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Hydrometeorological Discussion
National Weather Service / California Nevada RFC / Sacramento CA
730 AM PDT Fri May 17 2024

...GRADUAL COOLING FROM W TO E INTO NEXT WEEK...
...ISOLATED SHOWERS/T-STORMS OVER THE SRN SIERRA INTO NV SAT, 
OTHERWISE NO ORGANIZED THREAT OF PRECIP FOR THE REGION...

.METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS (FRI AM - THU AM)...

An upper low to the southwest of CA along with a trough passing 
through the PacNW has pushed the offshore upper ridge further out to 
sea. This will allow for some gradual cooling to kick off today as 
the retrograding ridge makes way for disturbances to move across the 
region. Models show a deepening trough into the PacNW over the 
weekend eventually expanding to cover most of CA/NV with the upper 
low just to its southwest. There is still no threat of organized 
widespread precip with this troughing, but some afternoon/evening 
showers/thunderstorms will be possible over the southern Sierra and 
into NV on Saturday. This pattern shift will also gradually cool 
temperatures from west to east starting today with coastal areas 
below normal while interior CA and NV remain 5-10 deg F above normal 
today and tomorrow. Most areas are expected to see temps drop down 
to 5-10 deg F below normal by Monday as the trough takes over and 
then swings eastward through CA/NV. This may result in some 
additional showers over the southern Sierra and into NV along with 
isolated thunderstorms.

On Tuesday, another low will travel through BC bringing troughing 
back into the PacNW as high pressure attempts to shift closer to the 
coast. The approaching low will block the ridge from moving back in 
keeping temperatures near to below normal the rest of the forecast 
period. As the low digs into the PacNW mid-week the system may 
produce a few light showers along the northern CA/NV borders, but 
nothing significant. Higher freezing levels 10-13 kft for most of 
the region through the period with occasional lowering over far nrn 
CA/NV down to 7-9 kft.