CNRFC Ensemble Plot for KCVC1

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KELSEY CREEK - KELSEYVILLE (KCVC1)

Latitude:
38.93º N

Longitude:
122.84º W

Elevation:
1495 Feet

Location: Lake County in CA

River Group: Lower Sacramento

Issuance Time:

Jul 05 2026 at 6:59 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
11.0 Ft

Minor
Flood:
N/A

Moderate
Flood:
N/A

Major
Flood:
N/A

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | KCVC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
13.8 Feet	Bank overtopping occurs 2.5 miles upstream of the mouth of Kelsey Creek.
13.1 Feet	Overtopping occurs just upstream of the gage and canyon