CNRFC - Ensemble Products

*** IMPORTANT *** Week of June 16 - Website Data Outage - Due to a major computer upgrade the week of June 16, nearly all data on the CNRFC web site will not be updated. We anticipate the down time to be approximately 4 days. The latest deterministic hydrologic forecasts for official forecast points will continue to be available at the National Water Prediction Service during this time.

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STEVENS CREEK - STEVENS CREEK RESERVOIR (STDC1)

Latitude: 37.30º N	Longitude: 122.08º W	Elevation: 665 Feet
Location: Santa Clara County in California		Bulletin Group: Central Coast		River Group: South Bay

Issuance Time:

Jun 16, 2025 at 6:53 AM PDT

Action/Monitor: N/A

Minor Flood: N/A

Moderate Flood: N/A

Major Flood: N/A

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Threshold Exceedance Plot Product Information

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | STDC1

Select Threshold to Use: Threshold Value: Threshold Label:

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		Official Forecast (Deterministic)

		Prob. of Threshold Exceedance
		Model Traces

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
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Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ513)

Today: Sunny. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon.

Tonight: Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s. Northwest winds around 5 mph increasing to 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.

Tuesday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.

Wednesday: Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming sunny. Highs in the 80s. Light winds and becoming northwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon.

Wednesday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s.

juneteenth through Friday: Mostly clear. Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. Lows in the lower 50s.

Friday Night: Clear. Lows in the lower 50s.

Saturday: Sunny. Highs in the 70s.

Saturday Night: Clear. Lows in the lower 50s.

Sunday: Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s to mid 80s.

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