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PILOT CREEK - ABOVE STUMPY MEADOWS RESERVOIR (SPYC1)
Latitude:
38.89º N
Longitude:
120.57º W
Elevation:
4280 Feet
Location: El Dorado County in CA
River Group: Lower Sacramento
Issuance Time: Feb 19 2026 at 8:17 AM PST
Please Note:Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Flow data on this product are unregulated / full natural flow.
Monthly Probability Plot
Monthly Streamflow Volume (1000s of Acre-Feet)
Data Updated: Feb 19 2026 at 8:23 AM PST
ProbFeb*MarAprMayJunJul
10%7.210.46.73.91.20.7
25%5.47.14.83.01.00.6
50%4.25.22.91.40.80.5
75%3.23.82.31.00.60.4
90%3.02.91.20.80.50.3
Mean3.23.93.32.11.00.5
%Mean131.2133.387.966.780.0100.0
ProbAugSepOctNovDecJan
10%0.50.40.71.46.56.6
25%0.40.30.40.81.73.0
50%0.30.20.30.41.01.3
75%0.20.20.20.30.40.6
90%0.20.10.20.20.30.4
Mean0.30.30.40.71.92.6
%Mean100.066.775.057.152.650.0
Note 1: %Mean is the "Median forecast monthly value (50%)" divided by the "monthly mean" (displayed as a %)
Note 2: For current month, graphic represents remaining forecast only, text represents observed + remaining forecast.

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