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MERCED RIVER - EXCHEQUER RESERVOIR (EXQC1)
Latitude:
37.58º N
Longitude:
120.27º W
Elevation:
442 Feet
Location: Mariposa County in CA
River Group: San Joaquin
Issuance Time: Feb 13 2026 at 8:46 AM PST
Please Note:Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Flow data on this product are unregulated / full natural flow.
Monthly Probability Plot
Monthly Streamflow Volume (1000s of Acre-Feet)
Data Updated: Feb 13 2026 at 8:55 AM PST
ProbFeb*MarAprMayJunJul
10%150.8366.6272.4344.4272.5120.6
25%124.9240.8231.9285.3168.946.9
50%97.1175.6199.0203.997.731.1
75%74.1133.6175.4154.365.417.7
90%56.4113.6126.8131.549.114.0
Mean91.6124.8162.5230.5159.357.5
%Mean106.0140.7122.588.561.354.1
ProbAugSepOctNovDecJan
10%24.49.722.947.1142.2212.5
25%11.86.08.315.853.7101.5
50%7.94.55.48.720.341.9
75%6.33.63.25.88.518.3
90%5.63.22.64.35.910.7
Mean12.66.69.317.442.183.6
%Mean62.768.258.150.048.250.1
Note 1: %Mean is the "Median forecast monthly value (50%)" divided by the "monthly mean" (displayed as a %)
Note 2: For current month, graphic represents remaining forecast only, text represents observed + remaining forecast.

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