| ||||||||||||||||||
| MORMON SLOUGH - BELLOTA (MSGC1) | ||||||||||||||||||
| Latitude: 38.05º N | Longitude: 121.01º W | Elevation: 130 Feet | ||||||||||||||||
| Location: San Joaquin County in CA | ||||||||||||||||||
| River Group: San Joaquin | ||||||||||||||||||
| Issuance Time: | Jan 07 2026 at 3:05 PM PST |
| Please Note: | Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty. |
| 10-Day Accumulated Volume Plot |

| Tabular 10-Day Streamflow Volume Accumulation (1000s of Acre-Feet) Data Updated: Jan 07 2026 at 3:09 PM PST | ||||||||||
| Prob | Jan 08 | Jan 09 | Jan 10 | Jan 11 | Jan 12 | |||||
| 10% (Max) | 1.5 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 5.9 | 7.2 | |||||
| 25% | 1.5 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 5.9 | 7.2 | |||||
| 50% (Prob) | 1.5 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 5.9 | 7.2 | |||||
| 75% | 1.5 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 5.9 | 7.2 | |||||
| 90% (Min) | 1.5 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 5.9 | 7.2 | |||||
| RFC FCST | 1.5 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 5.9 | 7.2 | |||||
| Prob | Jan 13 | Jan 14 | Jan 15 | Jan 16 | Jan 17 | |||||
| 10% (Max) | 8.6 | 9.8 | 11.1 | 12.3 | 13.8 | |||||
| 25% | 8.5 | 9.8 | 11.1 | 12.3 | 13.5 | |||||
| 50% (Prob) | 8.5 | 9.8 | 11.1 | 12.3 | 13.5 | |||||
| 75% | 8.5 | 9.8 | 11.1 | 12.3 | 13.5 | |||||
| 90% (Min) | 8.5 | 9.8 | 11.1 | 12.3 | 13.5 | |||||
| Location Photographs | ||
| ESRI™ Locator Map |
| Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ019) |
| Tonight: Partly cloudy. A slight chance of rain late in the night. Colder. Lows 36 to 43. West winds up to 10 mph with gusts to around 30 mph. Thursday: Patchy dense fog in the morning. Mostly sunny. Highs 46 to 54. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 30 mph. Thursday Night: Mostly clear. Areas of frost after midnight. Lows around 34. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 30 mph. Friday: Areas of frost in the morning. Mostly sunny. Highs around 49. Light winds. Friday Night: Mostly clear. Areas of frost and patchy fog after midnight. Lows around 35. Light winds. Saturday: Partly cloudy. Areas of frost and patchy fog. Highs around 51. Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows around 37. Sunday and Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Highs around 51. Lows around 38. Monday: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Highs around 53. Monday Night: Mostly clear. Patchy fog. Lows around 40. Tuesday: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Highs 53 to 58. Tuesday Night: Mostly clear. Patchy fog. Lows around 42. Wednesday: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Highs 54 to 60. |
| Flood Impacts | |
| 31.9 Feet | Top of Levee right bank levee. Water will overflow toward Bellota and Highway 26. |
| 23.0 Feet | Danger Stage |
| 22.0 Feet | Flood Stage |
| 16.0 Feet | Monitor Stage - Bike trail within lower Calaveras River channel flooded. |
| 14.2 Feet | UOP research within the Calaveras River channel is affected by water levels. |
| 9.0 Feet | Water rises out of the pilot channel but not yet on the levee slopes. |