CNRFC Ensemble Plot for BDBC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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SACRAMENTO RIVER - BEND BRIDGE (BDBC1)

Latitude:
40.29º N

Longitude:
122.19º W

Elevation:
286 Feet

Location: Tehama County in CA

River Group: Upper Sacramento

Issuance Time:

Jan 08 2026 at 7:47 AM PST

Action/
Monitor:
22.0 Ft

Minor
Flood:
27.0 Ft

Moderate
Flood:
29.5 Ft

Major
Flood:
31.0 Ft

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | BDBC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
29.5 Feet	Adobe Road at Surrey Village is flooded and closed. Approximately 200 homes are isolated. Homes begin to flood along Fisher Road on the east side of the river.
27.0 Feet	Overflow of the east bank begins upstream of gage.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ015)

Tonight: Mostly clear. Areas of frost late in the night. Lows 31 to 37. Northwest winds up to 10 mph with gusts to around 20 mph.

Friday: Areas of frost in the morning. Mostly sunny. Highs 51 to 57. North winds up to 10 mph.

Friday Night: Mostly clear. Areas of frost after midnight. Lows 31 to 37. Light winds.

Saturday: Areas of frost in the morning. Mostly cloudy. Highs 50 to 56. Light winds.

Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy. Lows 34 to 40. Light winds.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy. Highs 53 to 59.

Sunday Night: Mostly clear. Lows 36 to 41.

Monday through Wednesday: Mostly clear. Highs 59 to 69. Lows 36 to 46.

Wednesday Night and Thursday: Mostly clear. Lows around 48. Highs 63 to 71.

Flood Impacts
29.5 Feet	Adobe Road at Surrey Village is flooded and closed. Approximately 200 homes are isolated. Homes begin to flood along Fisher Road on the east side of the river.
27.0 Feet	Overflow of the east bank begins upstream of gage.