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| PILOT CREEK - ABOVE STUMPY MEADOWS RESERVOIR (SPYC1) | ||||||||||||||||||
| Latitude: 38.89º N | Longitude: 120.57º W | Elevation: 4280 Feet | ||||||||||||||||
| Location: El Dorado County in CA | ||||||||||||||||||
| River Group: Lower Sacramento | ||||||||||||||||||
| Issuance Time: | Jul 05 2025 at 7:59 AM PDT |
| Please Note: | Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty. Flow data on this product are unregulated / full natural flow. |
| Monthly Probability Plot |
| Monthly Streamflow Volume (1000s of Acre-Feet) Data Updated: Jul 05 2025 at 8:05 AM PDT | ||||||
| Prob | Jul* | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
| 10% | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 6.3 |
| 25% | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 1.7 |
| 50% | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| 75% | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| 90% | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Mean | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.9 |
| %Mean | 100.0 | 100.0 | 66.7 | 75.0 | 71.4 | 52.6 |
| Prob | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun |
| 10% | 8.4 | 7.3 | 9.2 | 7.6 | 4.9 | 1.6 |
| 25% | 3.1 | 4.6 | 6.8 | 5.3 | 3.6 | 1.2 |
| 50% | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| 75% | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| 90% | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| Mean | 2.6 | 3.2 | 3.9 | 3.2 | 2.1 | 1.0 |
| %Mean | 50.0 | 46.9 | 79.5 | 93.8 | 71.4 | 70.0 |
| Note 1: %Mean is the "Median forecast monthly value (50%)" divided by the "monthly mean" (displayed as a %) | ||||||
| Note 2: For current month, graphic represents remaining forecast only, text represents observed + remaining forecast. | ||||||
| Location Photographs | ||
| ESRI™ Locator Map |
| Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ069) |
| Today: Sunny, warmer. Highs 63 to 78 higher elevations and 74 to 84 lower elevations. Prevailing southeast winds up to 10 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. Tonight: Clear. Lows 44 to 59 higher elevations and 54 to 66 lower elevations. Prevailing west winds up to 10 mph in the evening becoming light. Sunday: Sunny, warmer. Highs 68 to 83 higher elevations and 79 to 89 lower elevations. Light winds becoming southwest up to 10 mph in the afternoon. Sunday Night: Clear. Lows 46 to 61 higher elevations and 55 to 69 lower elevations. Prevailing west winds up to 10 mph in the evening becoming light. Monday: Sunny. Highs 69 to 84 higher elevations and 80 to 90 lower elevations. Light winds becoming southwest up to 10 mph in the afternoon. Monday Night: Clear. Lows 48 to 63. Tuesday: Sunny. Highs 70 to 85. Tuesday Night through Wednesday Night: Clear. Lows 49 to 64. Highs 71 to 86. Thursday through Friday: Clear. Highs 78 to 93. Lows 51 to 66. |