CNRFC Ensemble Plot for BTCC1

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SACRAMENTO RIVER - BUTTE CITY (BTCC1)

Latitude:
39.46º N

Longitude:
121.99º W

Elevation:
99 Feet

Location: Glenn County in CA

River Group: Upper Sacramento

Issuance Time:

Feb 17 2026 at 2:45 PM PST

Action/
Monitor:
88.5 Ft

Minor
Flood:
97.0 Ft

Moderate
Flood:
99.5 Ft

Major
Flood:
100.5 Ft

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | BTCC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
100.5 Feet	Stages above 100.5 feet result in major flooding. Top of levee.
97.0 Feet	Water begins to flow into the orchards on the west bank of the river. Water is still contained inside the levees.
96.5 Feet	Water begins to flow into the orchards on the west bank of the river. Water is still contained inside the levees.
89.9 Feet	Overbank flow of the east bank begins upstream of the gage. Water flows into Butte Basin.

Flood Impacts
100.5 Feet	Stages above 100.5 feet result in major flooding. Top of levee.
97.0 Feet	Water begins to flow into the orchards on the west bank of the river. Water is still contained inside the levees.
96.5 Feet	Water begins to flow into the orchards on the west bank of the river. Water is still contained inside the levees.
89.9 Feet	Overbank flow of the east bank begins upstream of the gage. Water flows into Butte Basin.