CNRFC Ensemble Plot for MHBC1

*** IMPORTANT *** Week of June 16 - Website Data Outage [View details]

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

Prev. Point

Next Point

Back to Points

Back to Home

COSUMNES RIVER - MICHIGAN BAR (MHBC1)

Latitude:
38.50º N

Longitude:
121.04º W

Elevation:
168 Feet

Location: Sacramento County in CA

River Group: San Joaquin

Issuance Time:

Jun 16 2025 at 6:21 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
7.0 Ft

Minor
Flood:
12.0 Ft

Moderate
Flood:
16.0 Ft

Major
Flood:
18.0 Ft

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | MHBC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
13.2 Feet	Water floods houses in Wilton. The south bank levee near Wilton is overtopped.
12.0 Feet	Water flows on to the road near Wilton.
8.0 Feet	Low lying lands along the river begin to flood.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ017)

Today: Sunny. Highs 83 to 93. South winds up to 10 mph with gusts to around 20 mph.

Tonight: Clear. Lows 50 to 59. South winds up to 10 mph with gusts to around 20 mph.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs 88 to 96. Light winds becoming west up to 10 mph in the afternoon.

Tuesday Night: Clear. Lows 55 to 65. Southwest winds up to 10 mph with gusts to around 20 mph.

Wednesday: Sunny. Highs 93 to 101. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.

Wednesday Night: Clear. Lows 53 to 63.

juneteenth: Sunny. Highs 85 to 95.

Thursday Night through Friday Night: Clear. Lows 50 to 58. Highs 84 to 94.

Saturday and Saturday Night: Clear. Highs 78 to 84. Lows 51 to 61.

Sunday: Sunny. Highs 84 to 90.

Flood Impacts
13.2 Feet	Water floods houses in Wilton. The south bank levee near Wilton is overtopped.
12.0 Feet	Water flows on to the road near Wilton.
8.0 Feet	Low lying lands along the river begin to flood.