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MERCED RIVER - EXCHEQUER RESERVOIR (EXQC1)
Latitude:
37.58º N
Longitude:
120.27º W
Elevation:
442 Feet
Location: Mariposa County in CA
River Group: San Joaquin
Issuance Time: Feb 13 2026 at 8:46 AM PST
Please Note:Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Flow data on this product are unregulated / full natural flow.
4x5-Day Probability Plot
Tabular 4 x 5-Day Streamflow Volume Data
Observed
Peak 1-Day Streamflow Volume:
(April 1 at 12 UTC to August 1 at 12 UTC)
  Observed
Available
Apr 2 to Aug 1
  

Forecast
Peak 1-Day Streamflow Volume:
(April 1 at 12 UTC to August 1 at 12 UTC)
10% (Max)
06/01/2026
27.3kaf
25%
05/17/2026
17.6kaf
50% (Prob)
05/02/2026
12.9kaf
75%
04/14/2026
8.9kaf
90% (Min)
04/03/2026
7.2kaf
Tabular 5-Day Volume Accumulations (1000s of Acre-Feet)
Probability02/13 to 02/1802/18 to 02/2302/23 to 02/2802/28 to 03/05
10%46.0 kaf46.8 kaf39.2 kaf57.8 kaf
25%35.8 kaf32.9 kaf30.8 kaf37.3 kaf
50%
(Median)
20.8 kaf25.4 kaf22.2 kaf25.2 kaf
75%16.4 kaf17.5 kaf15.1 kaf17.1 kaf
90%10.8 kaf11.1 kaf11.5 kaf12.8 kaf

Location Photographs

ESRI™ Locator Map