CNRFC Ensemble Plot for BDBC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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SACRAMENTO RIVER - BEND BRIDGE (BDBC1)

Latitude:
40.29º N

Longitude:
122.19º W

Elevation:
286 Feet

Location: Tehama County in CA

River Group: Upper Sacramento

Issuance Time:

Jun 28 2025 at 8:41 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
22.0 Ft

Minor
Flood:
27.0 Ft

Moderate
Flood:
29.5 Ft

Major
Flood:
31.0 Ft

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | BDBC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
29.5 Feet	Adobe Road at Surrey Village is flooded and closed. Approximately 200 homes are isolated. Homes begin to flood along Fisher Road on the east side of the river.
27.0 Feet	Overflow of the east bank begins upstream of gage.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ015)

Today: Sunny. Highs around 101. North winds up to 10 mph shifting to the northeast in the afternoon.

Tonight: Clear. Lows 68 to 74. Light winds.

Sunday: Sunny. Highs 100 to 106. Light winds.

Sunday Night: Clear. Lows 68 to 74. South winds up to 10 mph.

Monday: Sunny. Highs around 100. Light winds becoming south up to 10 mph in the afternoon.

Monday Night: Mostly clear. Lows 70 to 76.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny. Highs 98 to 104.

Tuesday Night through Wednesday Night: Mostly clear. Lows around 71. Highs 97 to 104.

Thursday through Independence Day: Clear. Highs 91 to 100. Lows 64 to 70.

Flood Impacts
29.5 Feet	Adobe Road at Surrey Village is flooded and closed. Approximately 200 homes are isolated. Homes begin to flood along Fisher Road on the east side of the river.
27.0 Feet	Overflow of the east bank begins upstream of gage.