| ||||||||||||||||||
| MERCED RIVER - EXCHEQUER RESERVOIR (EXQC1) | ||||||||||||||||||
| Latitude: 37.58º N | Longitude: 120.27º W | Elevation: 442 Feet | ||||||||||||||||
| Location: Mariposa County in CA | ||||||||||||||||||
| River Group: San Joaquin | ||||||||||||||||||
| Issuance Time: | Feb 13 2026 at 8:46 AM PST |
| Please Note: | Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty. Flow data on this product are unregulated / full natural flow. |
| 4x5-Day Probability Plot |

| Tabular 4 x 5-Day Streamflow Volume Data | |||||
| Observed Peak 1-Day Streamflow Volume: (April 1 at 12 UTC to August 1 at 12 UTC) | Observed Available Apr 2 to Aug 1 | ||||
| Forecast Peak 1-Day Streamflow Volume: (April 1 at 12 UTC to August 1 at 12 UTC) | 10% (Max) 06/01/2026 27.3kaf | 25% 05/17/2026 17.6kaf | 50% (Prob) 05/02/2026 12.9kaf | 75% 04/14/2026 8.9kaf | 90% (Min) 04/03/2026 7.2kaf |
| Tabular 5-Day Volume Accumulations (1000s of Acre-Feet) | ||||
| Probability | 02/13 to 02/18 | 02/18 to 02/23 | 02/23 to 02/28 | 02/28 to 03/05 |
| 10% | 46.0 kaf | 46.8 kaf | 39.2 kaf | 57.8 kaf |
| 25% | 35.8 kaf | 32.9 kaf | 30.8 kaf | 37.3 kaf |
| 50% (Median) | 20.8 kaf | 25.4 kaf | 22.2 kaf | 25.2 kaf |
| 75% | 16.4 kaf | 17.5 kaf | 15.1 kaf | 17.1 kaf |
| 90% | 10.8 kaf | 11.1 kaf | 11.5 kaf | 12.8 kaf |
| Location Photographs | ||
| ESRI™ Locator Map |