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STANISLAUS RIVER - NEW MELONES RESERVOIR (NMSC1)
Latitude:
37.96º N
Longitude:
120.52º W
Elevation:
1400 Feet
Location: Calaveras County in CA
River Group: San Joaquin
Issuance Time: Feb 08 2026 at 8:02 AM PST
Please Note:Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Flow data on this product are unregulated / full natural flow.
Monthly Probability Plot
Monthly Streamflow Volume (1000s of Acre-Feet)
Data Updated: Feb 08 2026 at 8:11 AM PST
ProbFeb*MarAprMayJunJul
10%154.2325.1311.4383.5227.671.1
25%131.5239.9265.6282.8144.945.7
50%102.9202.6214.2207.992.628.1
75%79.0151.8174.4128.851.415.0
90%67.8104.4124.489.939.39.7
Mean114.7156.6198.5248.4162.560.2
%Mean89.7129.4107.983.757.046.7
ProbAugSepOctNovDecJan
10%24.615.235.154.7178.3202.6
25%14.87.48.218.262.4104.0
50%9.65.55.19.921.144.8
75%6.64.13.85.29.518.2
90%4.83.23.03.85.113.1
Mean20.514.519.627.563.4100.1
%Mean46.837.926.036.033.344.8
Note 1: %Mean is the "Median forecast monthly value (50%)" divided by the "monthly mean" (displayed as a %)
Note 2: For current month, graphic represents remaining forecast only, text represents observed + remaining forecast.

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