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| BEAR CREEK - BEAR RESERVOIR (BCKC1) | ||||||||||||||||||
| Latitude: 37.37º N | Longitude: 120.22º W | Elevation: 319 Feet | ||||||||||||||||
| Location: Mariposa County in CA | ||||||||||||||||||
| River Group: San Joaquin | ||||||||||||||||||
| Issuance Time: | Jun 27 2025 at 8:21 AM PDT |
| Please Note: | Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty. Flow data on this product are unregulated / full natural flow. |
| Monthly Probability Plot |
| Monthly Streamflow Volume (1000s of Acre-Feet) Data Updated: Jun 27 2025 at 8:25 AM PDT | ||||||
| Prob | Jun* | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov |
| 10% | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.9 |
| 25% | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| 50% | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| 75% | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 |
| 90% | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 |
| Mean | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| %Mean | 50.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 200.0 | 66.7 |
| Prob | Dec | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May |
| 10% | 7.9 | 22.6 | 17.2 | 15.8 | 4.2 | 1.3 |
| 25% | 2.4 | 8.5 | 8.0 | 10.6 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| 50% | 0.5 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| 75% | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 90% | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| Mean | 2.3 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.2 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| %Mean | 21.7 | 26.0 | 42.0 | 46.2 | 43.7 | 80.0 |
| Note 1: %Mean is the "Median forecast monthly value (50%)" divided by the "monthly mean" (displayed as a %) | ||||||
| Note 2: For current month, graphic represents remaining forecast only, text represents observed + remaining forecast. | ||||||
| Location Photographs | ||
| ESRI™ Locator Map |
| Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ303) |
| Today: Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. West winds up to 5 mph. Tonight: Clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph. Saturday: Sunny. Highs around 100. South winds up to 5 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. Saturday Night: Clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph. Sunday: Sunny. Highs around 100. South winds up to 5 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon. Sunday Night through Wednesday: Clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 100. Wednesday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Thursday: Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. |