CNRFC Ensemble Plot for FHDC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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LITTLE LAST CHANCE CREEK - FRENCHMAN LAKE (FHDC1)

Latitude:
39.90º N

Longitude:
120.18º W

Elevation:
5517 Feet

Location: Plumas County in CA

River Group: Lower Sacramento

Issuance Time:

May 11 2025 at 9:05 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
N/A

Minor
Flood:
N/A

Moderate
Flood:
N/A

Major
Flood:
N/A

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | FHDC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ071)

Today: Sunny. Highs 63 to 73. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 35 mph increasing to 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 55 mph in the afternoon.

Tonight: Clear. Lows 31 to 41. Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph. Gusts up to 55 mph decreasing to 40 mph after midnight.

Monday: Chance of showers. Snow level 5500 feet. Snow accumulation up to 2 inches. Highs 47 to 57. Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

Monday Night: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Snow level 5500 to 6000 feet. Lows 28 to 38. West winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 35 mph in the evening.

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers in the morning, then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Snow level 5000 feet rising to 6000 feet. Highs 50 to 60. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers in the evening, then clear after midnight. Lows 27 to 37.

Wednesday and Wednesday Night: Clear. Highs 59 to 69. Lows 31 to 41.

Thursday: Sunny. Highs 66 to 76.

Thursday Night: Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows 38 to 48.

Friday: Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs 65 to 75.

Friday Night: Mostly cloudy in the evening then becoming partly cloudy. Lows 38 to 48.

Saturday: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs 61 to 71.