ZCZC RNOHFSESP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
916 AM PLT THU NOV 23 2017

CHPS/ESP MODEL GUIDANCE (SRC=D)
SEE WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/WATER_RESOURCES_UPDATE.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

5-DAY STREAMFLOW VOLUMES IN 1000AF

                        <------ 5 DAY PERIODS ENDING AT 12Z ON ------>   
                         11/28        12/03        12/08        12/13  
                         -----        -----        -----        -----   
WMSO3              MAX:    7.7          9.0          9.1          9.8
WILLIAMSON RIVER  PROB:    7.0          7.6          7.6          7.6
CHILOQUIN          MIN:    6.8          6.8          6.8          6.7

FTJC1              MAX:   12.0          6.8          5.0          8.5
SCOTT RIVER       PROB:    4.9          3.0          2.4          2.5
FORT JONES         MIN:    3.4          1.7          1.3          1.3

CEGC1              MAX:   26.8         25.8         18.9         29.9
TRINITY           PROB:   11.7          9.0          7.6          7.8
TRINITY LK         MIN:    7.8          4.1          4.3          3.8

SHDC1              MAX:  131.5        124.1        108.9        186.8
SACRAMENTO        PROB:   75.0         66.5         55.8         57.3
SHASTA             MIN:   63.9         53.3         45.8         41.9

ORDC1              MAX:   95.7        105.5         87.9        123.0
FEATHER           PROB:   54.2         47.0         40.6         38.8
OROVILLE           MIN:   46.3         37.7         29.6         25.3

HLEC1              MAX:   26.8         25.5         15.1         25.5
YUBA              PROB:   11.5          9.6          8.6          8.3
ENGLEBRIGHT FNF    MIN:    8.6          8.2          7.6          7.3

FOLC1              MAX:   90.8         81.1         71.2         83.7
AMERICAN          PROB:   48.3         42.9         35.5         35.0
FOLSOM             MIN:   40.7         34.6         29.6         27.8

CMPC1              MAX:   24.0         22.5         13.0         16.6
MOKELUMNE         PROB:   14.8         13.6          7.3          6.3
PARDEE             MIN:   11.2          7.3          4.0          2.5

NMSC1              MAX:   18.3         17.3         13.9         15.1
STANISLAUS        PROB:    9.6          8.2          6.5          5.1
NEW MELONES        MIN:    7.6          6.3          4.7          3.8

NDPC1              MAX:   30.5         26.4         17.9         22.6
TUOLUMNE          PROB:   14.6         10.9          9.1          8.4
NEW DON PEDRO      MIN:   12.2          9.2          7.3          6.2

POHC1              MAX:    4.9          5.4          4.6          4.0
MERCED RIVER      PROB:    2.9          2.6          2.1          2.1
POHONO BRIDGE      MIN:    2.6          2.0          1.7          1.6

EXQC1              MAX:    8.6          9.2          7.5          7.5
MERCED            PROB:    4.7          4.0          3.7          3.6
EXCHEQUER          MIN:    4.1          3.4          3.1          2.9

FRAC1              MAX:   14.8          9.4          8.7         11.2
SAN JOAQUIN       PROB:    5.2          4.8          4.4          4.1
MILLERTON          MIN:    3.7          3.5          3.3          3.1

PFTC1              MAX:    7.0          7.5          9.2          7.5
KINGS             PROB:    4.4          4.1          4.0          3.9
PINE FLAT          MIN:    4.1          3.8          3.6          3.4

TMDC1              MAX:    1.6          2.0          2.7          2.7
KAWEAH            PROB:    1.5          1.4          1.4          1.3
LK KAWEAH          MIN:    1.5          1.4          1.3          1.2

SCSC1              MAX:    0.8          0.8          0.9          1.0
TULE              PROB:    0.6          0.5          0.5          0.6
LK SUCCESS         MIN:    0.5          0.5          0.5          0.5

ISAC1              MAX:    5.5          5.7          5.5          5.6
KERN              PROB:    4.7          4.5          4.4          4.2
LK ISABELLA        MIN:    4.6          4.3          4.1          3.8

BCAC1              MAX:    1.4          1.4          1.3          1.5
LITTLE TRUCKEE    PROB:    1.3          1.2          1.1          1.1
BOCA               MIN:    1.2          1.2          1.1          1.1

FARC1              MAX:   17.5         17.6         16.5         16.3
TRUCKEE RIVER     PROB:   15.8         15.3         14.8         14.6
FARAD              MIN:   15.3         14.8         14.4         14.2

WOOC1              MAX:    2.3          2.3          1.2          1.7
WF CARSON RIVER   PROB:    1.3          1.2          0.8          0.7
WOODFORDS          MIN:    0.9          0.8          0.6          0.6

STWN2              MAX:    7.3          7.2          5.5          6.3
CARSON RIVER      PROB:    4.9          4.4          3.3          3.4
CARSON CITY        MIN:    4.4          3.5          2.9          2.7

WWBC1              MAX:    1.5          1.6          1.4          1.4
W WALKER RIVER    PROB:    1.2          1.0          0.8          0.8
BLO LITTLE WALKER  MIN:    1.1          0.9          0.7          0.6

BPRC1              MAX:    1.5          1.7          1.6          2.4
EAST WALKER       PROB:    1.1          1.2          1.3          1.4
BRIDGEPORT         MIN:    1.1          1.1          1.2          1.3

PALN2              MAX:    1.6          1.7          1.9          2.0
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    1.5          1.3          1.4          1.5
PALISADE           MIN:    1.4          1.2          1.2          1.3

MHSN2              MAX:    0.2          0.3          0.3          0.3
MARYS RIVER       PROB:    0.2          0.2          0.2          0.2
ABV HOT SPRGS CK   MIN:    0.2          0.2          0.2          0.2

HREN2              MAX:    0.8          1.0          1.2          1.3
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    0.8          0.8          0.9          1.0
ELKO               MIN:    0.8          0.7          0.8          0.8

MAX:  REASONABLE MAXIMUM (10% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
PROB: MOST PROBABLE      (50% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
MIN:  REASONABLE MINIMUM (90% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)

FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN SHEF:
.ER WMSO3 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    6.8/   6.8/   6.8/   6.7
.ER WMSO3 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    7.0/   7.6/   7.6/   7.6
.ER WMSO3 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    7.7/   9.0/   9.1/   9.8
.ER FTJC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    3.4/   1.7/   1.3/   1.3
.ER FTJC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.9/   3.0/   2.4/   2.5
.ER FTJC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   12.0/   6.8/   5.0/   8.5
.ER CEGC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    7.8/   4.1/   4.3/   3.8
.ER CEGC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   11.7/   9.0/   7.6/   7.8
.ER CEGC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   26.8/  25.8/  18.9/  29.9
.ER SHDC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   63.9/  53.3/  45.8/  41.9
.ER SHDC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   75.0/  66.5/  55.8/  57.3
.ER SHDC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  131.5/ 124.1/ 108.9/ 186.8
.ER ORDC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   46.3/  37.7/  29.6/  25.3
.ER ORDC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   54.2/  47.0/  40.6/  38.8
.ER ORDC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   95.7/ 105.5/  87.9/ 123.0
.ER HLEC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    8.6/   8.2/   7.6/   7.3
.ER HLEC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   11.5/   9.6/   8.6/   8.3
.ER HLEC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   26.8/  25.5/  15.1/  25.5
.ER FOLC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   40.7/  34.6/  29.6/  27.8
.ER FOLC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   48.3/  42.9/  35.5/  35.0
.ER FOLC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   90.8/  81.1/  71.2/  83.7
.ER CMPC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   11.2/   7.3/   4.0/   2.5
.ER CMPC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   14.8/  13.6/   7.3/   6.3
.ER CMPC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   24.0/  22.5/  13.0/  16.6
.ER NMSC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    7.6/   6.3/   4.7/   3.8
.ER NMSC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    9.6/   8.2/   6.5/   5.1
.ER NMSC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   18.3/  17.3/  13.9/  15.1
.ER NDPC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   12.2/   9.2/   7.3/   6.2
.ER NDPC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   14.6/  10.9/   9.1/   8.4
.ER NDPC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   30.5/  26.4/  17.9/  22.6
.ER POHC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.6/   2.0/   1.7/   1.6
.ER POHC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    2.9/   2.6/   2.1/   2.1
.ER POHC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    4.9/   5.4/   4.6/   4.0
.ER EXQC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    4.1/   3.4/   3.1/   2.9
.ER EXQC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.7/   4.0/   3.7/   3.6
.ER EXQC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    8.6/   9.2/   7.5/   7.5
.ER FRAC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    3.7/   3.5/   3.3/   3.1
.ER FRAC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    5.2/   4.8/   4.4/   4.1
.ER FRAC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   14.8/   9.4/   8.7/  11.2
.ER PFTC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    4.1/   3.8/   3.6/   3.4
.ER PFTC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.4/   4.1/   4.0/   3.9
.ER PFTC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    7.0/   7.5/   9.2/   7.5
.ER TMDC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   1.4/   1.3/   1.2
.ER TMDC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   1.4/   1.4/   1.3
.ER TMDC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.6/   2.0/   2.7/   2.7
.ER SCSC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.5/   0.5/   0.5
.ER SCSC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   0.5/   0.5/   0.6
.ER SCSC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   0.8/   0.9/   1.0
.ER ISAC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    4.6/   4.3/   4.1/   3.8
.ER ISAC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.7/   4.5/   4.4/   4.2
.ER ISAC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    5.5/   5.7/   5.5/   5.6
.ER BCAC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.2/   1.2/   1.1/   1.1
.ER BCAC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.3/   1.2/   1.1/   1.1
.ER BCAC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.4/   1.4/   1.3/   1.5
.ER FARC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   15.3/  14.8/  14.4/  14.2
.ER FARC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   15.8/  15.3/  14.8/  14.6
.ER FARC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   17.5/  17.6/  16.5/  16.3
.ER WOOC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   0.8/   0.6/   0.6
.ER WOOC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.3/   1.2/   0.8/   0.7
.ER WOOC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    2.3/   2.3/   1.2/   1.7
.ER STWN2 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    4.4/   3.5/   2.9/   2.7
.ER STWN2 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.9/   4.4/   3.3/   3.4
.ER STWN2 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    7.3/   7.2/   5.5/   6.3
.ER WWBC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.1/   0.9/   0.7/   0.6
.ER WWBC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.2/   1.0/   0.8/   0.8
.ER WWBC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   1.6/   1.4/   1.4
.ER BPRC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.1/   1.1/   1.2/   1.3
.ER BPRC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.1/   1.2/   1.3/   1.4
.ER BPRC1 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   1.7/   1.6/   2.4
.ER PALN2 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.4/   1.2/   1.2/   1.3
.ER PALN2 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   1.3/   1.4/   1.5
.ER PALN2 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.6/   1.7/   1.9/   2.0
.ER MHSN2 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER MHSN2 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER MHSN2 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.3/   0.3/   0.3
.ER HREN2 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   0.7/   0.8/   0.8
.ER HREN2 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   0.8/   0.9/   1.0
.ER HREN2 20171128 Z DH12/DC201711231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   1.0/   1.2/   1.3

$$