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BURNS CREEK - BURNS CREEK RESERVOIR (BNCC1)
Latitude:
37.38º N
Longitude:
120.28º W
Elevation:
319 Feet
Location: Merced County in CA
River Group: San Joaquin
Issuance Time: Feb 13 2026 at 8:46 AM PST
Please Note:Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Flow data on this product are unregulated / full natural flow.
Monthly Probability Plot
Monthly Streamflow Volume (1000s of Acre-Feet)
Data Updated: Feb 13 2026 at 8:55 AM PST
ProbFeb*MarAprMayJunJul
10%8.416.84.31.20.10.0
25%5.19.82.30.80.00.0
50%2.73.00.80.10.00.0
75%0.61.10.30.00.00.0
90%0.20.20.00.00.00.0
Mean4.63.81.00.20.10.0
%Mean58.778.980.050.00.00.0
ProbAugSepOctNovDecJan
10%0.00.00.00.25.320.8
25%0.00.00.00.01.06.8
50%0.00.00.00.00.10.8
75%0.00.00.00.00.00.0
90%0.00.00.00.00.00.0
Mean0.00.00.00.11.65.0
%Mean0.00.00.00.06.216.0
Note 1: %Mean is the "Median forecast monthly value (50%)" divided by the "monthly mean" (displayed as a %)
Note 2: For current month, graphic represents remaining forecast only, text represents observed + remaining forecast.

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