CNRFC Ensemble Plot for KCVC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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KELSEY CREEK - KELSEYVILLE (KCVC1)

Latitude:
38.93º N

Longitude:
122.84º W

Elevation:
1495 Feet

Location: Lake County in CA

River Group: Lower Sacramento

Issuance Time:

May 12 2025 at 8:10 AM PDT

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

10-Day Accumulated Volume Plot

Tabular 10-Day Streamflow Volume Accumulation (1000s of Acre-Feet) Data Updated: May 12 2025 at 8:12 AM PDT
Prob	May 13	May 14	May 15	May 16	May 17
10% (Max)	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.3
25%	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.3
50% (Prob)	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.3
75%	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.3
90% (Min)	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.3
RFC FCST	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.3
Prob	May 18	May 19	May 20	May 21	May 22
10% (Max)	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.5
25%	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.5
50% (Prob)	0.3	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.5
75%	0.3	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.5
90% (Min)	0.3	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.5

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ115)

Today: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain through the day. Highs 50 to 62.

Tonight: Partly cloudy. Patchy valley fog overnight. Lows 37 to 47.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs 61 to 73.

Tuesday Night: Mostly clear. Lows 41 to 51.

Wednesday: Sunny. Highs 67 to 79.

Wednesday Night and Thursday: Mostly clear. Lows 45 to 55. Highs 70 to 85.

Thursday Night: Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows 49 to 59.

Friday through Saturday: Partly cloudy. Highs 70 to 85. Lows 48 to 58.

Saturday Night: Mostly clear. Lows 46 to 56.

Sunday: Sunny. Highs 72 to 85.

Flood Impacts
13.8 Feet	Bank overtopping occurs 2.5 miles upstream of the mouth of Kelsey Creek.
13.1 Feet	Overtopping occurs just upstream of the gage and canyon