CNRFC Ensemble Plot for FTCN2

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CARSON RIVER - FORT CHURCHILL (FTCN2)

Latitude:
39.29º N

Longitude:
119.31º W

Elevation:
4220 Feet

Location: Lyon County in NV

River Group: Eastern Sierra

Issuance Time:

Jul 07 2026 at 7:23 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
6.5 Ft

Minor
Flood:
8.0 Ft

Moderate
Flood:
8.5 Ft

Major
Flood:
9.5 Ft

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | FTCN2

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
9.5 Feet	Major Flood Stage, Major impact to roads, infastructure and parks.
8.5 Feet	Moderate Flood stage: Expanding impacts along lower Carson River impacting Parks, and rural roads.
8.0 Feet	Minor Flood stage
6.5 Feet	Monitor Stage: Some inundation of low lying areas including Rolling A Open Space Park, and Santa Maria Ranch Park. Some Distributed campsites along the river impacted.