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STANISLAUS RIVER - NEW MELONES RESERVOIR (NMSC1)
Latitude:
37.96º N
Longitude:
120.52º W
Elevation:
1400 Feet
Location: Calaveras County in CA
River Group: San Joaquin
Issuance Time: Feb 09 2026 at 7:36 AM PST
Please Note:Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Flow data on this product are unregulated / full natural flow.
Monthly Probability Plot
Monthly Streamflow Volume (1000s of Acre-Feet)
Data Updated: Feb 09 2026 at 7:45 AM PST
ProbFeb*MarAprMayJunJul
10%151.4331.7313.6401.0234.972.6
25%125.9239.5277.3287.3152.349.2
50%94.4201.7216.4209.693.729.1
75%76.8156.2180.4131.951.515.0
90%66.4110.8121.199.739.910.4
Mean114.7156.6198.5248.4162.560.2
%Mean82.3128.8109.084.457.748.3
ProbAugSepOctNovDecJan
10%24.914.635.154.7178.6202.7
25%14.87.58.218.262.5104.0
50%9.75.55.110.021.245.0
75%6.64.13.85.29.518.2
90%5.03.33.03.95.213.1
Mean20.514.519.627.563.4100.1
%Mean47.337.926.036.433.445.0
Note 1: %Mean is the "Median forecast monthly value (50%)" divided by the "monthly mean" (displayed as a %)
Note 2: For current month, graphic represents remaining forecast only, text represents observed + remaining forecast.

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