CNRFC Ensemble Plot for DVSC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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BIG GRIZZLY CREEK - LAKE DAVIS (DVSC1)

Latitude:
39.88º N

Longitude:
120.48º W

Elevation:
5768 Feet

Location: Plumas County in CA

River Group: Lower Sacramento

Issuance Time:

Jan 10 2026 at 8:34 AM PST

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Flow data on this product are unregulated / full natural flow.

Monthly Probability Plot

Monthly Streamflow Volume (1000s of Acre-Feet) Data Updated: Jan 10 2026 at 9:06 AM PST
Prob	Jan*	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun
10%	9.8	15.1	19.3	16.3	11.6	3.4
25%	7.9	11.2	13.7	11.5	7.1	2.2
50%	6.5	5.4	9.4	7.5	4.4	1.3
75%	6.0	3.4	6.9	5.5	2.1	0.8
90%	5.5	2.6	3.8	3.5	1.6	0.4

Mean	+	+	+	+	+	+
%Mean	+	+	+	+	+	+
Prob	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
10%	1.3	0.6	1.0	2.1	3.9	11.4
25%	0.7	0.3	0.4	1.2	1.8	3.4
50%	0.3	0.0	0.1	0.4	1.0	1.4
75%	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.8
90%	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.3

Mean	+	+	+	+	+	+
%Mean	+	+	+	+	+	+
Note 1: %Mean is the "Median forecast monthly value (50%)" divided by the "monthly mean" (displayed as a %)
Note 2: For current month, graphic represents remaining forecast only, text represents observed + remaining forecast.

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ071)

Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Lows 18 to 28. Light winds.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. Highs 40 to 50. Light winds.

Sunday Night: Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming clear. Lows 17 to 27. Light winds.

Monday: Sunny. Highs 43 to 53. Light winds.

Monday Night: Clear. Lows 20 to 30. Light winds.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs 46 to 56.

Tuesday Night: Clear. Lows 22 to 32.

Wednesday through Saturday: Clear. Highs 49 to 59. Lows 22 to 32.