CNRFC Ensemble Plot for BCKC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
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BEAR CREEK - BEAR RESERVOIR (BCKC1)

Latitude:
37.37º N

Longitude:
120.22º W

Elevation:
319 Feet

Location: Mariposa County in CA

River Group: San Joaquin

Issuance Time:

Jun 27 2025 at 8:23 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
N/A

Minor
Flood:
N/A

Moderate
Flood:
N/A

Major
Flood:
N/A

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Threshold Exceedance Plot Product Information

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | BCKC1

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)

		Prob. of Threshold Exceedance
		Model Traces

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ303)

Today: Sunny. Highs around 100. West winds up to 10 mph.

Tonight: Clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.

Sunday: Sunny. Highs around 101. South winds up to 5 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon.

Sunday Night: Clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Northwest winds up to 15 mph.

Monday: Sunny. Highs around 100. West winds up to 10 mph.

Monday Night through Wednesday: Clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 90s.

Wednesday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s.

Thursday through Independence Day: Clear. Highs in the mid 90s. Lows in the lower 60s.