

CHPS/ESP MODEL GUIDANCE (SRC=D)
SEE WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/WATER_RESOURCES_UPDATE.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

5-DAY STREAMFLOW VOLUMES IN 1000AF

                        <------ 5 DAY PERIODS ENDING AT 12Z ON ------>   
                         08/26        08/31        09/05        09/10  
                         -----        -----        -----        -----   
WMSO3              MAX:    6.0          6.4          6.5          6.6
WILLIAMSON RIVER  PROB:    5.9          6.1          6.2          6.3
CHILOQUIN          MIN:    5.9          6.0          6.1          6.3

FTJC1              MAX:    0.3          0.2          0.3          0.3
SCOTT RIVER       PROB:    0.1          0.2          0.2          0.2
FORT JONES         MIN:    0.1          0.1          0.2          0.2

CEGC1              MAX:    2.2          1.6          1.8          1.6
TRINITY           PROB:    1.7          1.5          1.4          1.3
TRINITY LK         MIN:    1.7          1.5          1.4          1.3

SHDC1              MAX:   38.2         37.3         37.5         37.0
SACRAMENTO        PROB:   36.6         36.3         36.0         35.8
SHASTA             MIN:   36.5         36.2         36.0         35.7

ORDC1              MAX:   19.1         19.6         19.9         20.4
FEATHER           PROB:   19.0         19.3         19.7         20.0
OROVILLE           MIN:   19.0         19.3         19.6         20.0

HLEC1              MAX:   18.1         18.1         18.1         18.1
YUBA              PROB:   18.1         18.0         18.0         18.0
ENGLEBRIGHT FNF    MIN:   18.1         18.0         18.0         18.0

FOLC1              MAX:   22.8         22.5         22.5         22.5
AMERICAN          PROB:   22.6         22.4         22.2         22.1
FOLSOM FNF         MIN:   22.6         22.4         22.2         22.1

CMPC1              MAX:    1.3          1.0          0.8          0.8
MOKELUMNE         PROB:    1.2          1.0          0.8          0.6
PARDEE             MIN:    1.1          0.9          0.7          0.6

NMSC1              MAX:    6.0          4.7          4.5          3.7
STANISLAUS        PROB:    4.7          3.8          3.4          3.0
NEW MELONES        MIN:    4.6          3.6          3.2          2.9

NDPC1              MAX:    8.2          7.0          5.9          5.5
TUOLUMNE          PROB:    7.1          6.0          5.1          4.5
NEW DON PEDRO      MIN:    6.8          5.8          5.0          4.3

POHC1              MAX:    4.3          2.5          2.1          2.0
MERCED RIVER      PROB:    2.4          1.8          1.5          1.3
POHONO BRIDGE      MIN:    2.0          1.5          1.3          1.2

EXQC1              MAX:    4.9          3.1          2.5          2.3
MERCED            PROB:    3.0          2.2          1.8          1.6
EXCHEQUER          MIN:    2.6          1.9          1.6          1.5

FRAC1              MAX:   16.2         11.2         10.4          9.2
SAN JOAQUIN       PROB:   11.0          8.9          8.3          7.0
MILLERTON          MIN:   10.9          8.8          8.1          6.8

PFTC1              MAX:   21.6         15.0         12.1         10.0
KINGS             PROB:   11.1          9.6          8.6          7.8
PINE FLAT          MIN:   11.0          9.4          8.4          7.7

TMDC1              MAX:    2.5          1.6          1.1          0.8
KAWEAH            PROB:    1.5          1.1          0.8          0.7
LK KAWEAH          MIN:    1.4          1.0          0.7          0.6

SCSC1              MAX:    0.4          0.3          0.3          0.2
TULE              PROB:    0.3          0.3          0.3          0.2
LK SUCCESS         MIN:    0.3          0.3          0.3          0.2

ISAC1              MAX:    7.5          6.9          6.7          6.3
KERN              PROB:    7.4          6.8          6.4          6.0
LK ISABELLA        MIN:    7.4          6.8          6.3          6.0

BCAC1              MAX:    1.2          1.2          1.2          1.2
LITTLE TRUCKEE    PROB:    1.2          1.2          1.2          1.2
BOCA               MIN:    1.2          1.2          1.2          1.2

FARC1              MAX:    6.9          6.7          6.5          6.4
TRUCKEE RIVER     PROB:    6.8          6.6          6.4          6.3
FARAD              MIN:    6.8          6.5          6.3          6.3

WOOC1              MAX:    0.6          0.5          0.5          0.4
WF CARSON RIVER   PROB:    0.6          0.5          0.4          0.4
WOODFORDS          MIN:    0.5          0.5          0.4          0.4

STWN2              MAX:    3.4          2.8          2.3          1.9
CARSON RIVER      PROB:    1.8          1.5          1.4          1.5
CARSON CITY        MIN:    1.6          1.3          1.3          1.4

WWBC1              MAX:    4.4          3.3          2.4          2.2
W WALKER RIVER    PROB:    3.1          2.4          2.0          1.7
BLO LITTLE WALKER  MIN:    2.9          2.3          1.9          1.7

BPRC1              MAX:    2.8          2.6          2.4          2.3
EAST WALKER       PROB:    2.8          2.5          2.4          2.2
BRIDGEPORT         MIN:    2.7          2.5          2.3          2.2

PALN2              MAX:    0.5          0.5          0.5          0.6
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    0.5          0.4          0.3          0.3
PALISADE           MIN:    0.5          0.4          0.3          0.3

MHSN2              MAX:    0.0          0.0          0.0          0.1
MARYS RIVER       PROB:    0.0          0.0          0.0          0.0
ABV HOT SPRGS CK   MIN:    0.0          0.0          0.0          0.0

HREN2              MAX:    0.3          0.4          0.4          0.5
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    0.3          0.3          0.2          0.2
ELKO               MIN:    0.3          0.2          0.2          0.1

MAX:  REASONABLE MAXIMUM (10% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
PROB: MOST PROBABLE      (50% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
MIN:  REASONABLE MINIMUM (90% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)

FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN SHEF:
.ER WMSO3 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    5.9/   6.0/   6.1/   6.3
.ER WMSO3 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    5.9/   6.1/   6.2/   6.3
.ER WMSO3 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    6.0/   6.4/   6.5/   6.6
.ER FTJC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.2/   0.2
.ER FTJC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER FTJC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.2/   0.3/   0.3
.ER CEGC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.7/   1.5/   1.4/   1.3
.ER CEGC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.7/   1.5/   1.4/   1.3
.ER CEGC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    2.2/   1.6/   1.8/   1.6
.ER SHDC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   36.5/  36.2/  36.0/  35.7
.ER SHDC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   36.6/  36.3/  36.0/  35.8
.ER SHDC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   38.2/  37.3/  37.5/  37.0
.ER ORDC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   19.0/  19.3/  19.6/  20.0
.ER ORDC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   19.0/  19.3/  19.7/  20.0
.ER ORDC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   19.1/  19.6/  19.9/  20.4
.ER HLEC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   18.1/  18.0/  18.0/  18.0
.ER HLEC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   18.1/  18.0/  18.0/  18.0
.ER HLEC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   18.1/  18.1/  18.1/  18.1
.ER FOLC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   22.6/  22.4/  22.2/  22.1
.ER FOLC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   22.6/  22.4/  22.2/  22.1
.ER FOLC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   22.8/  22.5/  22.5/  22.5
.ER CMPC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.1/   0.9/   0.7/   0.6
.ER CMPC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.2/   1.0/   0.8/   0.6
.ER CMPC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.3/   1.0/   0.8/   0.8
.ER NMSC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    4.6/   3.6/   3.2/   2.9
.ER NMSC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.7/   3.8/   3.4/   3.0
.ER NMSC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    6.0/   4.7/   4.5/   3.7
.ER NDPC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    6.8/   5.8/   5.0/   4.3
.ER NDPC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    7.1/   6.0/   5.1/   4.5
.ER NDPC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    8.2/   7.0/   5.9/   5.5
.ER POHC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.0/   1.5/   1.3/   1.2
.ER POHC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    2.4/   1.8/   1.5/   1.3
.ER POHC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    4.3/   2.5/   2.1/   2.0
.ER EXQC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.6/   1.9/   1.6/   1.5
.ER EXQC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    3.0/   2.2/   1.8/   1.6
.ER EXQC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    4.9/   3.1/   2.5/   2.3
.ER FRAC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   10.9/   8.8/   8.1/   6.8
.ER FRAC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   11.0/   8.9/   8.3/   7.0
.ER FRAC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   16.2/  11.2/  10.4/   9.2
.ER PFTC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   11.0/   9.4/   8.4/   7.7
.ER PFTC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   11.1/   9.6/   8.6/   7.8
.ER PFTC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   21.6/  15.0/  12.1/  10.0
.ER TMDC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.4/   1.0/   0.7/   0.6
.ER TMDC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   1.1/   0.8/   0.7
.ER TMDC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    2.5/   1.6/   1.1/   0.8
.ER SCSC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.3/   0.3/   0.2
.ER SCSC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.3/   0.3/   0.2
.ER SCSC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.3/   0.3/   0.2
.ER ISAC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    7.4/   6.8/   6.3/   6.0
.ER ISAC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    7.4/   6.8/   6.4/   6.0
.ER ISAC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    7.5/   6.9/   6.7/   6.3
.ER BCAC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.2/   1.2/   1.2/   1.2
.ER BCAC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.2/   1.2/   1.2/   1.2
.ER BCAC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.2/   1.2/   1.2/   1.2
.ER FARC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    6.8/   6.5/   6.3/   6.3
.ER FARC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    6.8/   6.6/   6.4/   6.3
.ER FARC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    6.9/   6.7/   6.5/   6.4
.ER WOOC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.5/   0.4/   0.4
.ER WOOC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   0.5/   0.4/   0.4
.ER WOOC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   0.5/   0.5/   0.4
.ER STWN2 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.6/   1.3/   1.3/   1.4
.ER STWN2 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.8/   1.5/   1.4/   1.5
.ER STWN2 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    3.4/   2.8/   2.3/   1.9
.ER WWBC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.9/   2.3/   1.9/   1.7
.ER WWBC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    3.1/   2.4/   2.0/   1.7
.ER WWBC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    4.4/   3.3/   2.4/   2.2
.ER BPRC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.7/   2.5/   2.3/   2.2
.ER BPRC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    2.8/   2.5/   2.4/   2.2
.ER BPRC1 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    2.8/   2.6/   2.4/   2.3
.ER PALN2 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.4/   0.3/   0.3
.ER PALN2 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.4/   0.3/   0.3
.ER PALN2 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.5/   0.5/   0.6
.ER MHSN2 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.0/   0.0/   0.0/   0.0
.ER MHSN2 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.0/   0.0/   0.0/   0.0
.ER MHSN2 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.0/   0.0/   0.0/   0.1
.ER HREN2 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.2/   0.2/   0.1
.ER HREN2 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.3/   0.2/   0.2
.ER HREN2 20170826 Z DH12/DC201708211200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.4/   0.4/   0.5

$$