ZCZC RNOHFSESP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
1002 AM PLT SAT SEP 23 2017

CHPS/ESP MODEL GUIDANCE (SRC=D)
SEE WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/WATER_RESOURCES_UPDATE.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

5-DAY STREAMFLOW VOLUMES IN 1000AF

                        <------ 5 DAY PERIODS ENDING AT 12Z ON ------>   
                         09/28        10/03        10/08        10/13  
                         -----        -----        -----        -----   
WMSO3              MAX:    6.2          6.3          6.9          7.1
WILLIAMSON RIVER  PROB:    6.2          6.2          6.4          6.7
CHILOQUIN          MIN:    6.2          6.2          6.4          6.5

FTJC1              MAX:    0.3          0.4          0.7          0.7
SCOTT RIVER       PROB:    0.3          0.2          0.3          0.3
FORT JONES         MIN:    0.3          0.2          0.2          0.3

CEGC1              MAX:    0.0          0.3          2.9          3.2
TRINITY           PROB:    0.0          0.2          0.9          0.9
TRINITY LK         MIN:    0.0          0.2          0.9          0.8

SHDC1              MAX:   32.3         34.5         38.6         41.8
SACRAMENTO        PROB:   32.1         32.0         32.3         32.6
SHASTA             MIN:   32.1         32.0         32.1         32.2

ORDC1              MAX:   22.7         22.3         23.9         27.7
FEATHER           PROB:   21.7         21.5         21.1         21.0
OROVILLE           MIN:   21.3         20.9         20.6         20.5

HLEC1              MAX:    2.8          2.9          3.2          3.8
YUBA              PROB:    2.8          2.7          2.8          2.9
ENGLEBRIGHT FNF    MIN:    2.8          2.7          2.8          2.8

FOLC1              MAX:   16.5         16.7         17.8         19.4
AMERICAN          PROB:   16.5         16.4         16.3         16.4
FOLSOM FNF         MIN:   16.5         16.4         16.3         16.3

CMPC1              MAX:    1.0          1.0          1.6          3.0
MOKELUMNE         PROB:    1.0          0.9          0.8          0.8
PARDEE             MIN:    1.0          0.9          0.8          0.8

NMSC1              MAX:    3.4          3.2          3.8          4.0
STANISLAUS        PROB:    3.4          3.0          2.6          2.3
NEW MELONES        MIN:    3.4          3.0          2.6          2.3

NDPC1              MAX:    5.3          4.8          8.2          6.8
TUOLUMNE          PROB:    5.3          4.2          3.7          3.5
NEW DON PEDRO      MIN:    5.2          4.2          3.6          3.3

POHC1              MAX:    1.6          1.6          1.9          1.5
MERCED RIVER      PROB:    1.5          1.2          1.0          0.9
POHONO BRIDGE      MIN:    1.4          1.1          1.0          0.8

EXQC1              MAX:    1.9          1.9          2.9          2.9
MERCED            PROB:    1.7          1.4          1.2          1.1
EXCHEQUER          MIN:    1.7          1.4          1.2          1.1

FRAC1              MAX:    5.8          5.6          6.5          5.6
SAN JOAQUIN       PROB:    5.8          5.3          4.8          4.5
MILLERTON          MIN:    5.8          5.3          4.8          4.5

PFTC1              MAX:    6.8          6.4          6.7          6.5
KINGS             PROB:    6.8          6.2          5.8          5.5
PINE FLAT          MIN:    6.8          6.2          5.8          5.4

TMDC1              MAX:    1.4          1.4          1.4          1.4
KAWEAH            PROB:    1.4          1.3          1.3          1.2
LK KAWEAH          MIN:    1.4          1.3          1.3          1.2

SCSC1              MAX:    0.4          0.4          0.4          0.5
TULE              PROB:    0.4          0.4          0.4          0.4
LK SUCCESS         MIN:    0.4          0.4          0.4          0.4

ISAC1              MAX:    5.2          5.0          4.8          4.9
KERN              PROB:    5.1          4.9          4.7          4.5
LK ISABELLA        MIN:    5.1          4.9          4.7          4.5

BCAC1              MAX:    0.7          0.7          0.7          0.7
LITTLE TRUCKEE    PROB:    0.7          0.7          0.7          0.7
BOCA               MIN:    0.7          0.7          0.7          0.7

FARC1              MAX:    5.7          5.7          5.9          5.9
TRUCKEE RIVER     PROB:    5.7          5.6          5.6          5.6
FARAD              MIN:    5.7          5.6          5.6          5.5

WOOC1              MAX:    0.5          0.4          0.4          0.4
WF CARSON RIVER   PROB:    0.5          0.4          0.4          0.3
WOODFORDS          MIN:    0.5          0.4          0.4          0.3

STWN2              MAX:    2.8          2.6          2.8          2.7
CARSON RIVER      PROB:    2.7          2.5          2.4          2.3
CARSON CITY        MIN:    2.7          2.5          2.4          2.2

WWBC1              MAX:    1.5          1.7          1.9          1.7
W WALKER RIVER    PROB:    1.5          1.3          1.2          1.1
BLO LITTLE WALKER  MIN:    1.5          1.3          1.2          1.1

BPRC1              MAX:    1.9          1.9          1.8          1.8
EAST WALKER       PROB:    1.9          1.8          1.7          1.7
BRIDGEPORT         MIN:    1.9          1.8          1.7          1.7

PALN2              MAX:    0.9          0.9          1.0          1.2
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    0.8          0.7          0.7          0.7
PALISADE           MIN:    0.8          0.7          0.6          0.6

MHSN2              MAX:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.2
MARYS RIVER       PROB:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.1
ABV HOT SPRGS CK   MIN:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.1

HREN2              MAX:    0.6          0.6          0.6          0.7
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    0.6          0.5          0.5          0.5
ELKO               MIN:    0.6          0.5          0.5          0.4

MAX:  REASONABLE MAXIMUM (10% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
PROB: MOST PROBABLE      (50% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
MIN:  REASONABLE MINIMUM (90% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)

FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN SHEF:
.ER WMSO3 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    6.2/   6.2/   6.4/   6.5
.ER WMSO3 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    6.2/   6.2/   6.4/   6.7
.ER WMSO3 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    6.2/   6.3/   6.9/   7.1
.ER FTJC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.2/   0.2/   0.3
.ER FTJC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.2/   0.3/   0.3
.ER FTJC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.4/   0.7/   0.7
.ER CEGC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.0/   0.2/   0.9/   0.8
.ER CEGC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.0/   0.2/   0.9/   0.9
.ER CEGC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.0/   0.3/   2.9/   3.2
.ER SHDC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   32.1/  32.0/  32.1/  32.2
.ER SHDC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   32.1/  32.0/  32.3/  32.6
.ER SHDC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   32.3/  34.5/  38.6/  41.8
.ER ORDC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   21.3/  20.9/  20.6/  20.5
.ER ORDC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   21.7/  21.5/  21.1/  21.0
.ER ORDC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   22.7/  22.3/  23.9/  27.7
.ER HLEC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.8/   2.7/   2.8/   2.8
.ER HLEC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    2.8/   2.7/   2.8/   2.9
.ER HLEC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    2.8/   2.9/   3.2/   3.8
.ER FOLC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   16.5/  16.4/  16.3/  16.3
.ER FOLC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   16.5/  16.4/  16.3/  16.4
.ER FOLC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   16.5/  16.7/  17.8/  19.4
.ER CMPC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.0/   0.9/   0.8/   0.8
.ER CMPC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.0/   0.9/   0.8/   0.8
.ER CMPC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.0/   1.0/   1.6/   3.0
.ER NMSC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    3.4/   3.0/   2.6/   2.3
.ER NMSC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    3.4/   3.0/   2.6/   2.3
.ER NMSC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    3.4/   3.2/   3.8/   4.0
.ER NDPC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    5.2/   4.2/   3.6/   3.3
.ER NDPC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    5.3/   4.2/   3.7/   3.5
.ER NDPC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    5.3/   4.8/   8.2/   6.8
.ER POHC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.4/   1.1/   1.0/   0.8
.ER POHC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   1.2/   1.0/   0.9
.ER POHC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.6/   1.6/   1.9/   1.5
.ER EXQC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.7/   1.4/   1.2/   1.1
.ER EXQC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.7/   1.4/   1.2/   1.1
.ER EXQC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.9/   1.9/   2.9/   2.9
.ER FRAC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    5.8/   5.3/   4.8/   4.5
.ER FRAC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    5.8/   5.3/   4.8/   4.5
.ER FRAC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    5.8/   5.6/   6.5/   5.6
.ER PFTC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    6.8/   6.2/   5.8/   5.4
.ER PFTC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    6.8/   6.2/   5.8/   5.5
.ER PFTC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    6.8/   6.4/   6.7/   6.5
.ER TMDC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.4/   1.3/   1.3/   1.2
.ER TMDC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.4/   1.3/   1.3/   1.2
.ER TMDC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.4/   1.4/   1.4/   1.4
.ER SCSC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.4/   0.4
.ER SCSC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.4/   0.4
.ER SCSC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.4/   0.5
.ER ISAC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    5.1/   4.9/   4.7/   4.5
.ER ISAC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    5.1/   4.9/   4.7/   4.5
.ER ISAC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    5.2/   5.0/   4.8/   4.9
.ER BCAC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.7/   0.7/   0.7/   0.7
.ER BCAC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.7/   0.7/   0.7/   0.7
.ER BCAC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.7/   0.7/   0.7/   0.7
.ER FARC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    5.7/   5.6/   5.6/   5.5
.ER FARC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    5.7/   5.6/   5.6/   5.6
.ER FARC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    5.7/   5.7/   5.9/   5.9
.ER WOOC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.4/   0.4/   0.3
.ER WOOC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.4/   0.4/   0.3
.ER WOOC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.4/   0.4/   0.4
.ER STWN2 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.7/   2.5/   2.4/   2.2
.ER STWN2 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    2.7/   2.5/   2.4/   2.3
.ER STWN2 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    2.8/   2.6/   2.8/   2.7
.ER WWBC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   1.3/   1.2/   1.1
.ER WWBC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   1.3/   1.2/   1.1
.ER WWBC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   1.7/   1.9/   1.7
.ER BPRC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.9/   1.8/   1.7/   1.7
.ER BPRC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.9/   1.8/   1.7/   1.7
.ER BPRC1 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.9/   1.9/   1.8/   1.8
.ER PALN2 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   0.7/   0.6/   0.6
.ER PALN2 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   0.7/   0.7/   0.7
.ER PALN2 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   0.9/   1.0/   1.2
.ER MHSN2 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER MHSN2 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER MHSN2 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.2
.ER HREN2 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   0.5/   0.5/   0.4
.ER HREN2 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   0.5/   0.5/   0.5
.ER HREN2 20170928 Z DH12/DC201709231200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   0.6/   0.6/   0.7

$$