National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service
Printer Version
20-Day Snowmelt Guidance (Raw Model Output)

ZCZC RNOHFSESP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
1018 AM PLT WED JAN 18 2017

CHPS/ESP MODEL GUIDANCE (SRC=D)
SEE WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/WATER_RESOURCES_UPDATE.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

5-DAY STREAMFLOW VOLUMES IN 1000AF

                        <------ 5 DAY PERIODS ENDING AT 12Z ON ------>   
                         01/23        01/28        02/02        02/07  
                         -----        -----        -----        -----   
WMSO3              MAX:    9.0          6.7          6.8         10.7
WILLIAMSON RIVER  PROB:    7.5          5.8          4.8          5.5
CHILOQUIN          MIN:    7.1          5.5          4.6          4.1

FTJC1              MAX:   26.4         17.5         15.3         23.5
SCOTT RIVER       PROB:   18.5         12.6         10.6         11.5
FORT JONES         MIN:   14.2         10.0          8.0          7.7

CEGC1              MAX:   42.9         26.3         25.4         60.0
TRINITY           PROB:   33.2         19.9         17.4         21.9
TRINITY LK         MIN:   27.1         17.4         14.8         15.7

SHDC1              MAX:  450.1        235.1        168.5        273.9
SACRAMENTO        PROB:  282.4        161.2        110.9        115.5
SHASTA             MIN:  212.4        133.3         92.2         79.0

ORDC1              MAX:  179.7        146.7        103.3        204.3
FEATHER           PROB:  116.6        105.9         71.3         75.4
OROVILLE           MIN:   91.7         91.2         59.5         48.3

HLEC1              MAX:   97.1         85.6         58.9         67.5
YUBA              PROB:   71.2         62.5         47.7         45.8
ENGLEBRIGHT FNF    MIN:   62.1         53.9         44.0         41.4

FOLC1              MAX:  215.4        159.4         87.7        146.8
AMERICAN          PROB:  129.6        105.3         61.1         60.1
FOLSOM FNF         MIN:  102.1         79.6         53.3         45.9

CMPC1              MAX:   40.7         27.1         16.7         33.4
MOKELUMNE         PROB:   24.6         16.3         10.3         11.7
PARDEE             MIN:   20.3         12.8          8.1          7.6

NMSC1              MAX:  104.4         72.6         39.0         56.2
STANISLAUS        PROB:   60.7         43.6         22.9         21.2
NEW MELONES        MIN:   42.8         29.2         18.5         15.6

NDPC1              MAX:  138.2        101.9         51.6         68.7
TUOLUMNE          PROB:   76.3         60.1         33.5         34.7
NEW DON PEDRO      MIN:   57.5         40.9         28.1         24.3

POHC1              MAX:    9.5          4.8          3.5          4.2
MERCED RIVER      PROB:    8.2          4.2          2.8          2.7
POHONO BRIDGE      MIN:    8.0          4.0          2.4          2.0

EXQC1              MAX:  121.9         72.8         32.3         42.8
MERCED            PROB:   55.2         42.1         19.4         18.8
EXCHEQUER          MIN:   35.0         25.9         15.5         13.2

FRAC1              MAX:  129.5         94.1         51.7         49.1
SAN JOAQUIN       PROB:   65.5         62.3         30.6         28.6
MILLERTON          MIN:   44.3         38.5         25.3         21.7

PFTC1              MAX:  106.1         78.5         39.3         40.2
KINGS             PROB:   57.2         49.7         25.4         21.4
PINE FLAT          MIN:   40.5         33.0         19.7         14.6

TMDC1              MAX:   32.2         30.3         24.1         17.6
KAWEAH            PROB:   18.6         17.9         11.0          9.8
LK KAWEAH          MIN:   12.9         14.3          8.9          7.4

SCSC1              MAX:   23.5         32.5         19.8         15.9
TULE              PROB:   11.9         13.7          9.2          7.8
LK SUCCESS         MIN:    6.7          8.3          6.9          5.8

ISAC1              MAX:   19.8         20.3         21.2         18.4
KERN              PROB:   13.4         12.8         10.6          9.8
LK ISABELLA        MIN:   11.7         11.2          9.0          8.1

BCAC1              MAX:    1.0          0.7          0.6          0.9
LITTLE TRUCKEE    PROB:    0.8          0.6          0.6          0.6
BOCA               MIN:    0.8          0.6          0.5          0.5

FARC1              MAX:    9.9          8.6          7.9          8.8
TRUCKEE RIVER     PROB:    9.7          8.5          7.7          7.3
FARAD              MIN:    9.6          8.4          7.7          7.1

WOOC1              MAX:    1.9          1.4          0.8          1.0
WF CARSON RIVER   PROB:    1.9          1.4          0.8          0.6
WOODFORDS          MIN:    1.9          1.4          0.8          0.6

STWN2              MAX:    3.9          2.1          3.0          4.6
CARSON RIVER      PROB:    2.4          1.8          2.1          2.4
CARSON CITY        MIN:    2.3          1.7          1.8          1.8

WWBC1              MAX:    1.6          1.3          1.1          1.1
W WALKER RIVER    PROB:    1.5          1.2          1.0          0.8
BLO LITTLE WALKER  MIN:    1.5          1.2          1.0          0.8

BPRC1              MAX:    2.0          1.4          1.5          1.9
EAST WALKER       PROB:    1.5          1.2          1.1          1.2
BRIDGEPORT         MIN:    1.4          1.2          1.1          0.9

PALN2              MAX:    2.8          2.8          2.6          3.2
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    2.8          2.5          2.4          2.3
PALISADE           MIN:    2.8          2.5          2.4          2.2

MHSN2              MAX:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.1
MARYS RIVER       PROB:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.1
ABV HOT SPRGS CK   MIN:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.1

HREN2              MAX:    1.9          1.7          1.5          1.8
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    1.9          1.7          1.5          1.4
ELKO               MIN:    1.9          1.7          1.5          1.4

MAX:  REASONABLE MAXIMUM (10% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
PROB: MOST PROBABLE      (50% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
MIN:  REASONABLE MINIMUM (90% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)

FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN SHEF:
.ER WMSO3 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    7.1/   5.5/   4.6/   4.1
.ER WMSO3 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    7.5/   5.8/   4.8/   5.5
.ER WMSO3 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    9.0/   6.7/   6.8/  10.7
.ER FTJC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   14.2/  10.0/   8.0/   7.7
.ER FTJC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   18.5/  12.6/  10.6/  11.5
.ER FTJC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   26.4/  17.5/  15.3/  23.5
.ER CEGC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   27.1/  17.4/  14.8/  15.7
.ER CEGC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   33.2/  19.9/  17.4/  21.9
.ER CEGC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   42.9/  26.3/  25.4/  60.0
.ER SHDC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1  212.4/ 133.3/  92.2/  79.0
.ER SHDC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1  282.4/ 161.2/ 110.9/ 115.5
.ER SHDC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  450.1/ 235.1/ 168.5/ 273.9
.ER ORDC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   91.7/  91.2/  59.5/  48.3
.ER ORDC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1  116.6/ 105.9/  71.3/  75.4
.ER ORDC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  179.7/ 146.7/ 103.3/ 204.3
.ER HLEC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   62.1/  53.9/  44.0/  41.4
.ER HLEC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   71.2/  62.5/  47.7/  45.8
.ER HLEC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   97.1/  85.6/  58.9/  67.5
.ER FOLC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1  102.1/  79.6/  53.3/  45.9
.ER FOLC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1  129.6/ 105.3/  61.1/  60.1
.ER FOLC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  215.4/ 159.4/  87.7/ 146.8
.ER CMPC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   20.3/  12.8/   8.1/   7.6
.ER CMPC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   24.6/  16.3/  10.3/  11.7
.ER CMPC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   40.7/  27.1/  16.7/  33.4
.ER NMSC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   42.8/  29.2/  18.5/  15.6
.ER NMSC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   60.7/  43.6/  22.9/  21.2
.ER NMSC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  104.4/  72.6/  39.0/  56.2
.ER NDPC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   57.5/  40.9/  28.1/  24.3
.ER NDPC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   76.3/  60.1/  33.5/  34.7
.ER NDPC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  138.2/ 101.9/  51.6/  68.7
.ER POHC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    8.0/   4.0/   2.4/   2.0
.ER POHC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    8.2/   4.2/   2.8/   2.7
.ER POHC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    9.5/   4.8/   3.5/   4.2
.ER EXQC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   35.0/  25.9/  15.5/  13.2
.ER EXQC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   55.2/  42.1/  19.4/  18.8
.ER EXQC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  121.9/  72.8/  32.3/  42.8
.ER FRAC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   44.3/  38.5/  25.3/  21.7
.ER FRAC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   65.5/  62.3/  30.6/  28.6
.ER FRAC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  129.5/  94.1/  51.7/  49.1
.ER PFTC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   40.5/  33.0/  19.7/  14.6
.ER PFTC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   57.2/  49.7/  25.4/  21.4
.ER PFTC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  106.1/  78.5/  39.3/  40.2
.ER TMDC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   12.9/  14.3/   8.9/   7.4
.ER TMDC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   18.6/  17.9/  11.0/   9.8
.ER TMDC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   32.2/  30.3/  24.1/  17.6
.ER SCSC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    6.7/   8.3/   6.9/   5.8
.ER SCSC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   11.9/  13.7/   9.2/   7.8
.ER SCSC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   23.5/  32.5/  19.8/  15.9
.ER ISAC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   11.7/  11.2/   9.0/   8.1
.ER ISAC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   13.4/  12.8/  10.6/   9.8
.ER ISAC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   19.8/  20.3/  21.2/  18.4
.ER BCAC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   0.6/   0.5/   0.5
.ER BCAC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   0.6/   0.6/   0.6
.ER BCAC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.0/   0.7/   0.6/   0.9
.ER FARC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    9.6/   8.4/   7.7/   7.1
.ER FARC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    9.7/   8.5/   7.7/   7.3
.ER FARC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    9.9/   8.6/   7.9/   8.8
.ER WOOC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.9/   1.4/   0.8/   0.6
.ER WOOC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.9/   1.4/   0.8/   0.6
.ER WOOC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.9/   1.4/   0.8/   1.0
.ER STWN2 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.3/   1.7/   1.8/   1.8
.ER STWN2 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    2.4/   1.8/   2.1/   2.4
.ER STWN2 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    3.9/   2.1/   3.0/   4.6
.ER WWBC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   1.2/   1.0/   0.8
.ER WWBC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   1.2/   1.0/   0.8
.ER WWBC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.6/   1.3/   1.1/   1.1
.ER BPRC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.4/   1.2/   1.1/   0.9
.ER BPRC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   1.2/   1.1/   1.2
.ER BPRC1 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    2.0/   1.4/   1.5/   1.9
.ER PALN2 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.8/   2.5/   2.4/   2.2
.ER PALN2 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    2.8/   2.5/   2.4/   2.3
.ER PALN2 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    2.8/   2.8/   2.6/   3.2
.ER MHSN2 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER MHSN2 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER MHSN2 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER HREN2 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.9/   1.7/   1.5/   1.4
.ER HREN2 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.9/   1.7/   1.5/   1.4
.ER HREN2 20170123 Z DH12/DC2017011812/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.9/   1.7/   1.5/   1.8

$$