CNRFC Ensemble Plot for CEMC1

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EAST FORK CARSON RIVER - MARKLEEVILLE (CEMC1)

Latitude:
38.71º N

Longitude:
119.76º W

Elevation:
5400 Feet

Location: Alpine County in CA

River Group: Eastern Sierra

Issuance Time:

Jul 07 2026 at 7:19 AM PDT

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

10-Day Accumulated Volume Plot

Tabular 10-Day Streamflow Volume Accumulation (1000s of Acre-Feet) Data Updated: Jul 07 2026 at 7:25 AM PDT
Prob	Jul 08	Jul 09	Jul 10	Jul 11	Jul 12
10% (Max)	0.3	0.6	0.9	1.2	1.5
25%	0.3	0.6	0.9	1.2	1.5
50% (Prob)	0.3	0.6	0.9	1.2	1.5
75%	0.3	0.6	0.9	1.2	1.5
90% (Min)	0.3	0.6	0.9	1.2	1.5
RFC FCST	0.3	0.6	0.9	1.2	1.5
Prob	Jul 13	Jul 14	Jul 15	Jul 16	Jul 17
10% (Max)	1.8	2.1	2.4	2.7	3.0
25%	1.8	2.1	2.4	2.7	2.9
50% (Prob)	1.8	2.1	2.4	2.7	2.9
75%	1.8	2.1	2.4	2.7	2.9
90% (Min)	1.8	2.1	2.4	2.7	2.9

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
12.0 Feet	Major impacts to transportation, communication, power and water systems. In excess of January 1997 event.
11.0 Feet	Major Flood Stage. Major impact to transportation including Highways 89 and 4. Communication, water and power systems may be impacted. Significant inundation of low lying rangelands.
10.0 Feet	Moderate Flood Stage. Moderate flooding impacting Carson River Resort campground, and potential for significant bank erosion causing road damage along Highways 89 and 4.
9.0 Feet	Minor Flood Stage. Minor flooding from Monitor Creek to Bryant Creek including impacts to river campgrounds and possible impacts to highway due to bank erosion. Similar to 1/8/17, 2/10/17 and 12/31/2005.
8.0 Feet	Monitor Stage. No flooding from from Monitor Creek to Bryant Creek, river near bankfull and may require precautionary measures to move resources away from the river. Additional impacts to recreational river users.