CNRFC Ensemble Plot for CLLC1

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CALLEGUAS CREEK - CSU CHANNEL ISLANDS (CLLC1)

Latitude:
34.18º N

Longitude:
119.04º W

Elevation:
70 Feet

Location: Ventura County in CA

River Group: Southern California

Issuance Time:

Apr 07 2026 at 2:25 PM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
7.1 Ft

Minor
Flood:
7.9 Ft

Moderate
Flood:
9.0 Ft

Major
Flood:
9.9 Ft

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | CLLC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
9.9 Feet	Flooding of Lewis Road, california state university at channel islands Entrance Road bridge is flooded, flooding at point mugu naval air station, flooding of las Posas Road, Laguna Road, and highway 1
9.0 Feet	Flooding of Lewis Road, starts flooding bridge at california state university at channel islands entrance, flooding of casa pacifica property, flooding at point mugu naval air station's south entrance
7.9 Feet	Callegus creek can break out at the confluence with conejo creek. Point mugu naval air station needs to consider deploying flood protection measures.

Flood Impacts
9.9 Feet	Flooding of Lewis Road, california state university at channel islands Entrance Road bridge is flooded, flooding at point mugu naval air station, flooding of las Posas Road, Laguna Road, and highway 1
9.0 Feet	Flooding of Lewis Road, starts flooding bridge at california state university at channel islands entrance, flooding of casa pacifica property, flooding at point mugu naval air station's south entrance
7.9 Feet	Callegus creek can break out at the confluence with conejo creek. Point mugu naval air station needs to consider deploying flood protection measures.