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TUOLUMNE RIVER - MODESTO (MDSC1)
Latitude:
37.63º N
Longitude:
120.99º W
Elevation:
60 Feet
Location: Stanislaus County in CA
River Group: San Joaquin
Forecast Issued: Jan 05 2026 at 7:40 PM PST
Next Issuance: Jan 06 2026 at 9:00 AM PST

Action/
Monitor:
50.5 Ft
Minor
Flood:
55.0 Ft
Moderate
Flood:
66.0 Ft
Major
Flood:
67.0 Ft

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Graphical River Forecast - TUOLUMNE RIVER - MODESTO (MDSC1)Graphical River Forecast - TUOLUMNE RIVER - MODESTO (MDSC1)

Historical Stage/Flow Data
Note: Water Year 2025 is currently showing peak daily mean values. These will be updated to instantaneous peaks in the coming months.
Water Year
Peak Discharge (cfs)
Stage (feet)
Date
 Most Recent 5 Years
2025* 1,420 40.56 Mar 19, 2025
2024* 5,750 48.86 Mar 3, 2024
2023* 10,800 54.79 Mar 31, 2023
2022* 1,710 41.32 Apr 17, 2022
2021* 2,220 42.45 Apr 16, 2021
 Historical High Stage/Flow Events (Period of Record - February 1895 to Present)** - Ranked by Flow
1951* 57,000 69.19 Dec 9, 1950
1997* 55,800 71.21*** Jan 4, 1997
1956* 37,600 66.43 Dec 25, 1955
1969* 32,600 65.42 Jan 27, 1969
1895 19,600 20.70 Feb 13, 1895
1940* 18,200 63.10 Mar 27, 1940
 * Discharge affected to unknown degree by regulation or diversion
 ** Most recent continuous record back to 1943 with segmented periods back to Feb 1895
 *** Backwater effect caused by debris on railroad trestle 1500 ft downstream of gage

Location Photographs

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
67.0 FeetExtensive flooding occurs. Flows in excess of 40,000 cfs could cause extensive damage to residential, industrial and commercial development in Modesto downstream of gage.
55.0 FeetThis is channel capacity through downtown Modesto.