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BEAR CREEK - BEAR RESERVOIR (BCKC1)
Latitude:
37.37º N
Longitude:
120.22º W
Elevation:
319 Feet
Location: Mariposa County in CA
River Group: San Joaquin
Issuance Time: Aug 07 2026 at 7:44 AM PDT
Please Note:Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Flow data on this product are unregulated / full natural flow.
Monthly Probability Plot
Monthly Streamflow Volume (1000s of Acre-Feet)
Data Updated: Aug 07 2026 at 7:51 AM PDT
ProbAug*SepOctNovDecJan
10%0.10.20.20.97.722.7
25%0.10.20.20.32.47.4
50%0.10.20.20.20.51.3
75%0.10.20.20.20.20.3
90%0.10.20.20.20.20.2
Mean0.10.10.10.32.24.9
%Mean100.0200.0200.066.722.726.5
ProbFebMarAprMayJunJul
10%17.215.95.21.30.80.7
25%8.011.81.81.00.70.5
50%2.32.60.90.40.20.1
75%0.30.40.20.10.00.0
90%0.20.20.20.10.00.0
Mean5.05.21.60.50.20.1
%Mean46.050.056.280.0100.0100.0
Note 1: %Mean is the "Median forecast monthly value (50%)" divided by the "monthly mean" (displayed as a %)
Note 2: For current month, graphic represents remaining forecast only, text represents observed + remaining forecast.

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