CNRFC Ensemble Plot for CKEC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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LOST RIVER - CLEAR LAKE (CKEC1)

Latitude:
41.93º N

Longitude:
121.08º W

Elevation:
4469 Feet

Location: Modoc County in CA

River Group: North Coast

Issuance Time:

May 04 2025 at 10:10 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
N/A

Minor
Flood:
N/A

Moderate
Flood:
N/A

Major
Flood:
N/A

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | CKEC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ085)

Tonight: Clear. Lows in the lower to mid 30s. North winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts to around 35 mph.

Monday: Sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 60s. Northeast winds 10 to 20 mph.

Monday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Northeast winds 10 to 20 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph well after midnight.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to mid 70s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

Tuesday Night: Clear. Lows in the lower to mid 40s. Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the east after midnight.

Wednesday through Friday Night: Mostly clear. Highs in the lower 70s to lower 80s. Lows in the lower 40s to lower 50s.

Saturday and Saturday Night: Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.

Sunday: Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower to mid 70s.