CNRFC Ensemble Plot for LESC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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LOS GATOS CREEK - LAKE ELSMAN (LESC1)

Latitude:
37.13º N

Longitude:
121.93º W

Elevation:
1120 Feet

Location: Santa Clara County in CA

River Group: Central Coast

Issuance Time:

Jan 11 2026 at 8:08 AM PST

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

10-Day Accumulated Volume Plot

Tabular 10-Day Streamflow Volume Accumulation (1000s of Acre-Feet) Data Updated: Jan 11 2026 at 8:34 AM PST
Prob	Jan 12	Jan 13	Jan 14	Jan 15	Jan 16
10% (Max)	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2
25%	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2
50% (Prob)	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2
75%	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2
90% (Min)	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2
RFC FCST	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2
Prob	Jan 17	Jan 18	Jan 19	Jan 20	Jan 21
10% (Max)	0.3	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.4
25%	0.3	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.4
50% (Prob)	0.3	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.4
75%	0.3	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.4
90% (Min)	0.3	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.4

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ512)

Today: Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

Tonight: Clear. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs in the 60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

Tuesday Night: Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

Wednesday: Sunny. Highs in the 60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

Wednesday Night: Clear. Lows in the upper 40s.

Thursday: Sunny. Highs in the 60s.

Thursday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s.

Friday: Sunny. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s.

Friday Night and Saturday: Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s.

Saturday Night and Sunday: Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 60s.