ZCZC RNOHFSSPK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
1020 AM PLT SAT MAY 18 2013

RAW ENSEMBLE MODEL GUIDANCE (SRC=D)
SEE WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/WATER_RESOURCES_UPDATE.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

OBSERVED (TO DATE) SPRING 1-DAY PEAK STREAMFLOW VOLUME AND 
FORECAST 1-DAY PEAK STREAMFLOW VOLUME AND DATE OF PEAK (MONTH/DAY)
BETWEEN 05/18/2013 AND 07/31/2013

                           OBS      <===    F O R E C A S T     ===>
                         TO DATE    MIN(90%)   PROB(50%)    MAX(10%)
                         -------    --------   ---------    --------
WMSO3              KAF:    3.1         1.4         1.4         1.9
WILLIAMSON RIVER  DATE:   04/11       05/18       05/22       06/17
CHILOQUIN         

FTJC1              KAF:    3.1         0.9         1.0         2.9
SCOTT RIVER       DATE:   04/06       05/18       05/19       05/31
FORT JONES        

CEGC1              KAF:   11.2         2.2         2.8         6.7
TRINITY           DATE:   04/01       05/22       05/24       06/09
TRINITY LK        

SHDC1              KAF:   22.0         7.7         9.2        13.8
SACRAMENTO        DATE:   04/07       05/18       05/28       06/27
SHASTA            

ORDC1              KAF:   21.7         5.9         5.9        12.3
FEATHER           DATE:   04/01       05/18       05/18       06/08
OROVILLE          

HLEC1              KAF:    8.7         2.5         2.5         7.7
YUBA              DATE:   04/01       05/19       05/19       05/30
ENGLEBRIGHT FNF   

FOLC1              KAF:   13.0         3.9         4.1        14.4
AMERICAN          DATE:   04/05       05/18       05/20       06/06
FOLSOM FNF        

CMPC1              KAF:    4.6         2.2         2.4         4.5
MOKELUMNE         DATE:   04/30       05/18       05/21       06/05
PARDEE            

NMSC1              KAF:    5.9         3.2         3.7         6.2
STANISLAUS        DATE:   04/30       05/18       05/22       06/09
NEW MELONES       

NDPC1              KAF:   13.5         6.6         8.3        14.4
TUOLUMNE          DATE:   05/14       05/21       05/22       06/07
NEW DON PEDRO     

POHC1              KAF:    4.8         2.3         2.8         4.3
MERCED RIVER      DATE:   05/01       05/21       05/22       06/05
POHONO BRIDGE     

EXQC1              KAF:    6.6         2.7         3.2         5.2
MERCED            DATE:   04/30       05/18       05/22       06/09
EXCHEQUER         

FRAC1              KAF:   11.5         6.2         7.9        15.0
SAN JOAQUIN       DATE:   04/30       05/20       05/22       06/06
MILLERTON         

PFTC1              KAF:   10.0         6.3         7.2        16.3
KINGS             DATE:   05/01       05/20       05/23       06/06
PINE FLAT         

TMDC1              KAF:    2.0         1.0         1.0         2.2
KAWEAH            DATE:   05/01       05/18       05/18       05/28
LK KAWEAH         

SCSC1              KAF:    0.2         0.0         0.0         0.2
TULE              DATE:   04/02       05/22       06/03       06/10
LK SUCCESS        

ISAC1              KAF:    2.0         1.1         1.4         3.0
KERN              DATE:   05/02       05/19       05/23       05/31
LK ISABELLA       

FARC1              KAF:    1.9         1.2         1.2         2.9
TRUCKEE RIVER     DATE:   04/05       05/18       05/18       05/31
FARAD             

WOOC1              KAF:    0.5         0.3         0.4         0.8
WF CARSON RIVER   DATE:   05/01       05/18       05/23       06/10
WOODFORDS         

STWN2              KAF:    1.3         1.0         1.4         2.7
CARSON RIVER      DATE:   05/15       05/20       05/23       06/03
CARSON CITY       

WWBC1              KAF:    1.9         1.6         1.9         2.2
W WALKER RIVER    DATE:   05/14       05/21       05/23       06/07
BLO LITTLE WALKER 

BPRC1              KAF:    0.2         0.3         0.3         0.5
EAST WALKER       DATE:   05/17       05/24       05/30       06/10
BRIDGEPORT        

PALN2              KAF:    0.4         0.4         0.4         1.2
HUMBOLDT RIVER    DATE:   04/12       05/18       05/22       06/18
PALISADE          

MHSN2              KAF:    0.2    -19833.0    -19833.0    -19833.0
MARYS RIVER       DATE:   05/18       00/00       00/00       00/00
ABV HOT SPRGS CK  

HREN2              KAF:    0.2         0.1         0.4         1.1
HUMBOLDT RIVER    DATE:   04/07       05/21       06/06       06/19
ELKO              

OBS:  OBSERVED SPRING PEAK TO DATE (SINCE APRIL 1)
MAX:  REASONABLE MAXIMUM (10% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
PROB: MOST PROBABLE      (50% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
MIN:  REASONABLE MINIMUM (90% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
$$