CNRFC Ensemble Plot for HAWC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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SAN LUIS REY RIVER - LAKE HENSHAW (HAWC1)

Latitude:
33.24º N

Longitude:
116.76º W

Elevation:
2750 Feet

Location: San Diego County in CA

River Group: Southern California

Issuance Time:

Jul 08 2025 at 10:11 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
N/A

Minor
Flood:
N/A

Moderate
Flood:
N/A

Major
Flood:
N/A

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | HAWC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ058)

Today: Sunny. Highs 87 to 97. Light winds becoming west 10 to 15 mph This Afternoon.

Tonight: Mostly clear. Lows 63 to 73. Areas of winds west 10 mph.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny. Highs 89 to 99. Areas of winds west 10 to 15 mph. Gusts to 30 mph in the afternoon.

Wednesday Night: Mostly clear. Lows 63 to 73. Areas of winds west 10 to 15 mph. Gusts to 30 mph in the evening.

Thursday: Sunny. Highs 89 to 99. Areas of winds west 10 to 15 mph. Gusts to 30 mph in the afternoon.

Thursday Night: Clear. Lows 59 to 69.

Friday: Sunny. Highs 85 to 95.

Friday Night: Mostly clear. Lows 57 to 67.

Saturday: Sunny. Highs 85 to 95.

Saturday Night: Clear. Lows 57 to 67.

Sunday: Sunny. Highs 86 to 96.

Sunday Night: Mostly clear. Lows 57 to 67.

Monday: Sunny. Highs 86 to 96.