CNRFC Mobile Logo

 

Short-Rng Pks

10D Prob

10 Accum

4x5D Prob

Mnth Prob

Seas Trnd

WY Trend

WY Accum

Multi-Yr Accum

Historical

Verification

Custom

Prev. Point

Next Point

Back to Points

Back to Home

BEAR CREEK - BEAR RESERVOIR (BCKC1)
Latitude:
37.37º N
Longitude:
120.22º W
Elevation:
319 Feet
Location: Mariposa County in CA
River Group: San Joaquin
Issuance Time: Feb 13 2026 at 8:46 AM PST
Please Note:Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Flow data on this product are unregulated / full natural flow.
Monthly Probability Plot
Monthly Streamflow Volume (1000s of Acre-Feet)
Data Updated: Feb 13 2026 at 8:55 AM PST
ProbFeb*MarAprMayJunJul
10%12.119.74.81.10.70.6
25%7.110.42.10.90.60.5
50%4.24.10.90.50.40.2
75%1.41.20.50.30.20.1
90%0.50.50.30.20.10.0
Mean5.05.21.60.50.20.1
%Mean84.078.856.2100.0200.0200.0
ProbAugSepOctNovDecJan
10%0.50.40.51.08.223.9
25%0.40.40.40.42.37.4
50%0.20.20.20.30.51.3
75%0.10.10.10.20.40.4
90%0.00.00.00.10.20.2
Mean0.10.10.10.32.24.9
%Mean200.0200.0200.0100.022.726.5
Note 1: %Mean is the "Median forecast monthly value (50%)" divided by the "monthly mean" (displayed as a %)
Note 2: For current month, graphic represents remaining forecast only, text represents observed + remaining forecast.

Location Photographs

ESRI™ Locator Map