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| CARSON RIVER - FORT CHURCHILL (FTCN2) | ||||||||||||||||||
| Latitude: 39.29º N | Longitude: 119.31º W | Elevation: 4220 Feet | ||||||||||||||||
| Location: Lyon County in NV | ||||||||||||||||||
| River Group: Eastern Sierra | ||||||||||||||||||
| Issuance Time: | Jan 10 2026 at 11:04 AM PST |
| Please Note: | Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty. Flow data on this product are unregulated / full natural flow. |
| Monthly Probability Plot |
| Monthly Streamflow Volume (1000s of Acre-Feet) Data Updated: Jan 10 2026 at 11:12 AM PST | ||||||
| Prob | Jan* | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun |
| 10% | 31.0 | 61.8 | 68.2 | 71.9 | 116.1 | 97.7 |
| 25% | 29.0 | 36.4 | 39.6 | 53.2 | 80.6 | 67.2 |
| 50% | 25.3 | 17.8 | 31.2 | 45.5 | 54.2 | 31.0 |
| 75% | 23.6 | 11.9 | 20.9 | 33.2 | 38.2 | 14.4 |
| 90% | 22.2 | 8.9 | 12.6 | 18.7 | 28.1 | 5.4 |
| Mean | 23.4 | 24.0 | 31.5 | 37.9 | 69.0 | 53.9 |
| %Mean | 108.1 | 74.2 | 99.0 | 120.1 | 78.6 | 57.5 |
| Prob | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
| 10% | 34.2 | 5.5 | 6.2 | 9.4 | 20.0 | 35.8 |
| 25% | 18.1 | 2.0 | 3.1 | 6.4 | 9.2 | 12.6 |
| 50% | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.9 | 5.8 | 7.1 |
| 75% | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 4.2 | 5.2 |
| 90% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 3.3 |
| Mean | 16.4 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 5.3 | 9.7 | 14.8 |
| %Mean | 15.9 | 0.0 | 35.3 | 54.7 | 59.8 | 48.0 |
| Note 1: %Mean is the "Median forecast monthly value (50%)" divided by the "monthly mean" (displayed as a %) | ||||||
| Note 2: For current month, graphic represents remaining forecast only, text represents observed + remaining forecast. | ||||||
| Location Photographs | ||
| ESRI™ Locator Map |
| Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (NVZ004) |
| Today: Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. Highs 42 to 47. Light winds. Tonight: Clear. Lows 20 to 30. Light winds. Monday: Sunny. Highs 43 to 48. Light winds. Monday Night: Clear. Lows 20 to 30. Light winds. Tuesday: Sunny. Highs 46 to 51. Light winds. Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy. Lows 20 to 30. Wednesday through Saturday: Clear. Highs 50 to 55. Lows 21 to 31. |
| Flood Impacts | |
| 9.5 Feet | Major Flood Stage, Major impact to roads, infastructure and parks. |
| 8.5 Feet | Moderate Flood stage: Expanding impacts along lower Carson River impacting Parks, and rural roads. |
| 8.0 Feet | Minor Flood stage |
| 6.5 Feet | Monitor Stage: Some inundation of low lying areas including Rolling A Open Space Park, and Santa Maria Ranch Park. Some Distributed campsites along the river impacted. |