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BEAR CREEK - MCKEE ROAD (MEEC1)
Latitude:
37.31º N
Longitude:
120.44º W
Elevation:
187 Feet
Location: Merced County in CA
River Group: San Joaquin
Issuance Time: May 12 2025 at 8:11 AM PDT
Action/
Monitor:
17.0 Ft
Minor
Flood:
23.0 Ft
Moderate
Flood:
24.6 Ft
Major
Flood:
25.6 Ft
Please Note:Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.
Threshold Exceedance Plot                  Product Information        CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs):  Forecast Group  |  MEEC1
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What information is considered in this forecast?
Verification / Historical Plots
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Location Photographs

ESRI™ Locator Map
Flood Impacts
27.2 FeetOn 1/10/23, the 26.18 foot Flood of Record took water up to the top of the levee system at the north end of Morse Drive and Thurman Court. This levee system has since been raised to 27.2 feet.
26.18 FeetWater impacts the bottom of the M Street and G Street Bridges. Water escapes its banks at E South Bear Creek Drive between Glen Avenue and Cameron Lane.Flood of Record - 1/10/2023
24.65 Feet2nd highest crest from 4/4/2006.
24.0 FeetAt 24 feet, the water flows towards the low point of Cooper Drive, businesses begin to flood.
23.0 FeetThe beechwood subdivision and the trailer park along the southern end of Bear Creek Drive floods in addition to Applegate Park on the south side of Bear Creek Drive.
17.0 FeetStorm drains begin to back up. Street flooding occurs primarily north of Bear Creek Drive and east of M Street.
16.0 FeetSouth bike path along Bear Creek floods downstream of the G Street bridge.
Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast   (CAZ302)
Today: Cooler, sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds up to 10 mph increasing to 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon.

Tonight: Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph in the evening.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Northwest winds up to 15 mph.

Tuesday Night: Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.

Wednesday: Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.

Wednesday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s.

Thursday: Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s.

Thursday Night: Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s.

Friday: Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s.

Friday Night: Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s.

Saturday through Sunday: Mostly clear. Highs in the mid 80s. Lows in the lower 50s.

Flood Impacts
27.2 FeetOn 1/10/23, the 26.18 foot Flood of Record took water up to the top of the levee system at the north end of Morse Drive and Thurman Court. This levee system has since been raised to 27.2 feet.
26.18 FeetWater impacts the bottom of the M Street and G Street Bridges. Water escapes its banks at E South Bear Creek Drive between Glen Avenue and Cameron Lane.Flood of Record - 1/10/2023
24.65 Feet2nd highest crest from 4/4/2006.
24.0 FeetAt 24 feet, the water flows towards the low point of Cooper Drive, businesses begin to flood.
23.0 FeetThe beechwood subdivision and the trailer park along the southern end of Bear Creek Drive floods in addition to Applegate Park on the south side of Bear Creek Drive.
17.0 FeetStorm drains begin to back up. Street flooding occurs primarily north of Bear Creek Drive and east of M Street.
16.0 FeetSouth bike path along Bear Creek floods downstream of the G Street bridge.