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PILOT CREEK - ABOVE STUMPY MEADOWS RESERVOIR (SPYC1)
Latitude:
38.89º N
Longitude:
120.57º W
Elevation:
4280 Feet
Location: El Dorado County in CA
River Group: Lower Sacramento
Issuance Time: Feb 18 2026 at 8:27 AM PST
Please Note:Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Flow data on this product are unregulated / full natural flow.
Monthly Probability Plot
Monthly Streamflow Volume (1000s of Acre-Feet)
Data Updated: Feb 18 2026 at 8:35 AM PST
ProbFeb*MarAprMayJunJul
10%6.910.97.04.01.30.7
25%5.07.45.03.11.00.6
50%3.85.33.11.50.80.5
75%3.44.12.41.10.60.4
90%3.03.31.30.90.60.3
Mean3.23.93.32.11.00.5
%Mean118.7135.993.971.480.0100.0
ProbAugSepOctNovDecJan
10%0.50.40.71.46.66.6
25%0.40.30.40.81.73.0
50%0.30.30.30.41.01.3
75%0.20.20.20.30.40.6
90%0.20.10.20.30.30.4
Mean0.30.30.40.71.92.6
%Mean100.0100.075.057.152.650.0
Note 1: %Mean is the "Median forecast monthly value (50%)" divided by the "monthly mean" (displayed as a %)
Note 2: For current month, graphic represents remaining forecast only, text represents observed + remaining forecast.

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