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STANISLAUS RIVER - NEW MELONES RESERVOIR (NMSC1)
Latitude:
37.96º N
Longitude:
120.52º W
Elevation:
1400 Feet
Location: Calaveras County in CA
River Group: San Joaquin
Issuance Time: Aug 01 2026 at 8:19 AM PDT
Please Note:Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Flow data on this product are unregulated / full natural flow.
Monthly Probability Plot
Monthly Streamflow Volume (1000s of Acre-Feet)
Data Updated: Aug 01 2026 at 8:25 AM PDT
ProbAug*SepOctNovDecJan
10%6.96.232.752.3174.6203.6
25%6.84.46.219.862.4103.3
50%6.74.03.810.220.744.8
75%6.73.93.44.58.618.3
90%6.73.82.73.34.312.7
Mean20.514.519.627.563.4100.1
%Mean32.727.619.437.132.644.8
ProbFebMarAprMayJunJul
10%259.3339.0323.9506.2453.0165.1
25%131.5204.5269.6368.4269.780.1
50%73.5135.4188.0215.6106.638.1
75%29.484.2141.0132.357.417.6
90%21.864.3109.7106.544.010.6
Mean114.7156.6198.5248.4162.560.2
%Mean64.186.594.786.865.663.3
Note 1: %Mean is the "Median forecast monthly value (50%)" divided by the "monthly mean" (displayed as a %)
Note 2: For current month, graphic represents remaining forecast only, text represents observed + remaining forecast.

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