CNRFC Ensemble Plot for BLBC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
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STONY CREEK - BLACK BUTTE RESERVOIR (BLBC1)

Latitude:
39.81º N

Longitude:
122.33º W

Elevation:
426 Feet

Location: Tehama County in CA

River Group: Upper Sacramento

Issuance Time:

Jul 05 2025 at 9:18 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
N/A

Minor
Flood:
N/A

Moderate
Flood:
N/A

Major
Flood:
N/A

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Threshold Exceedance Plot Product Information

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | BLBC1

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)

		Prob. of Threshold Exceedance
		Model Traces

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ015)

Today: Sunny. Highs 88 to 94. Light winds becoming south up to 10 mph in the afternoon.

Tonight: Clear. Lows 59 to 67. South winds up to 10 mph in the evening becoming light.

Sunday: Sunny, warmer. Highs 94 to 102. Light winds becoming south up to 10 mph in the afternoon.

Sunday Night: Clear. Lows 62 to 70. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.

Monday: Sunny. Highs 94 to 100. Light winds becoming south up to 10 mph with gusts to around 20 mph in the afternoon.

Monday Night: Clear. Lows 61 to 69.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs 90 to 96.

Tuesday Night and Wednesday: Clear. Lows 61 to 67. Highs 90 to 99.

Wednesday Night through Friday: Clear. Lows 67 to 76. Highs 95 to 105.