CNRFC Ensemble Plot for BDBC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

Prev. Point

Next Point

Back to Points

Back to Home

SACRAMENTO RIVER - BEND BRIDGE (BDBC1)

Latitude:
40.29º N

Longitude:
122.19º W

Elevation:
286 Feet

Location: Tehama County in CA

River Group: Upper Sacramento

Issuance Time:

May 08 2025 at 8:31 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
22.0 Ft

Minor
Flood:
27.0 Ft

Moderate
Flood:
29.5 Ft

Major
Flood:
31.0 Ft

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | BDBC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
29.5 Feet	Adobe Road at Surrey Village is flooded and closed. Approximately 200 homes are isolated. Homes begin to flood along Fisher Road on the east side of the river.
27.0 Feet	Overflow of the east bank begins upstream of gage.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ015)

Today: Mostly sunny. Highs around 91. Light winds becoming south up to 10 mph in the afternoon.

Tonight: Mostly clear. Lows 57 to 63. South winds up to 10 mph in the evening becoming light.

Saturday: Mostly sunny. Highs 88 to 93. Light winds becoming south up to 10 mph in the afternoon.

Saturday Night: Mostly clear. Lows 55 to 61. Southwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the northwest up to 10 mph after midnight. Gusts up to 20 mph.

Sunday: Mostly sunny. Highs 77 to 83. South winds up to 15 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph in the afternoon.

Sunday Night: Partly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Cooler. Lows 47 to 53.

Monday: Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Cooler. Highs 60 to 67.

Monday Night: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Lows around 47.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy with a slight chance of rain showers. Highs around 70.

Tuesday Night: Mostly clear. Lows around 49.

Wednesday: Sunny. Highs around 77.

Wednesday Night and Thursday: Mostly clear. Lows around 53. Highs 77 to 85.

Flood Impacts
29.5 Feet	Adobe Road at Surrey Village is flooded and closed. Approximately 200 homes are isolated. Homes begin to flood along Fisher Road on the east side of the river.
27.0 Feet	Overflow of the east bank begins upstream of gage.