CNRFC Ensemble Plot for BTCC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
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SACRAMENTO RIVER - BUTTE CITY (BTCC1)

Latitude:
39.46º N

Longitude:
121.99º W

Elevation:
99 Feet

Location: Glenn County in CA

River Group: Upper Sacramento

Issuance Time:

Jul 06 2025 at 9:02 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
88.5 Ft

Minor
Flood:
97.0 Ft

Moderate
Flood:
99.5 Ft

Major
Flood:
100.5 Ft

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Threshold Exceedance Plot Product Information

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | BTCC1

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)

		Prob. of Threshold Exceedance
		Model Traces

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
100.5 Feet	Stages above 100.5 feet result in major flooding. Top of levee.
97.0 Feet	Water begins to flow into the orchards on the west bank of the river. Water is still contained inside the levees.
96.5 Feet	Water begins to flow into the orchards on the west bank of the river. Water is still contained inside the levees.
89.9 Feet	Overbank flow of the east bank begins upstream of the gage. Water flows into Butte Basin.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ016)

Tonight: Clear. Lows 58 to 66. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.

Monday: Sunny. Highs around 94. Southeast winds up to 10 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.

Monday Night: Clear. Lows 57 to 63. South winds up to 15 mph.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs around 90. Southeast winds up to 10 mph with gusts to around 20 mph.

Tuesday Night: Clear. Lows 57 to 63. South winds up to 10 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in the evening.

Wednesday: Sunny. Highs around 93.

Wednesday Night: Clear. Lows 62 to 70.

Thursday through Sunday: Clear. Highs around 100. Lows 62 to 72.

Flood Impacts
100.5 Feet	Stages above 100.5 feet result in major flooding. Top of levee.
97.0 Feet	Water begins to flow into the orchards on the west bank of the river. Water is still contained inside the levees.
96.5 Feet	Water begins to flow into the orchards on the west bank of the river. Water is still contained inside the levees.
89.9 Feet	Overbank flow of the east bank begins upstream of the gage. Water flows into Butte Basin.