| ||||||||||||||||||
| EAST FORK CARSON RIVER - MARKLEEVILLE (CEMC1) | ||||||||||||||||||
| Latitude: 38.71º N | Longitude: 119.76º W | Elevation: 5400 Feet | ||||||||||||||||
| Location: Alpine County in CA | ||||||||||||||||||
| River Group: Eastern Sierra | ||||||||||||||||||
| Issuance Time: | Jan 11 2026 at 8:14 AM PST |
| Please Note: | Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty. Flow data on this product are unregulated / full natural flow. |
| Monthly Probability Plot |

| Monthly Streamflow Volume (1000s of Acre-Feet) Data Updated: Jan 11 2026 at 8:39 AM PST | ||||||
| Prob | Jan* | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun |
| 10% | 18.3 | 39.5 | 48.7 | 63.2 | 106.5 | 92.0 |
| 25% | 17.0 | 21.2 | 33.4 | 51.8 | 73.7 | 71.7 |
| 50% | 14.5 | 11.6 | 23.9 | 43.9 | 58.4 | 36.2 |
| 75% | 13.4 | 7.3 | 18.7 | 37.9 | 48.6 | 23.5 |
| 90% | 12.0 | 5.6 | 13.8 | 25.9 | 38.9 | 15.2 |
| Mean | 10.9 | 12.0 | 19.9 | 39.0 | 71.1 | 56.0 |
| %Mean | 133.0 | 96.7 | 120.1 | 112.6 | 82.1 | 64.6 |
| Prob | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
| 10% | 36.4 | 12.5 | 9.1 | 9.7 | 13.0 | 21.5 |
| 25% | 24.3 | 10.5 | 7.3 | 6.3 | 5.6 | 7.0 |
| 50% | 12.3 | 7.8 | 5.7 | 5.0 | 4.3 | 4.0 |
| 75% | 9.3 | 6.3 | 4.5 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 3.0 |
| 90% | 7.7 | 5.4 | 3.8 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 2.2 |
| Mean | 23.0 | 7.8 | 4.6 | 5.1 | 6.1 | 8.6 |
| %Mean | 53.5 | 100.0 | 123.9 | 98.0 | 70.5 | 46.5 |
| Note 1: %Mean is the "Median forecast monthly value (50%)" divided by the "monthly mean" (displayed as a %) | ||||||
| Note 2: For current month, graphic represents remaining forecast only, text represents observed + remaining forecast. | ||||||
| Location Photographs | ||
| ESRI™ Locator Map |
| Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ072) |
| Tonight: Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming clear. Lows 15 to 25. Light winds. Monday: Sunny. Highs 39 to 44. Light winds. Monday Night: Clear. Lows 16 to 26. East winds around 10 mph in the evening becoming light. Tuesday: Sunny. Highs 45 to 55. Light winds. Tuesday Night: Clear. Lows 21 to 31. Light winds. Wednesday: Sunny. Highs 46 to 56. Wednesday Night: Clear. Lows 21 to 31. Thursday through Saturday: Clear. Highs 45 to 55. Lows 18 to 28. Saturday Night: Clear in the evening then becoming partly cloudy. Lows 24 to 34. Sunday: Sunny. Highs 49 to 59. |
| Flood Impacts | |
| 12.0 Feet | Major impacts to transportation, communication, power and water systems. In excess of January 1997 event. |
| 11.0 Feet | Major Flood Stage. Major impact to transportation including Highways 89 and 4. Communication, water and power systems may be impacted. Significant inundation of low lying rangelands. |
| 10.0 Feet | Moderate Flood Stage. Moderate flooding impacting Carson River Resort campground, and potential for significant bank erosion causing road damage along Highways 89 and 4. |
| 9.0 Feet | Minor Flood Stage. Minor flooding from Monitor Creek to Bryant Creek including impacts to river campgrounds and possible impacts to highway due to bank erosion. Similar to 1/8/17, 2/10/17 and 12/31/2005. |
| 8.0 Feet | Monitor Stage. No flooding from from Monitor Creek to Bryant Creek, river near bankfull and may require precautionary measures to move resources away from the river. Additional impacts to recreational river users. |