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| PILOT CREEK - ABOVE STUMPY MEADOWS RESERVOIR (SPYC1) | ||||||||||||||||||
| Latitude: 38.89º N | Longitude: 120.57º W | Elevation: 4280 Feet | ||||||||||||||||
| Location: El Dorado County in CA | ||||||||||||||||||
| River Group: Lower Sacramento | ||||||||||||||||||
| Issuance Time: | Feb 17 2026 at 8:19 AM PST |
| Please Note: | Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty. Flow data on this product are unregulated / full natural flow. |
| 4x5-Day Probability Plot |

| Tabular 4 x 5-Day Streamflow Volume Data | |||||
| Observed Peak 1-Day Streamflow Volume: (April 1 at 12 UTC to August 1 at 12 UTC) | Observed Available Apr 2 to Aug 1 | ||||
| Forecast Peak 1-Day Streamflow Volume: (April 1 at 12 UTC to August 1 at 12 UTC) | 10% (Max) 05/04/2026 0.8kaf | 25% 04/23/2026 0.4kaf | 50% (Prob) 04/12/2026 0.2kaf | 75% 04/02/2026 0.2kaf | 90% (Min) 04/01/2026 0.1kaf |
| Tabular 5-Day Volume Accumulations (1000s of Acre-Feet) | ||||
| Probability | 02/17 to 02/22 | 02/22 to 02/27 | 02/27 to 03/04 | 03/04 to 03/09 |
| 10% | 0.2 kaf | 3.1 kaf | 1.6 kaf | 2.2 kaf |
| 25% | 0.2 kaf | 2.2 kaf | 1.3 kaf | 1.3 kaf |
| 50% (Median) | 0.2 kaf | 1.6 kaf | 0.9 kaf | 0.8 kaf |
| 75% | 0.2 kaf | 1.2 kaf | 0.6 kaf | 0.5 kaf |
| 90% | 0.2 kaf | 1.0 kaf | 0.6 kaf | 0.4 kaf |
| Location Photographs | ||
| ESRI™ Locator Map |