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STANISLAUS RIVER - NEW MELONES RESERVOIR (NMSC1)
Latitude:
37.96º N
Longitude:
120.52º W
Elevation:
1400 Feet
Location: Calaveras County in CA
River Group: San Joaquin
Issuance Time: Feb 14 2026 at 9:09 AM PST
Please Note:Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Flow data on this product are unregulated / full natural flow.
Monthly Probability Plot
Monthly Streamflow Volume (1000s of Acre-Feet)
Data Updated: Feb 14 2026 at 9:18 AM PST
ProbFeb*MarAprMayJunJul
10%145.4356.1340.4418.3262.780.8
25%124.9255.0289.8311.1164.157.3
50%111.6205.7246.8244.4109.331.7
75%89.9172.9206.4149.260.118.4
90%76.0138.6159.7120.151.714.5
Mean114.7156.6198.5248.4162.560.2
%Mean97.3131.4124.398.467.352.7
ProbAugSepOctNovDecJan
10%26.416.136.155.2179.7203.1
25%16.77.78.618.663.0104.7
50%9.86.25.410.421.445.6
75%7.24.54.15.49.618.4
90%6.13.83.54.05.213.2
Mean20.514.519.627.563.4100.1
%Mean47.842.827.637.833.845.6
Note 1: %Mean is the "Median forecast monthly value (50%)" divided by the "monthly mean" (displayed as a %)
Note 2: For current month, graphic represents remaining forecast only, text represents observed + remaining forecast.

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