ZCZC RNOHFSESP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
916 AM PLT THU JUL 27 2017

CHPS/ESP MODEL GUIDANCE (SRC=D)
SEE WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/WATER_RESOURCES_UPDATE.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

5-DAY STREAMFLOW VOLUMES IN 1000AF

                        <------ 5 DAY PERIODS ENDING AT 12Z ON ------>   
                         08/01        08/06        08/11        08/16  
                         -----        -----        -----        -----   
WMSO3              MAX:    6.0          5.8          5.7          5.7
WILLIAMSON RIVER  PROB:    5.9          5.7          5.6          5.4
CHILOQUIN          MIN:    5.9          5.7          5.5          5.4

FTJC1              MAX:    0.4          0.3          0.3          0.4
SCOTT RIVER       PROB:    0.3          0.2          0.2          0.1
FORT JONES         MIN:    0.3          0.2          0.2          0.1

CEGC1              MAX:    1.2          1.1          0.9          0.7
TRINITY           PROB:    1.2          1.0          0.8          0.6
TRINITY LK         MIN:    1.2          1.0          0.8          0.6

SHDC1              MAX:   40.2         40.3         39.4         39.6
SACRAMENTO        PROB:   40.0         39.4         38.9         38.5
SHASTA             MIN:   40.0         39.4         38.9         38.4

ORDC1              MAX:   29.2         28.0         26.5         25.3
FEATHER           PROB:   29.1         27.6         26.2         25.0
OROVILLE           MIN:   29.1         27.6         26.2         25.0

HLEC1              MAX:   26.1         26.5         26.4         26.4
YUBA              PROB:   26.1         26.5         26.4         26.3
ENGLEBRIGHT FNF    MIN:   26.1         26.5         26.4         26.3

FOLC1              MAX:   26.3         26.6         26.1         25.6
AMERICAN          PROB:   26.3         26.6         26.0         25.5
FOLSOM FNF         MIN:   26.3         26.6         26.0         25.5

CMPC1              MAX:    2.7          2.1          1.8          1.4
MOKELUMNE         PROB:    2.5          1.8          1.4          1.2
PARDEE             MIN:    2.5          1.8          1.4          1.2

NMSC1              MAX:   13.6         10.7          8.2          6.2
STANISLAUS        PROB:   13.3         10.1          7.2          5.6
NEW MELONES        MIN:   13.0          9.6          6.8          5.3

NDPC1              MAX:   23.8         19.8         14.4         10.4
TUOLUMNE          PROB:   23.0         18.4         13.0          9.6
NEW DON PEDRO      MIN:   22.5         17.3         12.1          9.1

POHC1              MAX:    6.6          8.0          6.1          4.6
MERCED RIVER      PROB:    6.3          5.9          4.7          3.5
POHONO BRIDGE      MIN:    6.0          5.1          3.9          2.9

EXQC1              MAX:    8.5          9.9          8.0          6.1
MERCED            PROB:    8.1          8.0          6.3          4.7
EXCHEQUER          MIN:    7.7          6.8          5.2          3.7

FRAC1              MAX:   39.2         36.9         28.5         25.0
SAN JOAQUIN       PROB:   35.5         30.6         23.3         18.2
MILLERTON          MIN:   33.7         27.2         19.7         14.7

PFTC1              MAX:   36.4         34.0         27.8         19.5
KINGS             PROB:   35.0         29.7         22.3         16.4
PINE FLAT          MIN:   33.6         26.1         18.7         14.2

TMDC1              MAX:    4.5          4.7          3.8          2.5
KAWEAH            PROB:    4.3          3.7          2.9          2.0
LK KAWEAH          MIN:    4.2          3.3          2.3          1.6

SCSC1              MAX:    0.6          0.6          0.6          0.5
TULE              PROB:    0.6          0.5          0.5          0.4
LK SUCCESS         MIN:    0.6          0.5          0.5          0.4

ISAC1              MAX:   16.4         16.2         13.0         11.1
KERN              PROB:   16.0         14.0         11.9         10.4
LK ISABELLA        MIN:   15.6         13.4         11.5         10.2

BCAC1              MAX:    0.9          1.0          1.0          1.0
LITTLE TRUCKEE    PROB:    0.9          0.9          1.0          1.0
BOCA               MIN:    0.9          0.9          1.0          1.0

FARC1              MAX:    6.0          5.4          5.0          4.8
TRUCKEE RIVER     PROB:    6.0          5.3          4.9          4.7
FARAD              MIN:    6.0          5.3          4.9          4.7

WOOC1              MAX:    1.5          1.7          1.1          1.0
WF CARSON RIVER   PROB:    1.1          0.9          0.7          0.6
WOODFORDS          MIN:    1.1          0.8          0.7          0.6

STWN2              MAX:    5.6          6.0          4.0          3.3
CARSON RIVER      PROB:    4.6          4.3          3.1          2.5
CARSON CITY        MIN:    4.2          3.5          2.6          2.3

WWBC1              MAX:   10.1          9.4          6.2          4.1
W WALKER RIVER    PROB:    9.2          8.3          5.1          3.4
BLO LITTLE WALKER  MIN:    8.5          6.7          4.4          3.1

BPRC1              MAX:    5.7          5.6          5.2          4.5
EAST WALKER       PROB:    5.5          5.0          4.5          4.1
BRIDGEPORT         MIN:    5.4          4.9          4.4          4.0

PALN2              MAX:    1.8          1.4          1.2          0.9
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    1.7          1.3          0.9          0.6
PALISADE           MIN:    1.7          1.2          0.8          0.4

MHSN2              MAX:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.1
MARYS RIVER       PROB:    0.1          0.0          0.0          0.0
ABV HOT SPRGS CK   MIN:    0.1          0.0          0.0          0.0

HREN2              MAX:    1.1          1.0          0.8          0.6
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    1.1          0.8          0.5          0.3
ELKO               MIN:    1.1          0.7          0.4          0.2

MAX:  REASONABLE MAXIMUM (10% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
PROB: MOST PROBABLE      (50% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
MIN:  REASONABLE MINIMUM (90% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)

FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN SHEF:
.ER WMSO3 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    5.9/   5.7/   5.5/   5.4
.ER WMSO3 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    5.9/   5.7/   5.6/   5.4
.ER WMSO3 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    6.0/   5.8/   5.7/   5.7
.ER FTJC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.2/   0.2/   0.1
.ER FTJC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.2/   0.2/   0.1
.ER FTJC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.3/   0.3/   0.4
.ER CEGC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.2/   1.0/   0.8/   0.6
.ER CEGC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.2/   1.0/   0.8/   0.6
.ER CEGC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.2/   1.1/   0.9/   0.7
.ER SHDC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   40.0/  39.4/  38.9/  38.4
.ER SHDC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   40.0/  39.4/  38.9/  38.5
.ER SHDC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   40.2/  40.3/  39.4/  39.6
.ER ORDC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   29.1/  27.6/  26.2/  25.0
.ER ORDC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   29.1/  27.6/  26.2/  25.0
.ER ORDC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   29.2/  28.0/  26.5/  25.3
.ER HLEC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   26.1/  26.5/  26.4/  26.3
.ER HLEC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   26.1/  26.5/  26.4/  26.3
.ER HLEC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   26.1/  26.5/  26.4/  26.4
.ER FOLC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   26.3/  26.6/  26.0/  25.5
.ER FOLC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   26.3/  26.6/  26.0/  25.5
.ER FOLC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   26.3/  26.6/  26.1/  25.6
.ER CMPC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.5/   1.8/   1.4/   1.2
.ER CMPC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    2.5/   1.8/   1.4/   1.2
.ER CMPC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    2.7/   2.1/   1.8/   1.4
.ER NMSC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   13.0/   9.6/   6.8/   5.3
.ER NMSC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   13.3/  10.1/   7.2/   5.6
.ER NMSC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   13.6/  10.7/   8.2/   6.2
.ER NDPC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   22.5/  17.3/  12.1/   9.1
.ER NDPC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   23.0/  18.4/  13.0/   9.6
.ER NDPC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   23.8/  19.8/  14.4/  10.4
.ER POHC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    6.0/   5.1/   3.9/   2.9
.ER POHC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    6.3/   5.9/   4.7/   3.5
.ER POHC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    6.6/   8.0/   6.1/   4.6
.ER EXQC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    7.7/   6.8/   5.2/   3.7
.ER EXQC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    8.1/   8.0/   6.3/   4.7
.ER EXQC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    8.5/   9.9/   8.0/   6.1
.ER FRAC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   33.7/  27.2/  19.7/  14.7
.ER FRAC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   35.5/  30.6/  23.3/  18.2
.ER FRAC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   39.2/  36.9/  28.5/  25.0
.ER PFTC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   33.6/  26.1/  18.7/  14.2
.ER PFTC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   35.0/  29.7/  22.3/  16.4
.ER PFTC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   36.4/  34.0/  27.8/  19.5
.ER TMDC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    4.2/   3.3/   2.3/   1.6
.ER TMDC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.3/   3.7/   2.9/   2.0
.ER TMDC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    4.5/   4.7/   3.8/   2.5
.ER SCSC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   0.5/   0.5/   0.4
.ER SCSC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   0.5/   0.5/   0.4
.ER SCSC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   0.6/   0.6/   0.5
.ER ISAC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   15.6/  13.4/  11.5/  10.2
.ER ISAC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   16.0/  14.0/  11.9/  10.4
.ER ISAC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   16.4/  16.2/  13.0/  11.1
.ER BCAC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   0.9/   1.0/   1.0
.ER BCAC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   0.9/   1.0/   1.0
.ER BCAC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   1.0/   1.0/   1.0
.ER FARC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    6.0/   5.3/   4.9/   4.7
.ER FARC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    6.0/   5.3/   4.9/   4.7
.ER FARC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    6.0/   5.4/   5.0/   4.8
.ER WOOC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.1/   0.8/   0.7/   0.6
.ER WOOC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.1/   0.9/   0.7/   0.6
.ER WOOC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   1.7/   1.1/   1.0
.ER STWN2 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    4.2/   3.5/   2.6/   2.3
.ER STWN2 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.6/   4.3/   3.1/   2.5
.ER STWN2 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    5.6/   6.0/   4.0/   3.3
.ER WWBC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    8.5/   6.7/   4.4/   3.1
.ER WWBC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    9.2/   8.3/   5.1/   3.4
.ER WWBC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   10.1/   9.4/   6.2/   4.1
.ER BPRC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    5.4/   4.9/   4.4/   4.0
.ER BPRC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    5.5/   5.0/   4.5/   4.1
.ER BPRC1 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    5.7/   5.6/   5.2/   4.5
.ER PALN2 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.7/   1.2/   0.8/   0.4
.ER PALN2 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.7/   1.3/   0.9/   0.6
.ER PALN2 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.8/   1.4/   1.2/   0.9
.ER MHSN2 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.0/   0.0/   0.0
.ER MHSN2 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.0/   0.0/   0.0
.ER MHSN2 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER HREN2 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.1/   0.7/   0.4/   0.2
.ER HREN2 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.1/   0.8/   0.5/   0.3
.ER HREN2 20170801 Z DH12/DC2017072712/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.1/   1.0/   0.8/   0.6

$$