CNRFC Ensemble Plot for FTSC1

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4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
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EEL RIVER - FORT SEWARD (FTSC1)

Latitude:
40.22º N

Longitude:
123.63º W

Elevation:
217 Feet

Location: Humboldt County in CA

River Group: North Coast

Issuance Time:

Jun 16 2025 at 6:34 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
55.0 Ft

Minor
Flood:
70.0 Ft

Moderate
Flood:
80.0 Ft

Major
Flood:
90.0 Ft

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Threshold Exceedance Plot Product Information

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | FTSC1

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)

		Prob. of Threshold Exceedance
		Model Traces

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
83.0 Feet	Considerable flooding of low lying areas north of the railroad tracks in Alderpoint and Fort Seward, and around the Dobbyns creek confluence. This forecast exceeds record river levels.
80.0 Feet	Flooding is probable in low lying areas north of the railroad tracks in alderpoint and fort seward, and around the dobbyns creek confluence.
78.0 Feet	Minor flooding is possible in low lying areas north of the railroad tracks in Alderpoint and Fort Seward, and around the Dobbyns Creek confluence.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ106)

Today: Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Highs 57 to 72.

Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in the evening. Snow level 5000 feet. Lows 37 to 47.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy in the morning then clearing. Highs 61 to 76.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy. Lows 39 to 49.

Sunday: Mostly sunny. Highs 66 to 81.

Sunday Night through Thursday: Partly cloudy. Lows 45 to 55. Highs 75 to 90.

Flood Impacts
83.0 Feet	Considerable flooding of low lying areas north of the railroad tracks in Alderpoint and Fort Seward, and around the Dobbyns creek confluence. This forecast exceeds record river levels.
80.0 Feet	Flooding is probable in low lying areas north of the railroad tracks in alderpoint and fort seward, and around the dobbyns creek confluence.
78.0 Feet	Minor flooding is possible in low lying areas north of the railroad tracks in Alderpoint and Fort Seward, and around the Dobbyns Creek confluence.