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| REDWOOD CREEK - ORICK (ORIC1) | ||||||||||||||||||
| Latitude: 41.30º N | Longitude: 124.05º W | Elevation: 5 Feet | ||||||||||||||||
| Location: Humboldt County in CA | ||||||||||||||||||
| River Group: North Coast | ||||||||||||||||||
| Issuance Time: | Jan 09 2026 at 8:36 AM PST |
| Please Note: | Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty. Flow data on this product are unregulated / full natural flow. |
| Monthly Probability Plot |
| Monthly Streamflow Volume (1000s of Acre-Feet) Data Updated: Jan 09 2026 at 8:41 AM PST | ||||||
| Prob | Jan* | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun |
| 10% | 131.5 | 218.6 | 177.6 | 144.9 | 66.1 | 34.0 |
| 25% | 111.4 | 121.1 | 142.1 | 105.1 | 40.7 | 14.8 |
| 50% | 96.6 | 100.5 | 104.8 | 59.0 | 27.5 | 8.5 |
| 75% | 85.9 | 57.4 | 64.1 | 33.3 | 17.3 | 5.0 |
| 90% | 77.8 | 29.4 | 26.8 | 21.8 | 8.6 | 2.7 |
| Mean | 135.0 | 112.7 | 116.6 | 71.6 | 35.2 | 15.5 |
| %Mean | 71.6 | 89.2 | 89.9 | 82.4 | 78.1 | 54.8 |
| Prob | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
| 10% | 7.6 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 13.7 | 135.4 | 281.4 |
| 25% | 4.8 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8.0 | 57.0 | 202.7 |
| 50% | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 17.1 | 103.0 |
| 75% | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 5.3 | 62.7 |
| 90% | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.7 | 15.4 |
| Mean | 4.9 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 6.0 | 40.4 | 120.8 |
| %Mean | 57.1 | 45.0 | 25.0 | 10.0 | 42.3 | 85.3 |
| Note 1: %Mean is the "Median forecast monthly value (50%)" divided by the "monthly mean" (displayed as a %) | ||||||
| Note 2: For current month, graphic represents remaining forecast only, text represents observed + remaining forecast. | ||||||
| Location Photographs | ||
| ESRI™ Locator Map |
| Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ103) |
| Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Lows 36 to 46. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Saturday: Mostly cloudy. Highs 51 to 61. Southeast wind around 5 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy. Lows 36 to 46. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Sunday: Partly cloudy. Highs 52 to 62. East wind around 5 mph. Sunday Night: Partly cloudy. Haze. Lows 35 to 45. East wind around 5 mph. Monday: Partly cloudy. Highs 53 to 63. Northeast wind around 5 mph. Monday Night and Tuesday: Partly cloudy. Lows 38 to 48. Highs 53 to 67. Tuesday Night through Thursday Night: Mostly clear. Lows 38 to 48. Highs 57 to 70. Friday: Sunny. Highs 60 to 70. |
| Flood Impacts | |
| 35.0 Feet | People in Orick should evacuate outside of the Orick Valley immediately. The river is at the top of the levee (or overtopping) near the Shoreline Fuel Mart on the left/south bank & Hufford Road on the right/north bank. The levee protecting Orick is at imminent risk for failure. Levee failure will cause catastrophic flooding outside the levees, creating major safety hazards and inundating homes & businesses across Orick. Floodwaters will make portions of Highway 101 and other local roads impassable. |
| 33.0 Feet | People in Orick should be ready to evacuate outside the Orick valley. Time for a safe evacuation becomes critically short, especially for people who need more time or have limited mobility. Follow direction of public safety and emergency response officials. The river is within 2 feet from the top of levee near the Shoreline Fuel Mart on the left/south bank & Hufford Raod on the right/north bank. The levee protecting the town of Orick has an elevated risk of failure. |
| 32.0 Feet | People in areas protected by the levee within Orick should closely monitor river forecasts & be prepared to evacuate outside the Orick valley if water levels are predicted to continue to rising. People who need more time to evacuate, especially those with limited mobility, should consider taking early action. The river is within 3 feet from the top of the levee near the Shoreline Fuel Mart on the left/south bank & Hufford Road on the right/north bank. The levee protecting Orick is at risk for failure. |
| 26.0 Feet | Officials responsible for the levees & emergency response begin patrolling to look for problem areas that can threaten the integrity of the levee such as seepage, boils, erosion, debris jams, cracks, or sloughing. Closely monitor precipitation forecasts & river forecasts (stage & flow) & be aware of the potential for rising water levels. |