CNRFC Ensemble Plot for CNBC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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PIT RIVER - CANBY (CNBC1)

Latitude:
41.41º N

Longitude:
120.93º W

Elevation:
4266 Feet

Location: Modoc County in CA

River Group: Upper Sacramento

Issuance Time:

Jun 28 2025 at 8:39 AM PDT

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Flow data on this product are unregulated / full natural flow.

Monthly Probability Plot

Monthly Streamflow Volume (1000s of Acre-Feet) Data Updated: Jun 28 2025 at 8:47 AM PDT
Prob	Jun*	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov
10%	+	+	+	+	+	+
25%	+	+	+	+	+	+
50%	+	+	+	+	+	+
75%	+	+	+	+	+	+
90%	+	+	+	+	+	+

Mean	12.1	2.3	1.8	3.0	4.0	6.2
%Mean	+	+	+	+	+	+
Prob	Dec	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May
10%	+	+	+	+	+	+
25%	+	+	+	+	+	+
50%	+	+	+	+	+	+
75%	+	+	+	+	+	+
90%	+	+	+	+	+	+

Mean	10.9	16.6	23.0	29.0	22.4	26.4
%Mean	+	+	+	+	+	+
Note 1: %Mean is the "Median forecast monthly value (50%)" divided by the "monthly mean" (displayed as a %)
Note 2: For current month, graphic represents remaining forecast only, text represents observed + remaining forecast.

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ085)

Today: Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s to mid 90s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the east early This Afternoon, then shifting to the west late This Afternoon.

Tonight: Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the north 5 to 10 mph well after midnight.

Monday: Sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 90s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph becoming around 10 mph late in the afternoon.

Monday Night: Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then partly cloudy after midnight. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 80s to lower 90s. North winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northwest late in the afternoon.

Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then partly cloudy after midnight. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s.

Wednesday: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower to mid 80s.

Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy with a slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then mostly clear after midnight. Lows in the lower to mid 50s.

Thursday: Sunny. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower to mid 80s.

Thursday Night: Partly cloudy with a slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then mostly clear after midnight. Lows in the lower to mid 50s.

Independence Day through Saturday: Mostly clear. Highs in the lower to mid 80s. Lows in the lower to mid 50s.

Flood Impacts
15.0 Feet	Record flood stage - expect disastrous flooding throughout southwest Modoc and northwest Lassen counties. 13000 cfs
13.0 Feet	Expect disastrous flooding throughout southwest Modoc and northwest Lassen counties. 9300 cfs
11.0 Feet	Expect major flooding in Canby and Lookout in southwest Modoc county and northwest Lassen county. 6600 cfs
10.0 Feet	Expect major flooding in Bieber, Nubieber, and throughout northwest Lassen county 5400 cfs
9.5 Feet	Expect significant flooding in southwest Modoc and northwest Lassen counties. 4900 cfs
9.0 Feet	Expect moderate flooding in Canby and Lookout in Modoc County and Bieber and Nubieber in Lassen County 4300 cfs
8.5 Feet	Flood stage - Expect minor flooding in Canby Lookout Bieber and Nubieber California and throughout southwest Modoc and northwest Lassen Counties. 4300 CFS
7.5 Feet	Expect minor lowland flooding from Canby in Modoc County down to Beiber and throughout northwest Lassen County 2900 CFS