CNRFC Ensemble Plot for KRVC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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KERN RIVER - KERNVILLE (KRVC1)

Latitude:
35.75º N

Longitude:
118.42º W

Elevation:
2637 Feet

Location: Kern County in CA

River Group: San Joaquin

Issuance Time:

May 11 2025 at 8:29 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
12.5 Ft

Minor
Flood:
13.5 Ft

Moderate
Flood:
17.0 Ft

Major
Flood:
20.0 Ft

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | KRVC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
13.5 Feet	Kern River adjacent to Riverside Park begins to escape its banks, flooding the lower park sidewalk. This is Preliminary Flood Stage.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ332)

Today: Breezy, sunny. Highs 81 to 87. West winds up to 10 mph with gusts to around 25 mph increasing to 15 to 25 mph with gusts to around 40 mph in the afternoon.

Tonight: Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. West winds 5 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 40 mph in the evening.

Monday: Windy, cooler, sunny. Highs 68 to 74. West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 30 mph increasing to 15 to 30 mph with gusts to around 45 mph in the afternoon.

Monday Night: Windy. Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. West winds 15 to 30 mph decreasing to 15 to 20 mph after midnight. Gusts up to 45 mph.

Tuesday: Windy, sunny. Highs 58 to 64. West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 35 mph increasing to 15 to 30 mph with gusts to around 45 mph in the afternoon.

Tuesday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s.

Wednesday: Warmer, sunny. Highs 68 to 74.

Wednesday Night through Thursday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs 75 to 81.

Friday and Friday Night: Partly cloudy. Highs 76 to 82. Lows in the lower 50s.

Saturday: Sunny. Highs 73 to 79.

Flood Impacts
13.5 Feet	Kern River adjacent to Riverside Park begins to escape its banks, flooding the lower park sidewalk. This is Preliminary Flood Stage.