CNRFC Ensemble Plot for EXQC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

Prev. Point

Next Point

Back to Points

Back to Home

MERCED RIVER - EXCHEQUER RESERVOIR (EXQC1)

Latitude:
37.58º N

Longitude:
120.27º W

Elevation:
442 Feet

Location: Mariposa County in CA

River Group: San Joaquin

Issuance Time:

May 09 2025 at 9:12 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
N/A

Minor
Flood:
N/A

Moderate
Flood:
N/A

Major
Flood:
N/A

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | EXQC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ317)

Today: Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. South winds up to 5 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon.

Tonight: Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. North winds up to 10 mph.

Saturday: Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Northeast winds up to 5 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon.

Saturday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.

Sunday: Not as warm. Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Northwest winds up to 15 mph.

Sunday Night and Monday: Not as warm. Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs 67 to 73.

Monday Night: Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny. Highs 62 to 68.

Tuesday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s.

Wednesday: Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.

Wednesday Night and Thursday: Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.