CNRFC Ensemble Plot for FHDC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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LITTLE LAST CHANCE CREEK - FRENCHMAN LAKE (FHDC1)

Latitude:
39.90º N

Longitude:
120.18º W

Elevation:
5517 Feet

Location: Plumas County in CA

River Group: Lower Sacramento

Issuance Time:

Jan 11 2026 at 7:54 AM PST

Action/
Monitor:
N/A

Minor
Flood:
N/A

Moderate
Flood:
N/A

Major
Flood:
N/A

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | FHDC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ071)

Today: Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. Highs 40 to 50. Light winds.

Tonight: Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming clear. Lows 17 to 27. Light winds.

Monday: Sunny. Highs 44 to 54. Light winds.

Monday Night: Clear. Lows 17 to 27. Light winds.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs 46 to 56. Light winds.

Tuesday Night: Clear. Lows 20 to 30.

Wednesday through Saturday: Clear. Highs 48 to 58. Lows 22 to 32.