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| BEAR CREEK - BEAR RESERVOIR (BCKC1) | ||||||||||||||||||
| Latitude: 37.37º N | Longitude: 120.22º W | Elevation: 319 Feet | ||||||||||||||||
| Location: Mariposa County in CA | ||||||||||||||||||
| River Group: San Joaquin | ||||||||||||||||||
| Issuance Time: | May 10 2025 at 8:51 AM PDT |
| Please Note: | Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty. Flow data on this product are unregulated / full natural flow. |
| Monthly Probability Plot |
| Monthly Streamflow Volume (1000s of Acre-Feet) Data Updated: May 10 2025 at 8:55 AM PDT | ||||||
| Prob | May* | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct |
| 10% | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 |
| 25% | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 |
| 50% | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 |
| 75% | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| 90% | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Mean | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| %Mean | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 200.0 |
| Prob | Nov | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr |
| 10% | 0.9 | 7.9 | 22.6 | 17.2 | 15.8 | 4.2 |
| 25% | 0.2 | 2.4 | 8.5 | 8.0 | 10.6 | 1.5 |
| 50% | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 0.7 |
| 75% | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 90% | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Mean | 0.3 | 2.3 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.2 | 1.6 |
| %Mean | 66.7 | 21.7 | 26.0 | 42.0 | 46.2 | 43.7 |
| Note 1: %Mean is the "Median forecast monthly value (50%)" divided by the "monthly mean" (displayed as a %) | ||||||
| Note 2: For current month, graphic represents remaining forecast only, text represents observed + remaining forecast. | ||||||
| Location Photographs | ||
| ESRI™ Locator Map |
| Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ303) |
| Tonight: Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Sunday: Not as warm. Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Sunday Night: Cooler. Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Monday: Cooler, sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Monday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Tuesday and Tuesday Night: Mostly clear. Highs in the lower 70s. Lows in the upper 40s. Wednesday: Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Wednesday Night through Thursday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 80s. Friday and Friday Night: Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 80s. Lows in the mid 50s. Saturday: Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. |