CNRFC Ensemble Plot for MHBC1

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COSUMNES RIVER - MICHIGAN BAR (MHBC1)

Latitude:
38.50º N

Longitude:
121.04º W

Elevation:
168 Feet

Location: Sacramento County in CA

River Group: San Joaquin

Issuance Time:

Jul 01 2026 at 7:38 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
7.0 Ft

Minor
Flood:
12.0 Ft

Moderate
Flood:
16.0 Ft

Major
Flood:
18.0 Ft

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | MHBC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
13.2 Feet	Water floods houses in Wilton. The south bank levee near Wilton is overtopped.
12.0 Feet	Water flows on to the road near Wilton.
8.0 Feet	Low lying lands along the river begin to flood.

Flood Impacts
13.2 Feet	Water floods houses in Wilton. The south bank levee near Wilton is overtopped.
12.0 Feet	Water flows on to the road near Wilton.
8.0 Feet	Low lying lands along the river begin to flood.