CNRFC Ensemble Plot for KRVC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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KERN RIVER - KERNVILLE (KRVC1)

Latitude:
35.75º N

Longitude:
118.42º W

Elevation:
2637 Feet

Location: Kern County in CA

River Group: San Joaquin

Issuance Time:

Jul 03 2025 at 9:05 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
12.5 Ft

Minor
Flood:
13.5 Ft

Moderate
Flood:
17.0 Ft

Major
Flood:
20.0 Ft

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | KRVC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
13.5 Feet	Kern River adjacent to Riverside Park begins to escape its banks, flooding the lower park sidewalk. This is Preliminary Flood Stage.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ332)

Today: Sunny. Highs 90 to 96. East winds up to 10 mph increasing to west 10 to 20 mph with gusts to around 35 mph in the afternoon.

Tonight: Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. West winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts to around 35 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph with gusts to around 25 mph after midnight.

Independence Day: Breezy, sunny. Highs 84 to 90. West winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts to around 25 mph increasing to 15 to 25 mph in the afternoon.

Friday Night: Clear. Lows around 60. West winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts to around 35 mph shifting to the northwest 5 to 10 mph after midnight.

Saturday: Sunny. Highs 87 to 93. Northwest winds up to 10 mph shifting to the southwest with gusts to around 30 mph in the afternoon.

Saturday Night through Sunday Night: Clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs 91 to 97.

Monday through Wednesday: Mostly clear. Highs 93 to 102. Lows in the upper 60s.

Flood Impacts
13.5 Feet	Kern River adjacent to Riverside Park begins to escape its banks, flooding the lower park sidewalk. This is Preliminary Flood Stage.