CNRFC Ensemble Plot for DCMC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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DRY CREEK - MODESTO (DCMC1)

Latitude:
37.66º N

Longitude:
120.92º W

Elevation:
88 Feet

Location: Stanislaus County in CA

River Group: San Joaquin

Issuance Time:

Jan 12 2026 at 7:25 AM PST

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

10-Day Accumulated Volume Plot

Tabular 10-Day Streamflow Volume Accumulation (1000s of Acre-Feet) Data Updated: Jan 12 2026 at 7:47 AM PST
Prob	Jan 13	Jan 14	Jan 15	Jan 16	Jan 17
10% (Max)	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.4
25%	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.4
50% (Prob)	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.4
75%	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.4
90% (Min)	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.4
RFC FCST	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.4
Prob	Jan 18	Jan 19	Jan 20	Jan 21	Jan 22
10% (Max)	0.5	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.7
25%	0.5	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.7
50% (Prob)	0.5	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.7
75%	0.5	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.7
90% (Min)	0.5	0.5	0.6	0.6	0.7

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ019)

Today: Patchy fog early in the morning. Areas of fog late in the morning. Mostly sunny. Highs around 58. Light winds.

Tonight: Mostly clear. Patchy fog after midnight. Lows 37 to 43. Light winds.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy in the morning then clearing. Patchy dense fog. Highs around 58. Light winds.

Tuesday Night: Clear in the evening then becoming partly cloudy. Patchy fog after midnight. Lows 38 to 44. Light winds.

Wednesday: Partly cloudy in the morning then clearing. Patchy fog in the morning. Highs 55 to 61. Light winds.

Wednesday Night: Mostly clear. Patchy fog. Lows around 43.

Thursday: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Highs around 59.

Thursday Night through Saturday Night: Mostly clear. Lows around 44. Highs around 60.

Sunday: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Highs around 59.