CNRFC Ensemble Plot for FTSC1

*** IMPORTANT *** Week of June 16 - Website Data Outage [View details]

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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EEL RIVER - FORT SEWARD (FTSC1)

Latitude:
40.22º N

Longitude:
123.63º W

Elevation:
217 Feet

Location: Humboldt County in CA

River Group: North Coast

Issuance Time:

Jun 16 2025 at 6:34 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
55.0 Ft

Minor
Flood:
70.0 Ft

Moderate
Flood:
80.0 Ft

Major
Flood:
90.0 Ft

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | FTSC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
83.0 Feet	Considerable flooding of low lying areas north of the railroad tracks in Alderpoint and Fort Seward, and around the Dobbyns creek confluence. This forecast exceeds record river levels.
80.0 Feet	Flooding is probable in low lying areas north of the railroad tracks in alderpoint and fort seward, and around the dobbyns creek confluence.
78.0 Feet	Minor flooding is possible in low lying areas north of the railroad tracks in Alderpoint and Fort Seward, and around the Dobbyns Creek confluence.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ106)

Today: Partly cloudy in the morning then clearing. Highs 65 to 80.

Tonight: Mostly clear. Lows 40 to 50.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs 70 to 85.

Tuesday Night: Mostly clear. Lows 44 to 54.

Wednesday: Sunny. Highs 70 to 85.

Wednesday Night through Thursday Night: Partly cloudy. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 70 to 85.

Friday through Saturday Night: Partly cloudy. Highs 61 to 76. Lows 40 to 50.

Sunday: Mostly sunny. Highs 66 to 81.

Flood Impacts
83.0 Feet	Considerable flooding of low lying areas north of the railroad tracks in Alderpoint and Fort Seward, and around the Dobbyns creek confluence. This forecast exceeds record river levels.
80.0 Feet	Flooding is probable in low lying areas north of the railroad tracks in alderpoint and fort seward, and around the dobbyns creek confluence.
78.0 Feet	Minor flooding is possible in low lying areas north of the railroad tracks in Alderpoint and Fort Seward, and around the Dobbyns Creek confluence.