CNRFC Ensemble Plot for FHDC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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LITTLE LAST CHANCE CREEK - FRENCHMAN LAKE (FHDC1)

Latitude:
39.90º N

Longitude:
120.18º W

Elevation:
5517 Feet

Location: Plumas County in CA

River Group: Lower Sacramento

Issuance Time:

Jan 10 2026 at 8:34 AM PST

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Flow data on this product are unregulated / full natural flow.

Monthly Probability Plot

Monthly Streamflow Volume (1000s of Acre-Feet) Data Updated: Jan 10 2026 at 9:06 AM PST
Prob	Jan*	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun
10%	8.0	13.6	27.6	26.2	10.4	3.5
25%	6.8	9.9	15.1	15.6	5.1	2.1
50%	5.9	5.9	9.9	7.1	2.7	0.7
75%	5.4	4.2	7.1	4.2	1.6	0.2
90%	5.2	3.5	4.4	2.2	1.0	0.0

Mean	+	+	+	+	+	+
%Mean	+	+	+	+	+	+
Prob	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec
10%	1.1	0.1	0.2	0.5	1.9	7.9
25%	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.5	1.4
50%	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5
75%	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3
90%	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2

Mean	+	+	+	+	+	+
%Mean	+	+	+	+	+	+
Note 1: %Mean is the "Median forecast monthly value (50%)" divided by the "monthly mean" (displayed as a %)
Note 2: For current month, graphic represents remaining forecast only, text represents observed + remaining forecast.

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ071)

Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Lows 18 to 28. Light winds.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. Highs 40 to 50. Light winds.

Sunday Night: Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming clear. Lows 17 to 27. Light winds.

Monday: Sunny. Highs 43 to 53. Light winds.

Monday Night: Clear. Lows 20 to 30. Light winds.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs 46 to 56.

Tuesday Night: Clear. Lows 22 to 32.

Wednesday through Saturday: Clear. Highs 49 to 59. Lows 22 to 32.