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MERCED RIVER - HAPPY ISLES (HPIC1)
Latitude:
37.73º N
Longitude:
119.56º W
Elevation:
4017 Feet
Location: Mariposa County in CA
River Group: San Joaquin
Issuance Time: Jun 25 2025 at 7:52 AM PDT
Please Note:Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Flow data on this product are unregulated / full natural flow.
4x5-Day Probability Plot
Tabular 4 x 5-Day Streamflow Volume Data
Observed
Peak 1-Day Streamflow Volume:
(April 1 at 12 UTC to Current Date at 12 UTC)
  Observed
05/12/2025
4.1kaf
  

Forecast
Peak 1-Day Streamflow Volume:
(Current Date at 12 UTC to August 1 at 12 UTC)
10% (Max)
07/15/2025
1.0kaf
25%
06/26/2025
0.4kaf
50% (Prob)
06/26/2025
0.4kaf
75%
06/26/2025
0.4kaf
90% (Min)
06/26/2025
0.4kaf
Tabular 5-Day Volume Accumulations (1000s of Acre-Feet)
Probability06/25 to 06/3006/30 to 07/0507/05 to 07/1007/10 to 07/15
10%1.8 kaf1.3 kaf1.8 kaf1.9 kaf
25%1.8 kaf1.3 kaf1.4 kaf1.7 kaf
50%
(Median)
1.8 kaf1.3 kaf1.3 kaf1.4 kaf
75%1.8 kaf1.3 kaf1.2 kaf1.2 kaf
90%1.8 kaf1.3 kaf1.1 kaf1.1 kaf

Location Photographs

ESRI™ Locator Map
Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast   (CAZ324)
Today: Sunny. Highs 75 to 87. East winds up to 5 mph shifting to the west 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon.

Tonight: Clear. Lows 55 to 63. West winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the east after midnight.

Thursday: Sunny. Highs 77 to 89. Southeast winds up to 5 mph shifting to the southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon.

Thursday Night: Clear. Lows 56 to 64. West winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the east after midnight.

Friday: Sunny. Highs 78 to 90. Southeast winds up to 5 mph shifting to the southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon.

Friday Night through Monday: Clear. Lows 58 to 69. Highs 79 to 95.

Monday Night: Clear in the evening. Lows 59 to 67.

Tuesday:

Flood Impacts
13.27 FeetFlood of Record: 1/2/97. $178 million in damage to Yosemite Valley.
10.0 FeetNorthside Drive at Wosky Pond, Southside Drive at Chapel Meadow, El Capitan crossover, and Sentinel crossover are impassable to vehicles.
8.2 FeetSwinging Bridge overtops. Water on road at Northside Drive, Southsie Drive, El Capitan crossover, and Sentinel crossover.
7.5 FeetFlood Stage. Housekeeping camp and Yosemite Valley backpacker campground begin to flood.
7.0 FeetNorth Pines and Lower Pines campgrounds begin flooding.