CNRFC Ensemble Plot for BCKC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

Prev. Point

Next Point

Back to Points

Back to Home

BEAR CREEK - BEAR RESERVOIR (BCKC1)

Latitude:
37.37º N

Longitude:
120.22º W

Elevation:
319 Feet

Location: Mariposa County in CA

River Group: San Joaquin

Issuance Time:

Jul 07 2025 at 7:33 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
N/A

Minor
Flood:
N/A

Moderate
Flood:
N/A

Major
Flood:
N/A

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | BCKC1

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ303)

Tonight: Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. West winds up to 5 mph.

Tuesday Night: Clear. Lows around 60. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

Wednesday: Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

Wednesday Night: Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.

Thursday through Monday: Clear. Highs around 102. Lows in the upper 60s.