CNRFC Ensemble Plot for MPAC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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MARIPOSA CREEK - MARIPOSA RESERVOIR (MPAC1)

Latitude:
37.29º N

Longitude:
120.15º W

Elevation:
459 Feet

Location: Mariposa County in CA

River Group: San Joaquin

Issuance Time:

May 11 2025 at 8:44 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
N/A

Minor
Flood:
N/A

Moderate
Flood:
N/A

Major
Flood:
N/A

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | MPAC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ303)

Tonight: Cooler, clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.

Monday: Cooler, sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.

Monday Night: Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

Tuesday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northwest winds up to 15 mph.

Wednesday: Sunny. Highs around 80.

Wednesday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s.

Thursday: Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s.

Thursday Night through Friday Night: Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.

Saturday through Sunday: Mostly clear. Highs in the mid 80s. Lows in the lower 50s.