ZCZC RNOHFSSPK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
1023 AM PLT SAT SEP 23 2017

RAW ENSEMBLE MODEL GUIDANCE (SRC=D)
SEE WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/WATER_RESOURCES_UPDATE.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

OBSERVED (TO DATE) SPRING 1-DAY PEAK STREAMFLOW VOLUME AND 
FORECAST 1-DAY PEAK STREAMFLOW VOLUME AND DATE OF PEAK (MONTH/DAY)
BETWEEN 04/01/2018 AND 07/31/2018

                           OBS      <===    F O R E C A S T     ===>
                         TO DATE    MIN(90%)   PROB(50%)    MAX(10%)
                         -------    --------   ---------    --------
WMSO3              KAF:    7.1         2.6         4.6         8.8
WILLIAMSON RIVER  DATE:   04/01       04/01       04/11       05/15
CHILOQUIN         

FTJC1              KAF:    7.2         1.8         3.4         6.1
SCOTT RIVER       DATE:   05/06       04/10       05/20       06/03
FORT JONES        

CEGC1              KAF:   21.4         9.7        15.1        26.7
TRINITY           DATE:   05/05       04/12       05/08       05/30
TRINITY LK        

SHDC1              KAF:   69.6        17.0        34.6        88.5
SACRAMENTO        DATE:   04/08       04/01       04/16       05/19
SHASTA            

ORDC1              KAF:   88.5        17.9        31.1        96.3
FEATHER           DATE:   04/08       04/01       04/20       05/20
OROVILLE          

HLEC1              KAF:   41.0        12.2        21.6        65.8
YUBA              DATE:   04/19       04/03       05/01       05/23
ENGLEBRIGHT FNF   

FOLC1              KAF:   56.2        14.1        24.1        81.3
AMERICAN          DATE:   04/19       04/08       04/29       05/29
FOLSOM FNF        

CMPC1              KAF:   17.0         5.1         8.7        22.8
MOKELUMNE         DATE:   05/06       04/15       05/12       06/04
PARDEE            

NMSC1              KAF:   28.7         6.8        14.0        33.4
STANISLAUS        DATE:   04/19       04/04       05/01       05/23
NEW MELONES       

NDPC1              KAF:   39.9        12.9        26.6        49.9
TUOLUMNE          DATE:   06/19       04/15       05/17       06/02
NEW DON PEDRO     

POHC1              KAF:   15.9         4.5         9.3        17.5
MERCED RIVER      DATE:   05/06       04/18       05/18       06/01
POHONO BRIDGE     

EXQC1              KAF:   21.5         6.2        14.1        32.3
MERCED            DATE:   05/06       04/12       05/13       05/29
EXCHEQUER         

FRAC1              KAF:   40.2        12.0        24.8        51.8
SAN JOAQUIN       DATE:   06/20       04/29       05/19       06/09
MILLERTON         

PFTC1              KAF:   41.0        13.1        25.2        48.8
KINGS             DATE:   06/20       04/28       05/20       06/09
PINE FLAT         

TMDC1              KAF:    8.3         2.5         5.8        11.1
KAWEAH            DATE:   05/05       04/08       05/19       06/10
LK KAWEAH         

SCSC1              KAF:    2.9         0.4         1.1         4.7
TULE              DATE:   04/09       04/02       04/20       05/23
LK SUCCESS        

ISAC1              KAF:   15.4         2.7         6.4        15.4
KERN              DATE:   05/06       04/15       05/19       06/10
LK ISABELLA       

BCAC1              KAF:    5.0         0.8         1.8         4.2
LITTLE TRUCKEE    DATE:   05/06       04/08       05/07       06/01
BOCA              

FARC1              KAF:   12.8         2.2         4.3         9.9
TRUCKEE RIVER     DATE:   05/06       04/09       05/04       05/29
FARAD             

WOOC1              KAF:    2.5         0.7         1.3         2.7
WF CARSON RIVER   DATE:   05/06       04/07       05/09       05/29
WOODFORDS         

STWN2              KAF:    9.7         1.9         4.9         9.6
CARSON RIVER      DATE:   05/08       04/09       05/10       06/03
CARSON CITY       

WWBC1              KAF:    7.9         1.9         3.4         5.1
W WALKER RIVER    DATE:   06/20       04/29       05/28       06/21
BLO LITTLE WALKER 

BPRC1              KAF:    3.6         0.5         1.4         2.8
EAST WALKER       DATE:   06/23       05/03       06/02       06/22
BRIDGEPORT        

PALN2              KAF:    6.6         1.8         4.6         9.5
HUMBOLDT RIVER    DATE:   05/17       05/09       05/30       06/14
PALISADE          

MHSN2              KAF:    1.6    -19833.0    -19833.0    -19833.0
MARYS RIVER       DATE:   05/11       00/00       00/00       00/00
ABV HOT SPRGS CK  

HREN2              KAF:    4.0         1.1         3.1         6.3
HUMBOLDT RIVER    DATE:   05/16       05/07       05/28       06/14
ELKO              

OBS:  OBSERVED SPRING PEAK TO DATE (SINCE APRIL 1)
MAX:  REASONABLE MAXIMUM (10% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
PROB: MOST PROBABLE      (50% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
MIN:  REASONABLE MINIMUM (90% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
$$