CNRFC Ensemble Plot for FTSC1

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EEL RIVER - FORT SEWARD (FTSC1)

Latitude:
40.22º N

Longitude:
123.63º W

Elevation:
217 Feet

Location: Humboldt County in CA

River Group: North Coast

Issuance Time:

May 03 2025 at 10:09 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
55.0 Ft

Minor
Flood:
70.0 Ft

Moderate
Flood:
80.0 Ft

Major
Flood:
90.0 Ft

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Threshold Exceedance Plot Product Information

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | FTSC1

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)

		Prob. of Threshold Exceedance
		Model Traces

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
83.0 Feet	Considerable flooding of low lying areas north of the railroad tracks in Alderpoint and Fort Seward, and around the Dobbyns creek confluence. This forecast exceeds record river levels.
80.0 Feet	Flooding is probable in low lying areas north of the railroad tracks in alderpoint and fort seward, and around the dobbyns creek confluence.
78.0 Feet	Minor flooding is possible in low lying areas north of the railroad tracks in Alderpoint and Fort Seward, and around the Dobbyns Creek confluence.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ106)

Tonight: Mostly cloudy early in the evening then becoming partly cloudy. Lows 32 to 42. Northwest wind around 20 mph in the evening.

Sunday: Sunny. Highs 57 to 72. Northwest wind around 20 mph in the afternoon.

Sunday Night: Mostly clear. Lows 35 to 45. Northwest wind around 20 mph in the evening.

Monday: Sunny. Highs 65 to 80.

Monday Night and Tuesday: Clear. Lows 43 to 53. Highs 70 to 85.

Tuesday Night and Wednesday: Mostly clear. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 70 to 85.

Wednesday Night through Saturday: Partly cloudy. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 67 to 82.

Flood Impacts
83.0 Feet	Considerable flooding of low lying areas north of the railroad tracks in Alderpoint and Fort Seward, and around the Dobbyns creek confluence. This forecast exceeds record river levels.
80.0 Feet	Flooding is probable in low lying areas north of the railroad tracks in alderpoint and fort seward, and around the dobbyns creek confluence.
78.0 Feet	Minor flooding is possible in low lying areas north of the railroad tracks in Alderpoint and Fort Seward, and around the Dobbyns Creek confluence.