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| MERCED RIVER - EXCHEQUER RESERVOIR (EXQC1) | ||||||||||||||||||
| Latitude: 37.58º N | Longitude: 120.27º W | Elevation: 442 Feet | ||||||||||||||||
| Location: Mariposa County in CA | ||||||||||||||||||
| River Group: San Joaquin | ||||||||||||||||||
| Issuance Time: | May 10 2025 at 8:51 AM PDT |
| Please Note: | Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty. Flow data on this product are unregulated / full natural flow. |
| Monthly Probability Plot |
| Monthly Streamflow Volume (1000s of Acre-Feet) Data Updated: May 10 2025 at 8:55 AM PDT | ||||||
| Prob | May* | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct |
| 10% | 214.5 | 99.7 | 35.6 | 8.8 | 5.5 | 26.6 |
| 25% | 209.8 | 89.6 | 28.2 | 7.9 | 4.5 | 7.9 |
| 50% | 204.6 | 81.6 | 23.4 | 7.0 | 4.1 | 4.5 |
| 75% | 199.6 | 74.7 | 20.4 | 6.7 | 3.8 | 3.3 |
| 90% | 194.5 | 69.9 | 19.0 | 6.5 | 3.6 | 2.9 |
| Mean | 229.1 | 160.3 | 58.0 | 12.6 | 6.4 | 9.3 |
| %Mean | 89.3 | 50.9 | 40.3 | 55.6 | 64.1 | 48.4 |
| Prob | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr |
| 10% | 61.3 | 156.0 | 283.2 | 278.7 | 313.9 | 269.2 |
| 25% | 18.5 | 62.5 | 128.6 | 141.9 | 230.0 | 204.6 |
| 50% | 9.8 | 22.3 | 57.9 | 75.4 | 136.2 | 130.1 |
| 75% | 5.5 | 7.8 | 19.5 | 31.6 | 66.2 | 102.5 |
| 90% | 3.8 | 5.5 | 11.1 | 19.9 | 47.4 | 76.9 |
| Mean | 17.6 | 42.8 | 85.0 | 92.3 | 125.6 | 161.6 |
| %Mean | 55.7 | 52.1 | 68.1 | 81.7 | 108.4 | 80.5 |
| Note 1: %Mean is the "Median forecast monthly value (50%)" divided by the "monthly mean" (displayed as a %) | ||||||
| Note 2: For current month, graphic represents remaining forecast only, text represents observed + remaining forecast. | ||||||
| Location Photographs | ||
| ESRI™ Locator Map |
| Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ317) |
| Today: Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Southeast winds up to 5 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. Tonight: Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph. Sunday: Not as warm. Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. West winds 5 to 15 mph. Sunday Night: Cooler. Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Monday: Cooler, sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds up to 10 mph. Monday Night and Tuesday: Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs 64 to 70. Tuesday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Wednesday: Warmer, sunny. Highs 72 to 78. Wednesday Night through Thursday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Friday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. |