CNRFC Ensemble Plot for DVAC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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ARROYO VALLE - DEL VALLE RESERVOIR (DVAC1)

Latitude:
37.61º N

Longitude:
121.75º W

Elevation:
703 Feet

Location: Alameda County in CA

River Group: Central Coast

Issuance Time:

Jan 11 2026 at 8:20 AM PST

Action/
Monitor:
N/A

Minor
Flood:
N/A

Moderate
Flood:
N/A

Major
Flood:
N/A

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | DVAC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ515)

Rest of Today: Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 50s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

Tonight: Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Light winds.

Monday: Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

Monday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Light winds and becoming east around 5 mph after midnight.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

Tuesday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s.

Wednesday through Friday Night: Mostly clear. Highs in the upper 50s. Lows in the lower 40s.

Saturday: Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming sunny. Highs in the upper 50s.