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| CARSON RIVER - FORT CHURCHILL (FTCN2) | ||||||||||||||||||
| Latitude: 39.29º N | Longitude: 119.31º W | Elevation: 4220 Feet | ||||||||||||||||
| Location: Lyon County in NV | ||||||||||||||||||
| River Group: Eastern Sierra | ||||||||||||||||||
| Issuance Time: | Aug 31 2026 at 8:47 AM PDT |
| Please Note: | Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty. Flow data on this product are unregulated / full natural flow. |
| 4x5-Day Probability Plot |

| Tabular 4 x 5-Day Streamflow Volume Data | |||||
| Observed Peak 1-Day Streamflow Volume: (April 1 at 12 UTC to August 1 at 12 UTC) | Observed Available Apr 2 to Aug 1 | ||||
| Forecast Peak 1-Day Streamflow Volume: (Current Date at 12 UTC to August 1 at 12 UTC) | 10% (Max) Available Oct 1 to Jul 31 | 25% Available Oct 1 to Jul 31 | 50% (Prob) Available Oct 1 to Jul 31 | 75% Available Oct 1 to Jul 31 | 90% (Min) Available Oct 1 to Jul 31 |
| Tabular 5-Day Volume Accumulations (1000s of Acre-Feet) | ||||
| Probability | 06/16 to 06/21 | 06/21 to 06/26 | 06/26 to 07/01 | 07/01 to 07/06 |
| 10% | 3.7 kaf | 2.8 kaf | 2.3 kaf | 1.9 kaf |
| 25% | 3.7 kaf | 2.8 kaf | 2.2 kaf | 1.8 kaf |
| 50% (Median) | 3.7 kaf | 2.8 kaf | 2.2 kaf | 1.8 kaf |
| 75% | 3.7 kaf | 2.8 kaf | 2.2 kaf | 1.8 kaf |
| 90% | 3.7 kaf | 2.8 kaf | 2.2 kaf | 1.8 kaf |
| Location Photographs | ||
| ESRI™ Locator Map |
| Flood Impacts | |
| 9.5 Feet | Major Flood Stage, Major impact to roads, infastructure and parks. |
| 8.5 Feet | Moderate Flood stage: Expanding impacts along lower Carson River impacting Parks, and rural roads. |
| 8.0 Feet | Minor Flood stage |
| 6.5 Feet | Monitor Stage: Some inundation of low lying areas including Rolling A Open Space Park, and Santa Maria Ranch Park. Some Distributed campsites along the river impacted. |