CNRFC Ensemble Plot for FMWC1

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SACRAMENTO RIVER - FREMONT WEIR (FMWC1)

Latitude:
38.77º N

Longitude:
121.67º W

Elevation:
40 Feet

Location: Sutter & Yolo County in CA

River Group: Lower Sacramento

Issuance Time:

Jun 16 2025 at 6:36 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
32.0 Ft

Minor
Flood:
39.5 Ft

Moderate
Flood:
43.0 Ft

Major
Flood:
44.0 Ft

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Threshold Exceedance Plot Product Information

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | FMWC1

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)

		Prob. of Threshold Exceedance
		Model Traces

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
44.0 Feet	Stages above 44.0 feet result in flooding outside the levees. Top of levee.
37.3 Feet	At 5.3 feet of overflow Egbert Tract floods.
33.1 Feet	At one foot of overflow, the river road to Woodland is closed due to flooding.
32.0 Feet	Fremont Weir crest elevation. Overflow begins into the Yolo Bypass flooding agricultural lands.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ017)

Today: Sunny. Highs 76 to 84. Southwest winds up to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon.

Tonight: Clear. Lows 48 to 54. West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 35 mph.

Saturday: Sunny. Highs 77 to 83. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts to around 30 mph.

Saturday Night: Clear. Lows 53 to 61. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 30 mph.

Sunday: Sunny. Highs 83 to 89. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 30 mph.

Sunday Night: Clear. Lows 53 to 61.

Monday: Sunny. Highs 89 to 95.

Monday Night: Clear. Lows 54 to 62.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny. Highs 86 to 94.

Tuesday Night through Thursday: Clear. Lows 53 to 63. Highs 87 to 97.

Flood Impacts
44.0 Feet	Stages above 44.0 feet result in flooding outside the levees. Top of levee.
37.3 Feet	At 5.3 feet of overflow Egbert Tract floods.
33.1 Feet	At one foot of overflow, the river road to Woodland is closed due to flooding.
32.0 Feet	Fremont Weir crest elevation. Overflow begins into the Yolo Bypass flooding agricultural lands.