CNRFC Ensemble Plot for FMWC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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SACRAMENTO RIVER - FREMONT WEIR (FMWC1)

Latitude:
38.77º N

Longitude:
121.67º W

Elevation:
40 Feet

Location: Sutter & Yolo County in CA

River Group: Lower Sacramento

Issuance Time:

May 08 2025 at 10:18 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
32.0 Ft

Minor
Flood:
39.5 Ft

Moderate
Flood:
43.0 Ft

Major
Flood:
44.0 Ft

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | FMWC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
44.0 Feet	Stages above 44.0 feet result in flooding outside the levees. Top of levee.
37.3 Feet	At 5.3 feet of overflow Egbert Tract floods.
33.1 Feet	At one foot of overflow, the river road to Woodland is closed due to flooding.
32.0 Feet	Fremont Weir crest elevation. Overflow begins into the Yolo Bypass flooding agricultural lands.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ017)

Today: Sunny. Highs 88 to 95. Light winds.

Tonight: Mostly clear. Lows 53 to 63. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.

Saturday: Sunny. Highs 88 to 95. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.

Saturday Night: Clear. Lows 53 to 59. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

Sunday: Mostly sunny. Highs 73 to 82. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph increasing to 30 mph in the afternoon.

Sunday Night: Mostly clear. Lows around 50.

Monday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Highs 61 to 69.

Monday Night: Partly cloudy with a slight chance of rain showers. Lows around 48.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy. Highs 65 to 72.

Tuesday Night through Wednesday Night: Clear. Lows around 50. Highs 68 to 78.

Thursday: Mostly sunny. Highs 78 to 85.

Flood Impacts
44.0 Feet	Stages above 44.0 feet result in flooding outside the levees. Top of levee.
37.3 Feet	At 5.3 feet of overflow Egbert Tract floods.
33.1 Feet	At one foot of overflow, the river road to Woodland is closed due to flooding.
32.0 Feet	Fremont Weir crest elevation. Overflow begins into the Yolo Bypass flooding agricultural lands.