CNRFC Ensemble Plot for EFBC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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CASTAIC CREEK - ELDERBERRY FOREBAY (EFBC1)

Latitude:
34.56º N

Longitude:
118.63º W

Elevation:
1400 Feet

Location: Los Angeles County in CA

River Group: Southern California

Issuance Time:

Jul 04 2025 at 8:53 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
N/A

Minor
Flood:
N/A

Moderate
Flood:
N/A

Major
Flood:
N/A

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | EFBC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ088)

Today: Sunny. Highs in the mid to upper 80s. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon.

Tonight: Clear. Lows in the mid to upper 50s. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph in the evening.

Saturday: Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s to around 90. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon.

Saturday Night: Clear. Lows in the mid to upper 50s. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph in the evening.

Sunday: Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s to lower 90s.

Sunday Night: Clear. Lows in the mid 50s to around 60.

Monday: Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s to lower 90s.

Monday Night: Clear. Lows around 60.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 90s.

Tuesday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the mid to upper 60s.

Wednesday: Sunny. Highs 96 to 102.

Wednesday Night: Mostly clear. Lows around 70.

Thursday: Sunny. Highs 98 to 103.